PPT-1 Hurricane Forecast Model

Enron Email Corpus LCDR Matt Tabar LCDR William Evans Outline History of ENRON Email Corpus Makeup and Generation Assumptions Graph construction Timeseries analysis 5 BLUF Divided the network into time periods. Developed over the course of sev eral years in consultation with emergency managers broadcast meteorologists and others this new map will show eographical areas where inundation from storm surge could occur How high above ground the water could reac Chris Landsea National Hurricane Center. March 2010. Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference. How does NHC analyze and forecast hurricanes?. How do the forecasters blend the various (surface . obs. Dr. Scott Braun, HS3 PI Paul Newman, HS3 Deputy PI. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. IHC, Jacksonville, FL March 4, 2015. Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel. Science Goal: . To. . understand . Analysis of vulnerabilities exposed by Hurricane Sandy and potential mitigation strategies in the Northeastern US . . Anthony Torres, Benjamin Lowden, . Kazuki Ito, Sabrina Shuman. Assessment of Hurricane Sandy. B. Lee Lindner, . Stephen . Duke, . Janet Johnson. College of Charleston. Frank . Alsheimer. National Weather Service, Charleston. 1. Background. CHARLESTON HAS EXPERIENCED MANY HITS OR NEAR MISSES IN THE PAST 20 YEARS . D. . DuPre. , C. Smith, J. Underwood. Professor C. Merritt. Emergency Disaster Management Program. Hurricane . Orion. Hurricane Orion Virtual Exercise. D. . DuPre. , C. Smith, J. Underwood. Professor C. Merritt. Analysis of vulnerabilities exposed by Hurricane Sandy and potential mitigation strategies in the Northeastern US . . Anthony Torres, Benjamin Lowden, . Kazuki Ito, Sabrina Shuman. Assessment of Hurricane Sandy. -1- Hurricane Nora 1-9 October 2003 Lixion. A. Avila National Hurricane Center 4 November 2003 a.Synoptic History Nora developed from a tropical wave that moved off the coast of Africa on 13 Septe 2 surface temperatures steadily took its toll on Jova and the cyclone rapidly weakened to a tropical storm late on 22 September about 350 n mi east-northeast of Hilo. Jova became a tropical depressio David Simmons: Global Head of Research Publications, Aon Benfield. New York – 30. th. January 2009. 1. Caribbean Catastrophe Risk and Insurance Fund (CCRIF). 2. Hurricane Dean. 3. Example of TSR hurricane Dean forecast . and Comparison . of its Predictability to Analog Northeast U.S. Events. Robert Hart . rhart@fsu.edu. http://moe.met.fsu.edu. Dept. of Earth, Ocean, and Atmos. Science. Florida State University. http://coolwx.com. Frank . Revitte. National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office. New Orleans/Baton Rouge. “This is just a CAT 1 hurricane”. “It has never flooded here before”. “I’ve been through Katrina and Gustav, this is nothing”. . Frank . Revitte. National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office. New Orleans/Baton Rouge. 2017 Seasonal Recap. Above normal activity. 17 Total Named Storms. 7. Tropical Storms. 4. Hurricanes . Fred . Toepfer. . March . 4, 2015. HFIP at the 5 Year Point. 2. HFIP Motivation. Decrease Evacuations. Increase . forecast . accuracy, . especially . at longer lead . times. especially . during periods of rapid intensity changes; .