PPT-Providing Leadership in Times of Chronic Crisis and Uncertainty

May 1 2009 10 am to 12 noon USU Grand Salon   Providing Leadership in Times of Chronic Crisis and Uncertainty   Mark Stevens PhD Director University Counseling Services markstevenscsunedu. In 1956, two concurrent events transformed the postwar pattern of international relations. The Suez crisis marked the end of innocence for the Western Alliance; henceforth, the . Western allies would never again be able fully to believe in their own avowals of a perfect symmetry of interests. Simultaneously, the bloody suppression of the Hungarian uprising showed that the Soviet Union would maintain its sphere of interest, by force if necessary, and that talk of liberation was empty. There could no longer be any doubt that the Cold War would be both protracted and bitter… Kissinger, Diplomacy, pp. 550-551.. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. Lecture One. Paul . Constantine. March 29, 2011. What is UQ???. Uncertainty Quantification – ME470. Paul Constantine. Combining computational models, physical observations, and possibly expert . judgment . in the Defense Budget. Todd Harrison. Delays in Defense Appropriations Bills. 2. Average Delay FY77-FY13: . 43 days. Average Delay FY10-FY13: . 134 days. Budgetary Uncertainty. 3. Budgetary Uncertainty. in Precipitation Data Records. Yudong Tian. Collaborators: Ling Tang, Bob Adler, George Huffman, . Xin Lin, Fang Yan, Viviana Maggioni and Matt Sapiano.  . University of Maryland & NASA/GSFC. http://sigma.umd.edu. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. in Measurement. (IB text - Ch 11; AP text - section 1.4 pgs. 10-13 and A10-A13). All measurements have some degree of . uncertainty. . Therefore, we need to give some indication of the reliability of measurements and the uncertainties in the results calculated from these measurements. . OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. Accuracy vs. Precision. What is the difference?. Accuracy vs. Precision. Precision . accuracy. Exactness. Divisions on scale. Reproducibility. Uncertainty. Significant digits. Correctness. Calibration. Jonathan Hemus, March 2016. "The test of a company’s leadership, and of a CEO in particular, usually comes during a . crisis.”.  . Richard Branson, September 2015. The impact of crisis on shareholder value. 1Overviewe the operationalrisksand deter the investment and the hiring ofnew employees These will give the pressure on the macroeconomy like GDP growth unemployment rateetcRecentlyconsiderable uncerta investments. Plenary 4: Building . Organisational. capacities for tackling policy and regulatory uncertainty. Parveer. Singh . Ghuman. . Sr. Research Associate, CUTS International. Overview. Relationship between uncertainty and investment. Uncertainty Essentials. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018. Les Coveney, INAB Calibration & Uncertainty Day, 18th June 2018. Uncertainty Essentials. Definition of Measurement Uncertainty.