PPT-ITF220 - Prof.J.Frankel Lecture 18: Crises in Emerging

Markets Continuing from Lecture 12 Boombust cycle of inflows amp outflows Sudden stops Managing capital outflows Speculative attacks Contagion IMF Programs Appendices Car crash analogy. GraphG prof 1 prof 2 prof 3 prof 4 phd 5 stud 6 stud 7 adv adv adv adv adv sup sup GraphI 1 prof 2,3 prof 4 prof 5 phd 6,7 stud adv adv adv sup 1Fortheformaldevelopmentinthispaper,itwillbeconve-nientt GraphG prof 1 prof 2 prof 3 prof 4 phd 5 stud 6 stud 7 adv adv adv adv adv sup sup GraphI 1 prof 2,3 prof 4 prof 5 phd 6,7 stud adv adv adv sup 1Fortheformaldevelopmentinthispaper,itwillbeconve-nientt Lecture 18: Crises in Emerging . Markets. Continuing from Lecture 12. Boom-bust . cycle . of . inflows & outflows. Sudden stops. Managing . capital . outflows. Speculative attacks. Contagion. IMF . Aggregate Demand . (AD). . & . Aggregate Supply . (AS). Ultra-Keynesian A.S.. Neoclassical . A.S. . Intermediate A.S. curve. Expectations-augmented A.S. .. Rational . expectations . A.S.. Real Business Cycles . 1. Terminology. Crisis. : . A . time of ​great ​disagreement, ​confusion,. . or ​suffering. .. A. n ​extremely ​difficult or ​dangerous ​point in a ​situation. .. International Crisis. CRISES IN EMERGING MARKETS. L21: Speculative Attack Models. . • Generation I. • Generation II. • Generation III. . L22: Sudden Stops. . • Boom & bust in EMs. • Contagion. “Systematic Managed Floating”. Andrew K. Rose. Berkeley-Haas, ABFER, CEPR and NBER. Paper carefully written, full of good ideas and nuance. In fact, I agree with most everything that’s written. Lecture 3. : . Country Risk. The portfolio-balance model . with default risk.. When countries default.. What determines sovereign spreads?. Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA).. API-119 - Prof.J.Frankel. CRISES IN EMERGING MARKETS. L21: Speculative Attack Models. . • Generation I. • Generation II. • Generation III. . L22: Sudden Stops. . • Boom & bust in EMs. • Contagion. Integration. . Pros and Cons of Open Financial Markets. Advantages of financial . integration. The theory of . intertemporal. optimization. Other . advantages . Do financial markets work as they should?. . An additional factor for portfolio investors: risk of default,. c. alled sovereign risk, in the case of risk . of default by . governments.. Defaults and restructuring.. What determines sovereign spreads?. Crises. (continuing Lecture 22). . Early . Warning . Indicators . (. L22). Goals . & Instruments . when . devaluation . is . contractionary . . (. appendix. ). (3) Car . Crash Analogy . Exchange Rate Regimes. ITF220 Prof.J.Frankel. What exchange rate regimes do . countries . choos. e. ?. Classification of exchange rate regimes. What regimes . should. countries . choose?. 2. Advantages . 380 Indian Journal of Mental Health 201 7;4(4) Original Research Article Mid - life crises among the sandwich generation people Vijayalakshmi S. Assistant P rofessor of Per s p ec tive in Education