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Quiz 4 solution sketches Quiz 4 solution sketches

Quiz 4 solution sketches - PowerPoint Presentation

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Quiz 4 solution sketches - PPT Presentation

1100 Lecture Version A Note for multiplechoice questions Choose the closest answer Geometric Average On Nov 1 2013 Slacky Green Slacks was worth 100 per share On Nov 1 2001 it was worth 50 per share What is the geometric average rate of return over this 12year period ID: 640273

rate return stock earnings return rate earnings stock cow returns risk cash states world today 100 retained 000 0005

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Slide1

Quiz 4 solution sketches

11:00 Lecture, Version A

Note for multiple-choice questions: Choose the closest answerSlide2

Geometric Average

On Nov. 1, 2013,

Slacky

Green Slacks was worth $100 per share. On Nov. 1, 2001, it was worth $50 per share. What is the geometric average rate of return over this 12-year period?

(100/50)

1/12

= (2)

1/12

= 1.05946

R

G

= 1.05946 – 1 = 5.946%Slide3

Loan Amortization

Gladman

Goldie will borrow $100,000 on Jan. 1, 2014. He will make 15 yearly payments, on Nov. 1 of years 2015-2029, to completely pay back the loan. How much will each payment be if the EAR is 12%?Slide4

Loan Amortization

If paid on Jan. 1, 2015-2029:

100,000 = C/.12 * [1 – 1/1.12

15

]

100,000 = 6.81086 * C

C

= $14,682

Add 10 months of interest to account for payments on Nov. 1:

14,682 * (1.12)

10/12

= $16,137Slide5

Future Value

Kokomo Jack invests $6,000 today, November 25, 2013. Find the future value on November 25, 2025 if the stated annual interest rate is 10%, compounded every 18 months.

Interest every 18 months = .1*18/12 = .15

Number of times compounded = 12/1.5 = 8

FV = 6000 * (1.15)

8

= $18,354Slide6

CAPM

The risk-free rate of return is 6%. For a stock, assume that beta is 1.5. The market return of a well-diversified portfolio is 19%. What is the expected return for this stock?

Exp. Ret. = Risk-free rate +

β

*risk premium

Exp. Ret. = 6% + 1.5 * (19% – 6%)

Exp. Ret. = 25.5%Slide7

Returns in States of the World

For the following three questions, assume that there are two known states of the world, each with 50% probability of occurring: Good and Bad. When times are good, Stock A has a rate of return of 7% and Stock B has a return of 15

%. When times are

bad

, Stock A has a rate of return of

9%

and Stock B has a return of

5

%. Slide8

Returns in States of the World

What is the standard deviation of Stock A’s return?

Avg

return = .5 * .07 + .5 * .09 = .08

Var

= 1/2 * [(.07-.08)

2

+ (.09-.08)

2

]

Var

= 1/2 * [.0001 + .0001] = .0001

Std. Dev. = (.0001)

1/2

= .01 = 1%Slide9

Returns in States of the World

What is the covariance of the two stocks’ returns?

A’s

avg

return = .5 * .07 + .5 * .09 = .08

B’s

avg

return = .5 *

.15

+ .5 * .

05

=

.10

Cov

= 1/2 * [(.

07-.08

)(.15-.1) +

(.

09-.

08)(.05-.1)]

Cov

= 1/2 * [-.0005 + (-.

0005)]

Cov

= -0.0005Slide10

Returns in States of the World

What is the correlation coefficient of the two stocks’ returns?

A’s

s.d.

= .01 (from question 5)

B’s variance = 1/2

*

[(.15-.1)

2

+

(.05-.1)

2

]

B’s variance

= 1/2 * [.

0025+.0025]

= .

0025

B’s

s.d.

=

(.

0025)

1/2

=

.05

ρ =

Cov

/[

s.d.

(A)*

s.d.

(B)]

ρ = -0.0005/(.01*.05) = -1Slide11

CAPM

Assume that the risk-free rate is 9%. A stock has an expected return of 15%, and the expected return on the market is 14%. What is the beta for this stock?

Exp. Ret. = Risk-free rate +

β

*risk premium

15% = 9% +

β

* (14% - 9%)

6% =

β

* 5%

β = 1.2Slide12

Cash Cow & Retained Earnings

Taco Bill Boots, Inc. is currently a cash cow. Without any re-investment of their earnings, they will earn $12 per share every year forever. The effective annual discount rate for owning this stock is 14%. Assume that the next dividend payment will be made later today. Slide13

Cash Cow & Retained Earnings

Suppose that Cow Bell Boots could retain all of its earnings

5

years from today, and earn 8

%

on these earnings over the following

year.

(a) What is the PV of this stock if it continues to act as a cash cow?

PV = 12 + 12/.14 = $97.71Slide14

Cash Cow & Retained Earnings

(b) Should Taco Bill Boots retain its earnings 5 years from today? Why/why not?

No, because:

NPV is negative for this option

Rate of return on retained earnings (8%) is less than the Discount rate (14%)

Note that correct answers must use one of the two justificationsSlide15

Cash Cow & Retained Earnings

(c) How much does the present value of Taco Bill Boots change if the company retains its earnings 5 years from today?

NPV of retaining earnings

= -12/1.14

5

+ 12(1.08)/1.14

6

= -$0.3280