PPT-Beyond CMIP5 Decadal Predictions and the role of aerosols i

Doug Smith Martin Andrews Ben Booth Nick Dunstone Rosie Eade Leon Hermanson Gareth Jones Jeff Knight Adam Scaife Katy Sheen Vikki Thompson Contents Results from high resolution decadal predictions. . Speaker/ Pei-Ning Kirsten Feng. Advisor/ Yu-Heng Tseng. Outline . Overview. Motivation . Objective. Data and Model. Ongoing / Future . work. Summary . North Pacific Decadal Variations. [. Di Lorenzo et al.,2008; Bond et al., 2003. 7.5 The student will read and demonstrate comprehension of a variety of fictional texts, narrative nonfiction, and poetry. .. e) Make. , confirm, and revise predictions. . What is a prediction? . A prediction is a forecast or an educated guess of what may happen next. A set of 16 climate models from the CMIP5 initialized experiments are analyzed to see if they can simulate the mid-1970s shift when there was rapid global warming, and the early-2000s hiatus when warming slowed. Can decadal prediction anticipate events such as the warming hiatus?. Danny Barandiaran, Shih-Yu Wang. Utah State University. The “warming hiatus”. r. 2. < 0?. No slowdown in increase of ocean heat content. 3.8 Time Series. What we are looking at now. Very important for Merit AND Excellence!. Fitted vs. Raw. This involves comparing the raw data (black line) with the fitted model (green line).. In particular, we are looking at how well the model fits the data. . Chris Ferro (University of Exeter). T. . Fricker. , . F. . Otto, . D. . Stephenson, . E. . Suckling. CliMathNet. Conference (3 July 2013, Exeter, UK). Evaluating decadal hindcasts: . why and . how?. Interannual. -to-Decadal Predictions Experiments.  . L. Goddard. , on behalf of the . US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group & Collaborators. : . Lisa Goddard, . Arun. Kumar, Amy Solomon, James Carton, Clara . Daniel N. Baker. Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics. CU-Boulder. e. GY. Declaration. . We have a shared responsibility to create and implement strategies to realize the full potential of digital information for present and future generations. In the 21. A community-driven initiative to harmonize data practices, research priorities and infrastructure for 2025. Carol B. Meyer. Foundation for Earth Science. September 23, 2013. Overview. 1. About . ESIP. Prof. G. B. Patil. HRPIPER, Shirpur. Definition. . Packaging of therapeutic active ingredients in a pressurized system.. . Aerosols are depends on the power of compressed or liquefied gas to expel the contents from containers.. Technical Issues. Side Event. Bangkok, 21. st. April 2015. Dr. . Helen Tope. Principal Consultant,. Energy International Australia. and. Co-Chair Medical Technical Options Committee. Disclaimer: The . The set of 16 initialized CMIP5 models is analyzed for predictions of the hiatus made from the mid-1990s. Could we have predicted the early-2000s hiatus of global warming in the 1990s?. Impact. If the recent methodology of initialized decadal climate prediction could have been applied in the mid-1990s using the CMIP5 multi-models, both the negative phase of the IPO in the early 2000s as well as the hiatus could have been simulated, with the multi-model average performing better than most of the individual models. . how to process (visualise, analyse, etc) the data: . . ncdump. , python, ferret, .... MIP == Model . Intercomparision. Project. The . homepage. of the . Coupled Model . Intercomparison. Project. Elisabeth Andrews. CATCOS Workshop, June 2016. What is climate?. Climate is the average weather. The standard averaging time for climate is 30 years. “Weather is what you’re wearing, climate is what’s in your closet”.