PPT-API-120 - Prof.J.Frankel

Breaching the central banks defenses LECTURE 25 Speculative Attack Models Generation I Generation II Generation III. CRISES IN EMERGING MARKETS. L21: Speculative Attack Models. . • Generation I. • Generation II. • Generation III. . L22: Sudden Stops. . • Boom & bust in EMs. • Contagion. Lecture 18: Crises in Emerging Markets. Boom-bust cycles of inflows & outflows. Crashes. . Sudden stops. Managing capital . outflows. Speculative attacks. Contagion. IMF Programs. ITF220 - Prof.J.Frankel. LECTURE . 9: . SEIGNIORAGE . & HYPERINFLATION. Key Question:. . Government . attempts . to . stimulate . the . economy . may . explain . moderate . levels . of . money growth . & inflation….. Prof.J.Frankel. Lecture 21: . Exchange Rate Regimes. ITF220 Prof.J.Frankel. What exchange rate regimes do . countries . choos. e. ?. Classification of exchange rate regimes. What regimes . should. countries . Lecture 18: Crises in Emerging . Markets. Continuing from Lecture 12. Boom-bust . cycle . of . inflows & outflows. Sudden stops. Managing . capital . outflows. Speculative attacks. Contagion. IMF . Aggregate Demand . (AD). . & . Aggregate Supply . (AS). Ultra-Keynesian A.S.. Neoclassical . A.S. . Intermediate A.S. curve. Expectations-augmented A.S. .. Rational . expectations . A.S.. Real Business Cycles . CRISES IN EMERGING MARKETS. L21: Speculative Attack Models. . • Generation I. • Generation II. • Generation III. . L22: Sudden Stops. . • Boom & bust in EMs. • Contagion. Lecture 3. : . Country Risk. The portfolio-balance model . with default risk.. When countries default.. What determines sovereign spreads?. Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA).. API-119 - Prof.J.Frankel. Exchange Rate Regimes. ITF220 Prof.J.Frankel. What exchange rate regimes do . countries . choos. e. ?. Classification of exchange rate regimes. What regimes . should. countries . choose?. 2. Advantages . CRISES IN EMERGING MARKETS. L21: Speculative Attack Models. . • Generation I. • Generation II. • Generation III. . L22: Sudden Stops. . • Boom & bust in EMs. • Contagion. Policy goals: Internal . balance . & . External . balance. LECTURES 7 - 9:. POLICY INSTRUMENTS, including MONEY. The Swan Diagram. The principle of goals & instruments. L8: Introduction of monetary policy. Markets. Continuing from Lecture 12. Boom-bust . cycle . of . inflows & outflows. Sudden stops. Managing . capital . outflows. Speculative attacks. Contagion. IMF . Programs. Appendices: . Car . crash analogy. International Interdependence. Theory:. . Interdependence . results from capital mobility. , . even . with floating rates.. Empirical estimates of cross-country effects.. International Coordination. Exchange Rate Regimes. ITF220 Prof.J.Frankel. What exchange rate regimes do . countries . choos. e. ?. Classification of exchange rate regimes. What regimes . should. countries . choose?. 2. Advantages .