PPT-Anchoring of convective storms

Robert Warren 2 Contents My background Introduction amp Motivation Project aims and methodologies Work so far Background reading Boscastle Flood Case studies 21072010 Work going forward. Robert Warren. Supervised by Bob Plant, Humphrey Lean & Dan Kirshbaum. Background. Quasi-stationary convective storms. . (QSCSs). Repeated triggering and training of cells over a localised area for an extended period of time. Anchoring. Reading. Predictably Irrational. Chapter 1 The Truth about Relativity . Chapter 2 The Fallacy of Supply and Demand. Nudge. , “Rules of Thumb” in Chapter 1. Thinking, Fast and Slow. , Chapter 11 (“Anchors”). Brian Guyer & Deirdre Kann, National Weather Service, Albuquerque, NM. Project Summary. OBJECTIVE: . Test the growing suite of convective initiation products to determine their potential to improve forecasts and detection of hazardous convective events during the North American monsoon season.. . E. CHAM5-HAM. B. Croft. 1. , J.R. . . Pierce. 1. , R.V. Martin. 1,2. , C. Hoose. 3. , and U. Lohmann. 4. 1. Dalhouse University, Canada. 2. Harvard-Smithsonian Centre for Astrophysics, USA. 3. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany. GOES-R Program Senior Scientist. NOAA/NESDIS. http://www.goes-r.gov. (with contributions from our many partners). NOAA . igh. Impact Weather Workshop. Norman, OK. 24 February, 2011. Geostationary Lightning . G.F. Wieczorek reg015-082of 26 Figure 1. Map of California showing location of Sierra Nevada in California (along its eastern boundary,range extendsslightly into Nevada),physiographic regions of Calif Weather Systems – Fall 2015. Outline:. a. Stability Indices. b. Wind Shear and . Helicity. c. How to relate to predicted / observed convective weather. Convective Parameters. Weather Systems – Fall 2015. &. related issues. P. . Mukhopadhyay. Climate v. Numerical Weather Prediction. NWP: . Initial state is CRITICAL. Don’t really care about whole PDF, just probable phase space. conservation of mass/energy to match observed state. Preliminary. Setting Out. Drilling. Coring ( Optional ). Homing/Installation. Grouting. Grout Cube Test. Stressing. De - Tensioning. Fabrication. in Workshop. Assembly. on Site. Construction Flowchart. Robert A. Houze, Jr.. With contributions from:. S. Powell, M. . Zuluaga. , H. Barnes, A. Rowe. AGU Annual Meeting, San Francisco, 11 December 2013. The MJO scale. ~30-60 days. TOGA. COARE. West Pacific. ?. Himalayas. Andes. Rockies. New Fellows Presentation, . AGU, San Francisco, . 5 . December 2012. Robert A. Houze, Jr.. University of Washington. Radars in Space. TRMM. 1997-. CloudSat. 2006-. Typical Tropical Convective Cloud Population. Forecasting procedures (Sippel). Flight modules & planning (Braun). PayMOF operations (Newman). HS3 Forecasting. (for ops manual). Forecast briefings for 2012 were held at 0800 and 2000 LST, but they will be moved back to 0830 and 2030 LST (1230Z and 0030Z) so that 0600Z and 1800Z model guidance (in particular NCEP-GFS) can be examined. Ref Vel. stratiform. Conv(all) rad_ref. Cloud analysis followed by 3dvar. Conv(uv spd) rw. Only 3dvar analysis. Applied DFI to Qv only, other mosit variable like Qs, Qc, Qr, Qg, Qi are remain unchanged and. I am writing you today regarding efforts by the Town of Edgartown to ban anchoring in Cape Pogue (Poge) Bay. As a resident of Chappaquid dick and one who enjoys the waters of Cape Poge Bay, I would li