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SOEPpaperson Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research - PPT Presentation

Panel study Let Bygones be Bygones Socialist Regimes and Personalities in GermanyTim Friehe Markus Pannenberg Michael Wedow2015SOEP ID: 479938

Panel study Let Bygones Bygones?

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SOEPpaperson Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research Panel study Let Bygones be Bygones? Socialist Regimes and Personalities in GermanyTim Friehe, Markus Pannenberg, Michael Wedow2015SOEP „ The German Socio-Economic Panel study at DIW Berlin 776-2015 SOEPaperson Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research at DIW BerlinThis series presents research findings based either directly on data from the German SocioEconomic Panel study (SOEP) or using SOEP data as part of an internationally comparable data set (CNEF, ECHP, LIS, LWS, CHER/PACO). SOEP is a truly multidisciplinary LetBygonesbeBygones?SocialistRegimesandPersonalitiesinGermanyTimFrieheMarkusPannenbergyMichaelWedowzJuly15,2015AbstractThispaperinvestigatesthein uenceofpoliticalregimesonpersonality,usingtheseparationofGermanyintothesocialistGDRandthedemocraticFRGanditsreuni cationin1990asanaturalexperiment.Weshowthattherearesigni cantdi erencesbetweenformerGDRandFRGresidentsregardingimportantattributesofpersonality(particularlythelocusofcontrol,neuroticism,conscientiousness,andopenness).Tounderstandthein uenceoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeonpersonality,wetestanimportantchannelbyexploitingregionalvariationinthenumberofunocialstate-securitycollaboratorsacrossEastGermancoun-ties.OurresultsindicatethatlocalsurveillanceintensityisindeedanimportantdeterminantofthepersonalityofformerGDRcitizens.Thedi erencesinpersonalityimplythatformercitizensoftheGDRhaveeconomicprospectsratherdi erentfromformerFRGcitizensandhelptounderstandbehavioraldi erencesestablishedinthepriorliterature.Keywords:personality,politicalregime,EastGermany,socialism,BigFive,locusofcon-trol,SOEPJEL:D03,D12,D63 UniversityofMarburg,PublicEconomicsGroup,AmPlan2,35037Marburg,Germany.CESifo,Munich,Germany.E-mail:tim.friehe@uni-marburg.de.yUniversityofAppliedSciencesBielefeld,DepartmentofBusinessandEconomics,Universitatsstrae25,33615Bielefeld,Germany.DIW,Berlin,Germany.IZA,Bonn,Germany.E-mail:markus.pannenberg@fh-bielefeld.de.zEuropeanCentralBank,Sonnemannstrae22,60314FrankfurtamMain,Germany.E-mail:Michael.Wedow@ecb.int.1 1Introduction1.1MotivationandmainresultsThispaperaimstoshowthee ectofasocialistregimeonpersonalities{motivatedbythefactthatpersonalityiskeyforeconomicbehaviorandlifeoutcomes(e.g.,Almlundetal.2011){andtoexploretheroleofstate-securitysurveillanceforthise ect.Tothisend,wetreatthereuni cationofthesocialistGermanDemocraticRepublic(GDR)andthedemocraticFederalRepublicofGermany(FRG)in1990aftermorethanfourdecadesofseparationasa\naturalexperiment".Personalityemergesstronglyinyoungage,whereasitbecomesrelativelystableinmiddleadulthood(e.g.,Spechtetal.2014).Thepoliticalregimemayin uencepersonalitydevel-opmentbecauseitseverelyimpacts,interalia,education,parentalinvestment(e.g.,byreinforcingbehaviorsorvaluesthatareconsideredbene cialinthecircumstances),andthefeedbackfromthesocialenvironment,andthereisagrowingbodyofevidencesuggestingthatsuchaspectscancausallya ectpersonalitytraits(e.g.,Almlundetal.2011,Reitzetal.2014).1TheGDR'ssocialistregimepervadedallaspectsoflifeandin uencedmostinterpersonalrela-tionshipsinonewayoranotherformorethanfourdecades,suggestingthatpeoples'personalitiesshowtracesoftheregime.Inthisvein,Fulbrook(2005:5)arguesthatpeoplewhocametomaturityintheGDRwere\productsoftheregime".Forpersonalitydevelopment,theyearsuptoadulthoodareveryimportant,implyingthatschoolingandyouthorganizationsarehighlyrelevant.WithregardtotheroleofeducationintheGDR,Fuchs-SchundelnandMasella(2014:3)pointoutthat\thecurriculasystematicallyaimedatcreatingasocialistpersonality"(em-phasisadded).Indeed,studentshadasubjectthatdealtexplicitlywiththesuperiorityofthesocialistregimeandhowtobehaveasacitizenwithintheregime(e.g.,Latsch2015).Infact,somepeoplelatercommentedthattheschoolsystemwasaninstrumentevenmoree ectiveincreatingsubmissionthanthestate-securityservices(Jahn2014:38).Thein uenceexertedduringschoolhourswascomplementedbytheroleoftheyouthorganizationsYoungPioneers(agessixtoten),Pioneers(agestentofourteen),andtheFreieDeutscheJugend(FDJ)(ages14to25)wheremembershipwasdefactoexpected.Forexample,theFDJhadtheobjectiveofraisingchildrentobecomeclass-conscioussocialistsandalsofunctionedasaselectionstadiumforleadershippo-sitions,organizingmorethan75percentoftherespectiveagecohortinthe1980s(Fulbrook2005:128).Incontrast,maladjustedyouthswereputintooneofthecommunityhomesforso-calledre-education,thatis,forbringingtheirpersonalitiesmoreinlinewiththesocialistideals(e.g., 1Whilepersonalitytraitsaretosomeextenthereditary(e.g.,Riemannetal.1997)andrelativelystableduringadulthood(e.g.,Cobb-ClarkandSchurer2012,2013),theyaremalleablebyexperienceandinvestment(Almlundetal.2011,Borghansetal.2008,Kautzetal.2014).Behavioralgeneticistsarguethatabout50%ofthevariationinpersonalityisattributabletogenes,whiletheotherhalfisshapedbyenvironmentalfactors(KruegerandJohnson2008).2 Schnurr2015).Parentstaughttheirchildrenhowtogetbyinthepoliticalregime.Forexample,toavoidtrouble,parentsinstructedtheirchildrenthathidingwhatyouactuallydoorwanttodoisoftentimesbetterkepttoyourself(e.g.,Jahn2014:53).Moreover,parentshadtoexplaintotheirchildrenthatitisbesttoputupwiththefactthatmanyimportantaspectsoflife(e.g.,housing,careeroptions,theavailabilityofconsumptiongoodsandservices)weredeterminedbythestate.Aftermaturity,thesocialinvestmentprincipleassumesthatpersonalitydevelopmentisprimarilydrivenbyinvestinginchangingsocialrolesthatareassociatedwithdi erentexpecta-tions(e.g.,Lodi-SmithandRoberts2007).Inthisregard,thepoliticalregimesintheGDRandtheFRGwereassociatedwithdi erentcommunitystructuresanddivergingsex-roleattitudes(see,e.g.,BauernschusterandRainer2012),forexample,implyingdiverginginvestmentincentivesandthuspersonalitydevelopment.OneveryinfamousaspectoftheGDR'spoliticalregimewasthemassivestate-securityserviceanditsextensiverelianceonunocialcollaborators.Theextentofsurveillancewasindeedunprecedented.Roughly,therewasonestate-securitycollaboratorforeveryrandomsampleof50citizens(e.g.,HeineckandSussmuth2013).2Denunciationsfrequentlyresultedindrasticrepression,settingexamplesforalltheonlookers(e.g.,Kowalczuk2013).Asaresult,peoplewereonalertregardingwhatopiniontheymayvoiceorwhichactivitytheymayundertakewithoutendangering,forexample,theircareeroropportunitytostudyatauniversity,or,evenmoreserious,theirphysicalintegrityortheirpersonalfreedom(Fulbrook2005:9).Inaddition,peopleweresubmissiveinordertoavoidharmingrelativesandfriends(e.g.,Jahn2014:139).Thispaperstudiesthesocialistregime'simpactonthelocusofcontrol(e.g.,Rotter1966),theBigFivepersonalityinventory(e.g.,McCraeandCosta1999),andreciprocity.WeusedatafromtheGermanSocio-EconomicPanel(SOEP),whichallowsustoincludeahostofinformationattheindividuallevel.Thelocusofcontrolrepresentstheindividual'sbeliefabouttherelationshipofownbehaviorandconsequences.Individualswithahighinternallocusofcontrolbelievetheyhaveastrongimpactonwhathappensintheirlives,whereasothersattributeincidentstosourcesoutsidetheirin uence(e.g.,chance,fate,orpowerfulothers).TheBigFivepersonalityinventoryincludesthetraitsopenness,conscientiousness,extraversion,agreeableness,andneuroticism.Thistaxonomyisgenerallyregardedasasetofcoredimensionsthatisusefultodescribeindividualdi erencesinpersonalityeconomically(Spechtetal.2014).Withrespecttoreciprocity,weincludemeasuresofpositiveandnegativereciprocity.Ourresultsshowasigni cant,long-lastingimpactoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeonpersonality.Experiencewiththesocialistregimeisassociatedwithnotonlyhigherneuroticismandconscien-tiousnessscoresbutalsoloweropennessratingsalmost20yearsaftertheGermanreuni cation. 2RainerandSiedler(2009:251-252),forexample,reportthefollowing:\TheStasikept lesonanestimatedsixmillionpeople...By1995,174,000EastGermanshadbeenidenti edasunocialcollaborators...Infact,theratioofwatchers'towatched'wasevenhigherthan(i.e.,roughly90-times)thatoftheSovietUnionundercommunism."3 Moreover,whencomparedtocitizensfromWestGermany,individualswhohavelivedintheGDRhavealowerinternallocusofcontrol,thatis,theyascribeconsequenceslesstoownbehaviorandmoretoexternalcircumstances.RegressionsbyagecohortareconsistentwiththehypothesisthatthedurationoftheexposuretothepoliticalregimeandhavingreceivedthecompleteeducationintheGDRareimportantfortheregime'sin uenceonpersonality.Robustnesschecksgivecon -dencethatthedi erencescanbeattributedtothepoliticalregimeandarenotdrivenbyregionaldi erences.Toidentifyachannelofhowtheregimein uencedpersonality,weconsiderthewell-knownin ltrationbyunocialcollaboratorswhomonitoredsupposedlypoliticallyincorrectbehavioroffellowcitizensandreportedittothestate-securityservices.Indeed,wecanestablishthatvariationsinthenumberofunocialcollaboratorsacrossGDRcountiesarerelatedtosigni -cantdi erencesinpersonality.Speci cally,moreregionalsecret-servicesurveillancemakespeoplereciprocatenegativeactsmorestronglyandlowerstheinternallocusofcontrol(i.e.,makesre-spondentsascribeconsequenceslesstoownbehaviorandmoretoexternalcircumstances).Inotherwords,theconsiderationofthewithin-treatmentvariationwithrespecttothesurveillanceintensityproduces ndingsalignedwithourbaselineestimatesandthuscontributestotheirex-planation.Thesocialistregime'sfootprintinpersonalitieshaseconomicsigni cancetoday.Personalityisdecisiveforeconomicsuccess,health,andotherlifeoutcomes(e.g.,Borghansetal.2008,Fletcher2013,OzerandBenet-Martinez2006).3Thestableassociationofpersonalitytraitsandlifeoutcomesconnotesthattheregimethatdiscontinuedtoexistinthepoliticalspherecontinuestoshapethelifeofitsformercitizenstothisdayandintothefuture.Inourpenultimatesection,wepresentbothqualitativeimplicationsandsomeroughestimatesaboutthemagnitudeoftheeconomicrepercussionsfollowingfromthesocialistregime'se ectonpersonality.Ouranalysisalsocontributesbyhelpingtounderstand ndingsofthepreviousliterature.Morespeci cally,ouranalysisinvestigatesviawhatprecisechannelsthesocialistregimein u-encedindividualsthatcausedthemtoexhibitsigni cantlydi erentbehaviorinspeci ccontexts.Forexample,Arielyetal.(2014)indicatethatEastGermansaremorepronetodishonesty,andOckenfelsandWeimann(1999)andBrosig-Kochetal.(2011)showresultsindicatingthatEastGermansexhibitlesssolidaritythanWestGermansubjects.Moreover,ourresultsareimpor-tantfortheinterpretationof ndingsinthepriorliterature.Weestablishthatexposuretothesocialistregimechangesthepersonalityofsubjects.Hence,studiesthatinvestigatethesocialistregime'se ectonoutcomeslikecollegeattendanceandlabormarketoutcomes(Fuchs-SchundelnandMasella2014)withoutcontrollingforpersonalitytraitsmightoveremphasizethedirecte ect 3Forexample,MuellerandPlug(2006)considertheBig5personalitytraitsandestablishsigni cantpositiveornegativeearningse ectsforall veofthem(e.g.,lessagreeablemenhavehigherearningsonaverage).4 ofthepoliticalregimeduetoomittingimportantmoderatingvariables.1.2RelatedliteratureThepresentpaperinvestigateswhetherandhowpoliticalregimesshapepersonalities,takingadvantageoftheGermanseparationandreuni cation.Ourpaperisrelatedtocontributionsthatconsidertheroleofpersonality,papersthatsearchforfootprintsofpastinstitutions,andstudiesthatsimilarlymakeuseoftherecentGermanhistoryasanaturalexperiment.Previousresearchhasalreadysuggestedthattherearedi erencesbetweenEastandWestGermans.Bauernschusteretal.(2012)presentevidencefortheintuitiverelationshipofEastGer-manshavinglessofanindividualisticmentalitywhencomparedtoWestGermans,usingsurveyresponsestoquestionssuchas\Doyouagreethatthestatehastocareforthesick,poor,old,andunemployed?".Withregardtotheroleofthestateandtheindividual,twootherstudiesarenoteworthy.First,Brosig-Kochetal.(2011)studyexperimentaldatafromthesolidaritygame{buildingontheexperimental ndingsofOckenfelsandWeimann(1999){and ndlastingdi erences;theauthorsdeterminethatEastGermansshowmuchlesssolidaritythanWestGer-mans.EastGermansinsteadattributemoreresponsibilitytothestate.Inthisvein,AlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln(2007)showthatEastGermanssupportredistributionandstateinterventionmorethanWestGermans(butalsothatthereisamoderateconvergenceinthisregard).Thelastingconsequencesareattributedtosocialnormsandintergenerationaltransmission.Theim-portanceofintergenerationaltransmissionasamechanismisestablishedbyDohmenetal.(2012),forexample,withrespecttoriskandtrustattitudes.NeckerandVoskort(2014)alsostudythistransmissionprocess,focusingonEastandWestGermanyandresponsestovaluequestions(e.g.,whetherowningahouseisimportant)byparentsandchildren.Thepresentpaperestablishesthatthepoliticalregimehasimprintedonpeoples'personalities,whicharestableovermuchofthelifecycle,contributinganadditionalchanneltoexplainthepersistenceofdi erencesinob-servedoutcomessuchastherelativeimportanceofconspicuousconsumption(FrieheandMechtel2014)ortheleveloftrust.RainerandSiedler(2009)studytheextenttowhichEastandWestGermanstrustinstitutionsandotherpeople,usingcross-sectionaldataand ndingthatEastGer-manspersistentlyshowlesstrustthanWestGermans.Relatedly,HeineckandSussmuth(2013)examinedi erencesintrust,cooperation,andriskinastudythatreliesonthepaneldatasourcethatwealsouse(i.e.,theSOEP).Incontrast,ourfocusisonpersonalitytraits,whicharecomple-mentarytotheeconomicpreferencesaspectsaddressedbyRainerandSiedler(2009)andHeineckandSussmuth(2013)whenitcomestoexplainingheterogeneityinimportantlifeoutcomesandbehavior(asestablishedbyBeckeretal.2012).Thereissomerecentliteratureaboutthelong-termpersistenceandlong-lastinge ectsofinstitutions.Forexample,Acemogluetal.(2001)relatecolonizationstylestopresenteconomic5 performance,whereasNunnandWantchekon(2009)explainpresentlevelsoftrustinAfricawithreferencestotheslavetradeandVoigtlanderandVoth(2012) ndthatpogromsinmedievaltimespredictanti-semiticviolenceinNaziGermany.Incomparisontotheseandrelatedimportantcontributions(seeBisinandVerdier2011forarecentoverview),ourinterestiswithamuchshortertimespanandaverydi erentobjectofstudy(namelypersonalitytraits).Traditionally,economistshavefocusedondi erencesinrisk,timeorsocialpreferencestoex-plainheterogeneousbehavior.However,recently,therehasbeenanupsurgeintheinterestinpersonalitytraits,becausetheyo ercomplementaryexplanatorypower(e.g.,Cobb-Clark2014,Dohmen2014).Forexample,Almlundetal.(2011),Beckeretal.(2012),andBorghansetal.(2008)refertotheimportanceofpersonalityforlifeoutcomes.Inaddition,manymuchmorenuancedquestionsareaddressedwithregardtopersonalitytraits.Theserangefromtherelation-shiptocooperation(KagelandMcGee2014,ProtoandRustichini2014,Volketal.2012)overhealth-relatedconduct(Cobb-Clarketal.2014)totherelationshipbetweenhouseholdincomeandsubjectivewell-being(BoyceandWood2011).Thepresentpaperisinsteadprimarilyinterestedinhowdi erencesinpersonalitytraitscomeaboutbyexploringwhetherornotpoliticalregimescreatetheircitizens'personalities,aresearchquestionthathastothebestofourknowledgenotbeenaddressedbefore.Thispapercontributestotheliteratureinseveralways.First,itdemonstratesthein uenceoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeonpersonalities.Second,thepresentpaperidenti esonefacetofthesocialistregimeasanimportantdriveroftheobservablefootprintoftheGDRsystem.Third,wepresentback-of-the-envelopecalculationsoftheimplicationsoftheshadowsoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeforpeoples'lifeoutcomestoday.Moreover,wecontributetoabetterunderstandingofdi erencesbetweenEastandWestGermanspresentedinthepriorliterature.Theremainderofourpaperisorganizedasfollows:InSection2,wediscussourresearchdesigninmoredetail.InSection3,wedescribethedatausedinouranalysis.InSection4,wepresentourempiricalanalysis.Thein uenceofsecret-servicein ltration(asanimportantfacetofthesocialistregime)onpersonalitytraitsisconsideredinSection5.Section6presentsrougheconomicimplicationsoftheestimateddi erencesinpersonality.The nalsectionconcludes.2ResearchdesignWeproposethatdi erencesinpersonalitytraitsofEastandWestGermansmeasuredafterthereuni cationarerelatedtohavingtreatedpeoplelivinginEastandWestGermanywithtwodi erentpoliticalregimesduringthe40plusyearsofseparation.Inotherwords,weconsidertheGermanseparationintotheFRGandtheGDRtobeanaturalexperiment.Toisolatethecausalimpactofthesocialistregimeonpersonality,akeyidentifyingassumptionisthatEastandWest6 Germansdidnotdi erfromeachotherinthisregardpriortotheGermanseparation.Lackingdataonpersonalitytraitsbeforetheimpositionoftherespectivepoliticalregimes,weproposethatsimilaritybetweenEastandWestGermanswithrespecttoahostofothervariablespriortotheseparationmaybesucientlyindicativethatourassumptionisreasonable.Atthetimewhenthetwopoliticalregimeswereimposed,theinhabitantsinthetreatmentandcontrolregionsmusthavebeencomparableinimportantdimensions.Notably,theimpositionofthepoliticalregimewasnotuponrequestoftheinhabitants.Infact,whichpoliticalregimewasimposedwasaresultofhowtheUnitedKingdom,theUnitedStates,andtheSovietUnionagreedonaprotocolforthepartitionofpostwarGermanyin1944,whichhappenedsoastoallowforadivisionoftheterritoryintothreesectorsofroughlyequalpopulationsize(e.g.,BurchardiandHassan2013).Accordingly,theactualimpositionoftheregimeswasunrelatedtothepersonalitiesoftheinhabitants.Inthisvein,ReddingandSturm(2008)highlightthatthedecisionsdeterminingthepartitionofEastandWestGermanyareunlikelytobecorrelatedwithprewarcharacteristicsofrespectiveregions.Moreover,asarguedbyAlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln(2007),forexample,theregionsthatbecametheFRGandtheGDRweresimilarintermsofpre-WorldWarIIaveragepercapitaincomelevelsandintermsoftheamountofdestructionduringWorldWarII.Theavailabledatacon rmssimilarityofthetworegionsinotherregardsaswell.Thisapplies,forinstance,tothesplitoftheworkingpopulationacrossindustries(Schafgen1998),thepoliticalorientationofvotersattheturnofthecentury(AlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln2007),andtothepopulationdensity(Hubert1998).Moreover,Wolf(2009)statesthatGermanywasbytheendoftheWeimarRepublicin1933aneconomicallywell-integratedarea,suchthattheseparationintoEastandWestGermanythatexistedbetweenabout1946and1989washardlypredictablein1939.BasedonsuchevidenceRainerandSiedler(2009),amongothers,concludethatthetwopartsofGermanywereindistinguishablepriortotheseparation.Afterthetwopoliticalregimeshadbeenimposed,aroundthreemillionpeopleemigratedfromtheGDRtotheFRGbeforetheBerlinWallwasbuiltinAugust1961(e.g.,Heidemeyer1994,Hubert1998),whereastherewaslittlemigrationafter1961orfromWesttoEastGermany.Importantly,intellectualsandentrepreneurswereoverrepresentedamongthesampleofmigrants(e.g.,Heidemeyer1994).4AlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln(2007)andGeissler(2008),amongothers,arguethatthemainmotivesformigrationwerefamilyreunions,lackingeconomicopportunities,andtheimposedpoliticalrestrictions.Thismigrationduringourtreatmentperiodispotentiallyproblematicforouridenti cationofatreatmente ectwhenthemigratingpopulationdi eredconsistentlyregardingtheirpersonalitytraits{apossibilitythatisnottestableduetothelackofdata.Toaddressthismigrationissueweincludeinformationpertainingtothesurveyrespondent's 4Schafgen(1998:58)neverthelessassertsthatthestructureofthesocietyregardingeducationalachievementandimplieddi erencesbetweensocialgroupsremainedrelativelystableandcomparableinEastandWestGermany.7 parentstocontrolforcharacteristicsofthepersoninchargeofthemigrationdecisionatthetime.AftertheGDR'ssocialistregimewasremoved,wehavefullcontrolwithregardtomigration.5Morespeci cally,ourdatasetallowsustodi erentiateEastGermanswhohavelivedintheGDRin1989andcontinuetoliveinthatregionofGermanytodayfromthosewhohavelivedintheGDRin1989butmovedwestwardsbeforetheirparticipationinthesurveyyearsofrelevancetous.Inaddition,therichSOEPdatasetenablesustotakeintoaccountindividualinformationaboutthepost-reuni cationperiodregarding,inparticular,individualemploymenthistory.Thisisimportantforouridenti cationstrategybecauseadverselifeevents,suchaslongunemploymentspells,wererelativelymorelikelyinEastGermanyafterthereuni cationandmayimprintonpersonality(Cobb-ClarkandSchurer2012).Insummary,webelievethatouridentifyingassumptionthatdi erencesinpersonalitytraitsareshapedbythepopulation'sexperiencesunderthetwopoliticalregimesseemsjusti ed,parallelingtheapproachtakenbyAlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln(2007),BauernschusterandRainer(2012),HeineckandSussmuth(2013),andRainerandSiedler(2009).Whenweanalyzeregionalvariationinsecret-servicesurveillanceintensityacrossGDRcountiesinSection5,we ndnotablewithin-treatmentheterogeneityperfectlyalignedwiththeideathatourmainresultsareduetotreatedEastGermansandnon-treatedWestGermans.However,wecannotruleoutthepossibilitythatmigrationduringthetreatmentperiodconfoundsourresults.3DataOurempiricalanalysisisbasedontheGermanSocio-EconomicPanel(SOEP),anationallyrep-resentativelongitudinaldataset,whichstartedin1984.6TheSOEPcombinesextensivesocio-demographicinformationwithvariousmeasuresofpreferencesandpersonalitytraits.Werestrictourworkingsampletorespondentswithvalidinformationaboutwheretheylivedin1989(i.e.,theyearbeforethereuni cation).Furthermore,weincludeonlysubjectswhowereeitherborninGermanyorimmigratedbefore1949.Thesedataselectioncriteriamirrortheargumentinourresearchdesignsectionthattheseparationandthereuni cationofEastandWestGermanyconstituteauniquenaturalexperiment.Inthisspirit,GermannativeslivinginEastGermanyin1989constitutethetreatmentgroup,whilenativeslivinginWestGermanyin1989representthecontrolgroup.Forallrespondents,wecollectdataonpersonalityconstructsprovidedbytheSOEPintheyears2005,2009,and2010.Henceourworkingsampleisanunbalancedpaneldatasetfortheseyears. 5See,forexample,Hunt(2006)andFuchs-SchundelnandSchundeln(2009)foradescriptionandanalysisofthemigrationaftertheendoftheGDR.6FormoreinformationabouttheSOEPingeneral,refertoWagneretal.(2007).8 Westudytherelationshipbetweenthepoliticalregimeandpersonality.Tomeasurethelatter,weusethelocusofcontrol,positive/negativereciprocity,andtheBigFivepersonalitytraits.Thelocusofcontrolmaybeunderstoodas\ageneralizedattitude,belief,orexpectancyregardingthenatureofthecausalrelationshipbetweenone'sownbehavioranditsconsequences"(Rotter1966:2).Fromaneconomicpointofview,itisimportantthatpeoplewithaninternallocusofcontrolperceivefutureoutcomesasbeingcontingentontheirowndecisionsandbehavior,whereaspeoplewithanexternallocusofcontrolbelievethatmosteventsintheirlifearebeyondtheircontrol.FollowingCaliendoetal.(2015),weconstructastandardizedcontinuousmeasureoflocusofcontrolwherehighvaluesindicateamoreinternallocusofcontrol.Turningtoreciprocityasanindividualtrait,wenotethatpeoplearepositivelyreciprocalwhentheyrewardkindactionsbyothersandnegativelyreciprocalwhentheypunishothersforunkindactions.Dohmenetal.(2009),forexample,haveemphasizedthatitisimportanttodistinguishpositivefromnegativereciprocityastheyrepresentdistincttraits.TheBig5approachcomprisesthetraitsneuroticism,conscientiousness,openness,agreeableness,andextraversion.Table1presentsade nitionandcorrelatedtraitadjectivesoftheBig5traitsfollowingBeckeretal.(2012)andHeckmanandKautz(2012)toprovideforabetterunderstanding.Likethelocusofcontrolandreciprocity,theBig5personalitytraitscoresuserespondents'self-assessmentsintermsofagreementwithhowspeci cstatementsdescribetheirpersonality(e.g.,CostaandMcCrae1992)onascalefrom1(notatalltrue)to7(completelytrue).7Allmeasuresofpersonalityaregeneratedbystandardizingthesumofthescoresofthedimension-speci cquestions.Notethatahighervalueofthederivedvariablerepresentsastrongerintensityofthattrait(e.g.,beingmoreconscientious).InformationontheBigFiveiscontainedinthesurveyyears2005and2009,whereasinformationonthelocusofcontrolandreciprocityscoresisavailablein2005and2010.Thecovariateofkeyinterestinthe rstpartofourempiricalanalysisisadummyvariablethatisequaltoone(zero)whentherespondentwasaresidentoftheGDR(FRG)in1989.Weincludeahostoffurthercovariatesinordertoisolatethecausalimpactofthesocialistregime(seeTable2).SincetheinformationoftheSOEPallowsustotracksubjects,weincludeadummyvariableequaltooneshouldasubjecthavemovedwestwards.Theageoftherespondentisincludedsinceitin uencespersonality.Evenduringtheperiodinwhichpersonalitytraitsarerelativelystable,ithasgenerallybeenestablishedthat,forexample,conscientiousnesstendstoincreasewithage(Borghansetal.2008).Genderisincludedasadummyvariableequaltoonewhentherespondentismaleandzerootherwise.Sincepersonalityisverymuchshapedby 7GerlitzandSchupp(2005)describetheimplementationoftheBigFiveinventoryintotheSOEPandthereliabilityofmeasurements.Cobb-ClarkandSchurer(2012)provideevidencethatthesemeasuredtraitsarestableovertimeandthatintra-individualchangesarenoteconomicallymeaningful.Therefore,theyconcludethattheBigFivemeasuresmaybeconsideredstableinputintoeconomicdecisions.Spechtetal.(2011)testthestabilityofpersonalitytraitsintermsofmean-levelandrank-orderconsistencyusingtheSOEP.9 Table1:BigFivePersonalityTraits(Beckeretal.2012,HeckmanandKautz2012). DescriptionoftraitCorrelatedtraitadjectives Openness Individualdi erencesinthetendencyImaginative,artistic,tobeopentonewaesthetic,cultural,excitable,wideinterests,andintellectualexperiencescurious,unconventional Conscientiousness ThetendencytoberesponsibleEcient,organized,andhardworking;locatedatoneendnotcareless,ambitious,ofadimensionofindividualdi erencesnotlazy,notimpulsive(conscientiousnessversuslackofdirection) Extraversion Anorientationofone'sinterestsFriendly,sociable,andenergiestowardtheouterworldofpeopleandthingsself-con dent,energetic,ratherthantheinnerworldofsubjectiveexperienceadventurous,enthusiastic Agreeableness Thetendencytoactinacooperative,Forgiving,notdemanding,unsel shmanner;locatedatoneendofawarm,notstubborn,dimensionofindividualdi erences(agreeablenessversusdisagreeableness)notshow-o ,sympathetic Neuroticism AchroniclevelofemotionalinstabilityWorrying,irritable,notcontended,andpronenesstopsychologicaldistressshy,moody,notself-con dent theparentsandtheenvironmentduringchildhood,wealsoincludeinformationaboutwhetherornottherespondentwasraisedinasmall,medium-sizedoralargecommunityandabouttheeducationalbackgroundoftheparents(forwhichweusedummyvariablesforthehighestdegreeobtainedbythefatherandthemother).8Thelatterinclusionisalsointendedtoaddresspotentialselectione ectsduetothemigrationaftertheimpositionoftheGDR'ssocialistregimebutbeforetheerectionoftheBerlinWall.Withrespecttothefamilystatus,wedi erentiatemarried,divorced,andwidowed,sothatsingleisthereferencecategory.Intermsofworkstatus,itmaybethattherespondentworksfulltimeorparttime,orthatatrainingorunemploymentstatusdescribesthesituationatthetimeofthesurvey(seethevariablesempfull-time,part-time,vocationalorunemployed).Furthermore,weincludeinformationabouttheemploymenthistoryoftherespondent(i.e.,weconsideryearsinfullorparttimeemployment,andunemployment;seethevariablesexpfull-time,part-time,andunemp).Thisisimportantbecauseadverseevents,suchaslongunemploymentspells,mayin uencepersonalitytraits.Inaddition,potentiale ectsfrombeingapensioner,abluecollarworkeroracivilservantwillbetakenintoaccountinourempiricalmodel.Thelogarithmofnetincomealsoenterssomeregressions.Abadhealthstatussimilarlybelongsintothegroupofadverseevents,whichiswhythereisadummyvariabletocontrolforitsin uence(Spechtetal.2013).Thisdummyvariableisequaltoonewhentherespondent 8Wedi erentiatethethreeschooltracksinGermany,namelyHaupt,Real,andAbi,whereHauptwouldbeconsideredlowerlevel,Realmiddlelevel,andAbitoplevelofschooling.10 reportsthatcurrenthealthiseither\notgood"or\bad"(i.e.,eithera4ora5froma ve-pointscale).Inourempiricalanalysis,werunspeci cationsinwhichonlyarguablyexogenousvariablesentertheequation(theupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest)andotherswiththefullsetofcontrolvariables.Employingthefullsetofcovariatesleadstosmallerworkingsamplesizesbecausesomeofthepresumablyendogenousvariableshavehigherratesofitemnon-response.Itemnon-responsemightitselfbeinformativewithrespecttopersonality.Table2presentssummarystatisticsbytreatmentstatusforallvariablesusedinourempiricalanalysis.TestresultsinColumn(3)indicatethatformerGDRandFRGresidentsdi erwithrespecttocovariateslikeage,maritalstatus,andlabormarketexperience,suggestingadjustmentforcovariatedi erencesinourlinearregressionframework.ImbensandWooldrigde(2009)pointoutthatdi erencesintheobservablecharacteristicsofthetreatmentandthecontrolgroupmightleadtosensitiveestimationresultsinalinearregressionframework.Theyproposetoassesstheimbalanceofthecovariatedistributionsbytestingwhetherornotanormalizeddi erenceofthetreatmentandcontrolgroupmeansexceeds0.25(asaruleofthumb).Thenormalizeddi erencesinourdataarelessthan0.25forallbutthreecovariatesinTable2,andareinthesethreecasesverycloseto0.25.AfterwehaveestablishedtherelationshipbetweenGDRresidenceandpersonality,weconsideroneaspectoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeinmoredetail.Tothisend,weexploitvariationinthenumberofunocialcollaboratorsacrosscounties.Unocialcollaboratorswerecriticalintryingtokeepallcitizensinlinewiththeexpectationsofthesocialistunityparty(SED)andresponsibleforseedingdistrustamongthepeople.Tothisend,theyprimarilycollectedinformationandhelpedwithlogisticalneeds.Unocialcollaboratorswereusuallymotivatedonideological,non-materialgrounds(althoughsomewereblackmailedintocollaboration)andrecruitedmainlyusingtheselectioncriteriaquali cationforthetasksathandandtrustworthiness(Muller-Enbergs2008a).WecollectedinformationonthenumberofunocialinformersoftheEastGermanstate-securityservicefromMuller-Enbergs(2008b).9Thedataconsistsofthenumberofcollaboratorsintheregionalocesatthecountylevel.10Theministryofstatesecuritydistinguisheddi erenttypesofunocialcollaboratorsaccordingtotheirmainduties(e.g.,Muller-Enbergs2008a:15-35).Themajority,forexample,weredenotedunocialcollaboratorforspeci ctasks(InozielleMitarbeiterzurSicherungdesVerantwortungsbereichs,IMS)andcollectedinformation,interalia,withinthestate-ownedcompaniesandeducationalinstitutions.Otherkindsofcollaborators 9JacobandTyrell(2010)relyonthesamedatasourceinstudyingtheassociationofsurveillanceand(i)electoralparticipation,(ii)sports-clubmembership,and(iii)organdonations.10Inadditiontounocialcollaboratorsatthecountylevel,informantsworkedatthehigherregionallevel(Bezirk).Sincewelackinformationabouthowtoallocatethesecollaboratorstothedi erentcounties,wefocusedonthenumberofunocialinformantsatthecountylevel.Fortheendof1988,Muller-Enbergsreports46,857collaboratorsattheBezirklevelwhilemorethan117,000informants(about65%ofthetotal)workedforthestate-securityservicesatthecountylevel.11 Table2:DescriptiveStatisticsbytreatmentstatus (1)(2)(3)(4)FRGGDRt-testabsolutevaluecountmeancountmeanp-valuenormalizeddi erence Locusofcontrol223664.87095794.7980.0000.063Neuroticism237143.894101034.0210.0000.071Conscientiousness236255.830100715.8970.0000.048Openness235964.427100664.3630.0080.036Extraversion237114.782100944.7910.7010.005Agreeableness237235.369100915.4000.1070.021PosReciprocity228605.82997225.8420.4630.010NegReciprocity227883.09397233.1370.1470.020movedWest341370145540.164{{age3413751.001455448.800.0000.083male341370.483145540.4770.6240.008largecity341370.225145540.2020.0140.038mediumcity341370.176145540.1820.5640.009smallcity341370.206145540.2290.0180.037motherHaupt341370.678145540.5390.0000.194motherReal341370.153145540.2790.0000.206motherAbi341370.0508145540.05940.1180.025mothernovoc341370.386145540.2120.0000.266mothervoc341370.437145540.5510.0000.155mothertechschool341370.00668145540.04980.0000.169motheruni341370.0283145540.05050.0000.076fatherHaupt341370.643145540.5250.0000.163fatherReal341370.120145540.2410.0000.210fatherAbi341370.106145540.09100.0220.035fathernovoc341370.119145540.06450.0000.130fathervoc341370.670145540.6780.4300.012fathertechschool341370.0168145540.04150.0000.097fatheruni341370.0799145540.08540.3970.013 married341370.551145540.5050.0000.063divorced341370.0946145540.1150.0050.044widowed341370.0934145540.07850.0110.036yearsofeducation3261112.051396112.230.0010.052empfull-time341370.384145540.3940.3390.014emppart-time341370.104145540.08960.0190.032empvocational341370.0170145540.02520.0030.038unemployed341370.0407145540.1080.0000.170pensioner341370.291145540.2730.0610.027self-emp341370.0584145540.05170.1610.020bluecollar341370.138145540.1810.0000.079civilservant341370.0434145540.02180.0000.084netincome320712620.0140182013.20.0000.306expfull-time3409817.731454719.380.0000.076exppart-time340983.273145471.9980.0000.160expunemp340980.679145471.6280.0000.252badhealth340580.194145200.1980.5870.007 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005,2009,2010.SOEP-weightsareapplied.12 providedhousing,phoneconnectionsorsimplypostaladdressesfortheworkofthestate-securityservices.Forourmainvariable(IM),weincludedthesedi erenttypesofsecretcollaborators.Wealsouseabroadermeasure(IM&publiccollaborators)inordertoapproximatethesurveillanceintensitywhichadditionallyincludescollaboratorswhosetaskwastoopenlyagitateinfavorofthesocialistpartyandthestate(Kowalczuk2013:220).Attheendof1988,suchpubliclyrecognizablecollaboratorsamountedto18,145individualswhichaccountsfor20%ofallcollaboratorsatthecountylevel.Toassignthenumberofcollaboratorsinthecountyocestothecountiesinexistencearoundtheuni cationofGermany,werelyontheexactlocationoftheregionaloces.11Wehaveobservationsforabout90percentofthecounties(relyingonMuller-Enbergs2008b;seeFigures1and2).TodealwiththefactthatthedatainMuller-Enbergsisnotconsistentlyreportedforallcountiesandpointsintime,weuseaveragesacrossthe1980sandscalethenumberofcollaboratorsbythepopulationlivinginthecountiesatthetime.12Table3showsthatthereisnotablevariationinthesecret-servicesurveillanceintensityacrosscounties.Togivejustoneexample,thenumberofunocialcollaboratorsinCottbuswasparticularlyhighinthe1980sandabouttwiceashighasthenumbersinHalleorLeipzig.Table3:Descriptivestatisticsforthenumberofunocialcollaboratorsper1.000inhabitants (1)(2)(3)(4)MeanSDMinMax IM4.191.521.278.46IM&publiccollaborators5.362.041.4110.4 Notes:WecompiledoursecretservicedatausingMuller-Enbergs(2008b).WelinkthisdataonthenumberofunocialcollaboratorswithourSOEPworkingsampledescribedaboveasfollows:Weselectthesubsampleofpeoplefromourmainworkingsamplewho(i)livedinEastGermanyin1989,(ii)participatedinthe rstwaveoftheSOEPin1990beforetheGermanreuni cation,and(iii)providedvalidcountyidenti erinformationin1990.Thesethreecriteriaensurethatallsamplemembersweretreatedbystate-securitysurveillance.Next,wemergebothdatasetsusingthecountylevelidenti er.13ThissecondworkingsampleofformerGDRcitizenscontainsallvariablesofourmainworkingsample.Furthermore,wegeneratesomecovariatesspeci ctoouranalysisofthewithin-treatmentheterogeneityofformerGDRcitizens.Inspring1990,respondentsofthenewEastGermanSOEPsamplehadtoanswerquestionsabout 11WeusedthecountiesinEastGermanythatexistedbeforethereformsofcountiesinSaxonyin2008,Saxony-Anhaltin2007andMecklenburg-Vorpommernin2011.12Morespeci cally,weusedtheaveragepopulationreportedtohavebeenlivinginthecountiesoftheGermanDemocraticRepublicduringthe1980sfromtheStatistischesJahrbuchderDDR(seewww.digizeitschriften.de/dms/toc/?PPN=PPN514402644fordetails.)13Sincethecountylevelidenti eroftheSOEParecon dential,thismustbedonebysubmittingSTATAjobsviae-mailtothesecuredSOEPremotesystematDIWBerlin.Fordetailsaboutdataaccess,refertoGoebel(2014).13 whethertheyhaveregularlyreceivedpresentsorallowancesfromrelativesorfriendslivingintheFRGinthelastyears.Weusethisinformationtogenerate(i)adummyvariableindicatingwhetherornotanindividualhasreceivedpresentsorallowanceswhentheindividualstatedthatitisdiculttostatetheirmonetaryequivalentand(ii)acontinuousvariableindicatingthevalueofthesetransfersotherwise.About27%ofourrespondentsreceivedpresentsorallowancesfromFRGcitizensofwhich55%statedtheirvalue.Themean(median)valueofallowancesperannumis419(50)euros.Moreover,wealsoincludethecontemporaneousunemploymentrateatthecountylevelforourwithin-treatmentanalysis.4PersonalityandtheGDR'ssocialistregime:EmpiricalanalysisOurresultsaboutwhetherornotthepoliticalregimeoftheGDRhashadasigni cantin uenceonpersonalityarepresentedinthissection.Wewillproceedinseveralsteps.Inthenextsection,wepresentresultsfromourbaselineestimationsaboutthedirecte ectoftheGDR'sregimeandpossibleconvergencee ects.Throughoutwewillrelyonordinaryleastsquaresregressionswherethedependentvariablesarethestandardizedpersonalitymeasures,standarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel,andSOEPweightsareused.Aftershowingourbaselineestimates,wewillpresentresultsfordi erentagecohorts,asitislikelythattheexposuretothepoliticalregimeisimportantforwhetherornotthepersonalitywasa ectedbytheGDRsystem.Inordertoestablishthatwearenotmerelycapturingregionaldi erenceswithregardtopersonality,wepresentrobustnesschecksthatconsiderdi erentsubsamplesofthedatainSection4.3.4.1MainresultsWe rstturntothein uenceofthesocialistregimeonthelocusofcontrol.Thepoliticalregimeseverelyrestrictedthediscretionwithregardtowhatactivitiesmaybeundertaken.Inmanyscenarios,externalcircumstancespredictedthataspeci coutcomewillobtain.Forexample,thepossibilitytoattenduniversitywasbarredformanyyoungadultswhentheirparentsweresomewhatsuspectforocialdecision-makers.14Forotherdomainsoflife,Fulbrook(2005:54,76)notesthatoneofthegreatestsourcesoffrustrationwasthewidespreaddependenceonthestatewithrespecttohousingandholidays,tonamejusttwoexamples.Theclearpredictionwithrespecttothelocusofcontrolthatfollowsfromthesestatementsiscon rmedbyourdata,asillustratedinTable4(fordetailedregressionsresults,seeTable8intheappendix).People 14Forexample,thechildrenofthepresentGermanpresidentGauckwerenotallowedtostudy(Fuchs-SchundelnandMasella2014).14 whohavelivedintheGDRhavealowerlocusofcontrolscore,whichimpliesthattheyattributeconsequencesmoretosourcesoutsidetheircontrol.Inquantitativeterms,ourresultsindicatethathavingexperiencedtheGDR'ssocialistregimeleadstoareductioninthelocusofcontrolscoreofaboutatenthofastandarddeviation.Thesigni cantcoecientofthe\movedWest"dummyvariableindicatesthatthedi erenceinthelocusofcontrolisnotpresentforsubjectswhomovedtoWestGermanyafterthereuni cation.15WhenweincludetheinteractionofGDRandtheyear2010,we ndnoe ectforthisvariable.Inotherwords,thereisnosignofconvergencewithregardtothelocusofcontrol(asfortheotherpersonalitytraitstocome).TheGDR'sin uenceonpersonalitiesasmeasuredbytheBig5inventoryofpersonalitytraitsisconsiderednext.We rstturntoneuroticismwhichisabroaddomainofnegativea ect,includingpredispositionstoexperienceanxiety,anger,shame,andotherdistressingemotions.OurempiricalresultsshowthatformerGDRresidentshavehigherlevelsofneuroticism(seeTable4).Thisresultmaybeattributedtodi erentaspectsoftheGDR'spoliticalregime.Asexplainedbefore,therelianceofthestate-securityservicesonawidewebofunocialcollaboratorscausedpeopletodistrustagreatnumberofindividualsanddestabilizedthesocialkitofsociety(Kowalczuk2013).Inaddition,peoplerepeatedlyhadtoexperiencebadandoftenunexpectedevents.Forexample,onecriticalremarkinclassmayhaveledtothesuddenex-matriculationofthecommentingstudent(Jahn2014:23)oraninappropriatehairlengthcouldhaveledtobeingtakentoacompulsoryhaircut(Fulbrook2005:71).Therealsowerecircumstancesinwhichthestate-securityservicesfabricatedwrongdoings(Kowalczuk2013:9,Muller-Enbergs2008a:3).Asforthelocusofcontrol,whetherornotaformerGDRresidenthasmovedwestwardsisconsequential(i.e.,thee ectsforsubjectswhomovedtoWestGermanycancelout).16Next,weaddressthepersonalitytraitconscientiousness.Famously,theGDRregimeidealizedlaborandtheworkerclass(Fulbrook2005:214).Moreover,thegreaterscarcityofgoodsthatquicklybecameaneverydayrealityintheGDRrequiredthatpeoplegetorganizedandcarefullyplanahead.Theshortagesweresodrasticastomakepeoplestealmaterialsfromtheworkplaceinverynoticeableamounts(Fulbrook2005:57).Thein ltrationbyunocialcollaboratorsinducedgreatcarewithregardtowhatcanbetoldandtowhom,andincentivizedcontrollingimpulses.Moregenerally,abidingbyconventionalrulesandnormswasalsorelativelymoreimportantintheGDR,andthewillingnesstodosoiscloselyrelatedtoconscientiousness(CostaandMcCrae1992).Infact,manypeopleintheGDRsimplyfollowedrulesandnormswithoutquestioning,acceptingthemas\thatishowitworks"(e.g.,Jahn2014).AlloftheseaspectsmakeusexpectthatformerGDRresidentsshowagreaterlevelofconscientiousness,whichisexactlywhatwe nd(seeTable4).Withregardtoconscientiousness,the\movedWest"dummyvariableisinsigni cant. 15Resultsfromt-testssupportthisconclusion.16Theothercoecientsareinlinewithprevious ndings(seeTable8intheappendix).Forexample,theresultthatwomenonaveragehavehigherscoresregardingneuroticism(e.g.,Costaetal.2001).15 Table4:PersonalitytraitsandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3)Speci cation1Speci cation2Speci cation3 Locusofcontrol GDR-0.129-0.0869-0.0668(-6.16)(-3.67)(-2.58)movedWest0.1420.145(2.95)(3.00)N319452879328793 Neuroticism GDR0.1240.1040.113(5.97)(4.60)(4.60)movedWest-0.105-0.104(-2.00)(-1.98)N338173052430524 Conscientiousness GDR0.1040.1000.104(5.10)(4.39)(4.13)movedWest-0.0216-0.0212(-0.41)(-0.40)N336963041930419 Openness GDR-0.0981-0.0770-0.0915(-4.88)(-3.36)(-3.63)movedWest0.04020.0386(0.71)(0.68)N336623039630396 Extraversion GDR-0.00875-0.004860.0119(-0.41)(-0.20)(0.45)movedWest0.1230.125(2.09)(2.12)N338053050630506 Agreeableness GDR0.04460.03700.0473+(2.23)(1.62)(1.83)movedWest0.02580.0270(0.50)(0.52)N338143051430514 Positivereciprocity GDR0.01570.03610.0282(0.77)(1.48)(1.06)movedWest-0.000202-0.000202(-0.00)(-0.00)N325822931629316 Negativereciprocity GDR0.03070.03560.0377(1.46)(1.45)(1.42)movedWest-0.115-0.115(-2.36)(-2.36)N325112926329263 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005,2009,and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableistherespectivestandardizedpersonalitymeasure.Spec1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Spec2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009or2010.Spec3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyforeither2009or2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:01.Formoredetailedregressionresults,refertoTables8-14.16 Thepersonalitytraitopennessismeanttocaptureaspectssuchascreativity,originality,andopen-mindednessfornewexperiences.Needlesstosay,thepoliticalregimeoftheGDRseverelyrestrictedtheindividualfreedomwithintheprivateandtheworkdomain.IntheGDRallissueswereinterpretedinpoliticalterms(Fulbrook2005:49),whichnarrowedtheindividualleewayeveninprivatematters.Non-standardwaysofbehaviorusuallydrewtheunwantedattentionofstateauthorities(e.g.,Jahn2014:39).Accordingly,itisintuitivethatwe ndthatGDRresidentsshowloweropennessratings(seeTable4).Next,westudytheregime'sin uenceonextraversion,whichisanimportantinterpersonaltrait.Extravertsaresaidtobeenthusiastic,talkative,gregarious,andconcernedwithobtaininggrati cationfromwhatisoutsidetheself.FortheGDR,ithasbeenarguedthatmanycitizenssoughtrefugeintheprivatedomain.Moreover,thepotentialpresenceofunocialcollaboratorsmadepeoplekeepthingsrathertothemselves.Forexample,althoughmostpeoplewatchedtelevisionfromWestGermanyoratleastdesiredtodoso,itwasimperativenottodisclosethisrealitytoavoidrepression.17TheseargumentssuggestthatGDRresidentsshowalowerextraversionscoreonaverage.Ourempiricalresultsdonotcon rmthishypothesis(seeTable4).Agreeablenessisapersonalitytraitthatisusuallyassociatedwithwarmth,friendliness,andkindness.Womenusuallyhavehigherratingsinthisdimension(Costaetal.2001),whichalsoholdstrueforoursample(seeTable13intheappendix).Whenitcomestothein uenceoftheGDR'ssocialistregime,itisnoteasytoarriveatapredictionbecausetherelativelygreaterruthlessnessfacedinthesomewhatanonymousouterworldwiththeconstantthreatofrepressionmighthavebeencompensatedbygreaterwarmthintheinnercircle.Inourbaselineestimations,we ndapositivein uenceofhavinglivedintheGDRontheagreeablenessscorethatissigni cantonlyatthe10%levelinthemodelincludingallcovariates(seeTable4).Finally,weaddresswhetherornotreciprocityscoresaredi erentforGDRresidents.Forexample,CharnessandRabin(2002)haveemphasizedtheimportanceofreciprocityconcernsforsocialpreferences.Withrespecttosocialpreferences,forinstance,HeineckandSussmuth(2013)arguethatGDR'ssocialistregimeproclaimedthedesirabilityofaltruismbutinsteadingrainedsel shness.TheresultsofBrosig-Kochetal.(2011)andOckenfelsandWeimann(1999)maybeinterpretedasconsistentinthesensethatsubjectsfromEastGermanybothshowedandexpectedlesssolidarityfromothers,givingaclearindicationofadi erentsocialnorminthisregard.Insteadofunconditionalhelpandcooperation,peopleintheGDRmayhavereliedtoagreaterextentonconditionalitytosustaincooperationinsmallandnonanonymousgroupsthatwereimportanttogetbyintheGDR'sregime(forexchangeofgoods,swappingof ats,etc.).Itmaythusbeexpectedthatthelevelsofpositiveandnegativereciprocityshowanimpactofthe 17BursztynandCantoni(forthcoming)presentaveryinterestinganalysisoftherepercussionsofwatchingtele-visionfromWestGermanyonconsumptionpatternsafterthereuni cation.17 GDR'spoliticalregime.Inourbaselineestimations,thecoecientsarealignedwithintuitionbutare{atconventionallevels{notsigni cant(seeTable4).Wesummarizethe ndingsfromourbaselineanalysisasfollows:Result1IncomparisontoresidentsoftheFRG,we ndthatformerGDRresidentswholiveinEastGermanyhave:(i)amoreexternallocusofcontrol,(ii)ahigherneuroticismscore,(iii)ahigherconscientiousnessscore,and(iv)aloweropennessscore.Ourresultsforthetraitagreeablenessindicateonlyaweakpositiverelationship,whereasformerGDRresidents'ratingswithregardtoextraversionandreciprocityarenotsigni cantlydi erent.4.2Thee ectofvariationintheexposuretotheGDR'sregime:Co-hortanalysisWenowconsiderthee ectofthenumberofyearsspentundersocialismonpersonalitytraits.Inparticular,wede nefourgroupsaccordingtotheyearofbirth:bornbefore1945,bornbetween1945and1960,bornbetween1960and1975,andbornbetween1975and1989.Wesplitthewholemainsampleandrunordinaryleastsquaresregressionsforeverycohort,usingtheGDRdummyasourvariableofmaininterest.AllestimationsincludethecovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2usedbefore(whereresultsarequalitativelyuna ectedbytheconsiderationofthefullsetofcovariates).Table5summarizestheregimecoecients,whereasallregressionresultsareincludedintheappendix(seeTables15-22).Thecohortcomprisingpeoplebornbefore1945havespentmostoftheirlivesintheGDR,makingthemthegroupwiththelongestexposuretotheGDR'ssocialistregime.However,notallindividualsfromthiscohorthavereceivedalloftheirschoolingintheGDR'sregime.Thecohortincludingsubjectsbornbetween1945and1960haveobtainedalloftheireducationandsocializationintheGDR.Forpeoplebornbetween1960and1975,thiswillalsobetrueformostofthesubjects.Incontrast,individualsbornafter1975havenotnecessarilyexperiencedalltheimportantstepsinthesocialistupbringing.Fromthisdescription,onemightassumethatthetwocohortscomprisingpeoplebornbefore1960shouldshowthestrongeste ects.We ndthatthesigni cantnegativee ectoftheGDRdummyvariableonthelocusofcontrolshowsforallcohorts.Importantly,thee ectappearstobestrongerforindividualswithalongerregimeexposure.18Thehigherneuroticismscorecanalsobeestablishedforallcohorts.Thelevelofconscientious-nessissigni cantlyrelatedtohavinglivedundertheGDR'ssocialistregimeforthreeoutofthe 18Forexample,comparingthelocusofcontrolcoecientsforthecohorts1945-60and1960-75,wecanrejectthenullhypothesisthattheyarethesameat =0:09.TheestimatedGDRcoecientforthecohort1945-60indicatesareductionofthelocusofcontrolscoreduetotheGDRtreatmentofaboutone- fthofastandarddeviation.18 Table5:PersonalitytraitsandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 Locusofcontrol GDR-0.153-0.198-0.104-0.126(-4.11)(-4.67)(-2.32)(-2.12)N8737858586515972 Neuroticism GDR0.1350.1380.1540.133(4.06)(3.30)(3.31)(2.33)N9334895591396389 Conscientiousness GDR0.1120.06370.09430.173(3.21)(1.55)(2.20)(2.96)N9238894591386375 Openness GDR-0.0347-0.129-0.1820.00445(-1.00)(-3.22)(-4.22)(0.08)N9236894091126374 Extraversion GDR0.0684-0.0215-0.106-0.0663(2.05)(-0.51)(-2.14)(-1.09)N9324895591406386 Agreeableness GDR0.07900.03230.03750.0414(2.36)(0.79)(0.86)(0.73)N9350895591276382 Positivereciprocity GDR0.01790.008720.0457-0.0177(0.49)(0.18)(1.12)(-0.33)N8999872587756083 Negativereciprocity GDR-0.009060.02650.09870.179(-0.25)(0.53)(2.03)(3.40)N8974872287516064 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005,2009,and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableistherespectivestandardizedpersonalitymeasure.Thespeci -cationincludesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparenthe-ses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:01.Formoredetailedregressionresults,refertoTables15-22.19 fourcohorts,whereastheopennessscoreisa ectedforpeoplebornbetween1945and1975whohavebeenraisedandeducatedintheGDR.Thecohortanalysismirrorsourbaselineestimatesinthatpositivereciprocityisnotsigni cantlydi erentforGDRresidents,whereaswe ndahighernegativereciprocityforsubjectsbornafter1960.Overall,focusingoncohortssuggeststhatlongerexposuretothepoliticalregimeoftheGDRandhavingobtainedalloftheeducationandsocializationintheGDRmakesthetreatmente ectsomewhatmorepronounced.Theresultthatthelengthoftheexposuretothesocialistregimemattersshowsclearlyforthelocusofcontrol,neuroticismandagreeablenesswhenweuseallcovariatesfromTable2inourcohortregressionexercises.RelatedresultswereobtainedbyAlesinaandFuchs-Schundeln(2007),forinstance.4.3Robustnesschecks:North-south,religiosity,andstate-speci cef-fectsTheresultspresentedbeforestemfromordinaryleastsquaresregressions.Findingsarecompara-blewhenweuserandom-e ectsspeci cationswithatimeinvariantindividualvariancecomponent.Moreover,theresultspresentedqualitativelydonotdependonwhetherwerunregressionssepa-ratelyforeachtraitorsimultaneously.Inthissection,wepresenttheresultsofthreeadditionalrobustnesschecks.Inthe rstone,wesplitthesampleintoaNorthsubsampleandaSouthernone.WhiletheGDR-FRGsplitisunambiguous,classi cationwithrespecttoNorthandSouthissomewhatar-bitrary.Thede nitionweuseforSouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringiabecausetheygeographicallyrepresentthesouthernhalfofthecountry.Thischeckismeanttoconveythatwearenotmerelymeasuringregionaldi erences.Theregressionresultsareincludedintheappendix(seeTables23-30).Whenwerunspeci cations(usingthesetofcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2),weobtain nd-ingsthatreproduceourbaselineestimateswithregardtothelocusofcontrol,conscientiousness,neuroticism,andopenness.Thepositiveweakin uenceonagreeablenessshowsfortheSouthsample,whereastheNorthsamplehighlightspositivee ectsforreciprocity.Whenweincludethefullsetofcovariates,we ndthatconditioningouranalysisoneithertheNorthortheSouthsubsampleismoreorlessinconsequentialforthemajorityofresults.The ndingswithregardtoconscientiousnessandneuroticismaresigni cantwiththesignreportedaboveandcoecientsofaboutthesamemagnitudeinbothestimations.Someresultsarenolongersigni cantatconven-tionallevels.Forexample,whenanalyzingthelocusofcontrolscore,we ndthatthenegativecoecientoftheGDRdummyvariablehasap-valueof.144fortheSouthsubsamplewhilethatfortheNorthsubsampleisstillsigni cantlynegative.Similarly,theimpactonopennessisno20 longersigni cantfortheSouthsubsample.Incontrast,thereisasigni cantpositivee ectofthepoliticalregimeonnegativereciprocityintheNorthsubsample,whichaccordswithresultsfromthecohortandthestate-securityservicesanalyses.Wenowmoveontothesecondadditionalrobustnesscheck.EastandWestGermanyareverydi erentwhenitcomestoreligion.ThismaybeconsideredasanoutcomeofthepoliticalregimesinthetwopartsofGermany,sincereligiositywassuppressedintheGDR.Beforetheimpositionofthepoliticalregime,residentswholivedintheareaofwhatbecametheGDRweremostlyprotestant,whereasindividualslivinginWestGermanymaybeeitherprotestantorcatholic(BauernschusterandRainer2012).Inordertoprovideanotherrobustnesscheckthataccountsforthisfact,werestrictoursampletoregionsthatwereunambiguouslyprotestantandleaveoutobservationsfromBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Northrhine-Westfalia,Rhineland-Palatinate,andSaarland.Assuringly,our ndingsforthein uenceoftheGDR'spoliticalregimearerobusttothisconsideration(seeTable31).Inotherwords,thesameresultsdescribedinourbaselineestimatesectionobtain.Finally,weconsiderthepossibilityofstate-speci ce ects(asin,forexample,FrieheandMechtel2014).Whilewearguethatwearecapturinganin uenceofGDR'ssocialistregime,itisprincipallypossiblethatitisinfactonlyafewparticularstatesfromtheformerGDRthatdrivethereportedpersonalitydi erences,callingourfundamentalargumentintodoubt.Inordertotrytoruleoutthispossibility,weconsiderspeci cationsthatcomprisestate-speci cinteractione ectsforeachstatefromEastGermany,usingsurveyrespondentswithoutstateinformationasreferencecategory.Assuringly,theresultsdonotrevealsigni cantheterogeneityacrossstates(seeTables32-39),suchthatalmostallinteractiontermsareinsigni cant.OurmainresultsregardingtheimplicationsoftheGDRregimeasmeasuredbythedirecte ectonthelocusofcontrol,neuroticism,conscientiousness,andopennessarerobusttothisextensionoftheempiricalmodel.Moreover,thesmallheterogeneitywe ndisnotconsistentacrosspersonalityconstructs.Forexample,thecoecientoftheinteractionofGDRandSaxonyAnhaltispositiveandsigni cantfornegativereciprocity,butnotsigni cantwithrespecttoallotherpersonalitytraitsconsidered.These ndingsmakeusbelievethatthesigni cantdi erencesinpersonalitytraitsareduetotheexperiencewiththesocialistregime,whichwassharedbyallEastGermanstates.19 19Ourreportedresultsareinterestinginanotherregardaswell.TheGDRwasdividedwithrespecttowhetherornotpeoplecouldwatchFRGtelevisionprograms.Thisdivisionhasbeenshowntobeimportantwhenitcomestoaspirationsandconsumption(BursztynandCantoniforthcoming,HyllandSchneider2013).Asaresultofthepositioningoftransmitters,theso-called\valleyoftheinnocent"wasverymuchconcentratedinSaxony.OurresultsdonotsuggestthatthereceptionofWesterntelevisionwasanimportantfactorregardinghowtheregimeimpactedpersonalitytraits.21 5Secret-servicein ltrationasadriverofpersonalitydif-ferences?AnempiricalanalysisOuranalysisshowsthattheGDR'spoliticalregimeinfactleftafootprintinthepersonalitiesofthoselivinginreuni edGermanytoday.Tofollowuponapossiblechannel,weexploretheimplicationsofvariationinoneofthemostnoticeableaspectsoftheGDRregime.Mostpeoplethinkofthemassivestate-securityapparatus,thedraconianmethodsappliedbyit,anditsextensiverelianceonunocialcollaboratorsasthemostblatantaspectoftheGDR'ssocialistsystem.TheomnipresenceofstatesecurityinallofitsdarkfacetsbecameclearafterthefalloftheBerlinWall,butwasalreadyanticipatedbyall(andlearnedthehardwaybysome)GDRcitizensbefore(Kowalczuk2013:277-281).Withregardtorepression,state-securityservicesinmanycasessetexamplesandreliedonthefactthat\wordtravelsfast"(Muller-Enbergs2008a:3).Importantly,whereasmanyaspectsofthepoliticalregimeappliedmoreorlessuniformlythroughouttheGDR(e.g.,indoctrinationinschoolandyouthorganizations),thereistrackableregionalvariationinsurveillanceasapproximatedbythenumberofunocialcollaboratorsper1,000inhabitants.Figure1(2)illustratestheregionaldistributionofsurveillanceintensityatthecountylevelforoursecret-servicevariableIM(IM&publiccollaborators). Figure1:SurveillanceintensityacrossGDRcountiesforunocialcollaboratorsNotes:Thecategorylimitsresultfromthe25th,50th,and75thpercentile.ThedatastemsfromMuller-Enbergs(2008b).22 Figure2:SurveillanceintensityacrossGDRcountiesforunocial&publiccollaboratorsNotes:Thecategorylimitsresultfromthe25th,50th,and75thpercentile.ThedatastemsfromMuller-Enbergs(2008b).Regionalsecret-servicesurveillanceintensity,measuredbythenumberofunocialcollabora-torspercapita(ourmeasureIM),variesremarkablyacrosscounties.Figure1indicatesthatthereisnoobvioussystematicregionalpattern.Forexample,countieswithhighsurveillanceintensityareneitherclusteredalongthebordertotheFRGnorissurveillanceintensityalwaysparticularlyhighinlargecities.Moreover,simpleinspectionofthe guresdoesnotleadtotheconclusionthatsurveillanceintensityishigherintheGDR'sindustrialcenterseventhoughitisknownthatcollaboratorsoftenwererecruitedinthemainindustrialcenters(Muller-Enbergs2008a).20Never-theless,onemaybeconcernedaboutthepossibilitythattheallocationofunocialcollaboratorsacrossdi erentcountiesisin uencedeitherbysurveillanceintensityrespondingtothepeopleinthecountyorthepeopleinthecountyrespondingtothesurveillanceintensitybymovingelse-where.Suchbehavioralresponsesbythestate-securityservicesorbythetreatedcitizenswouldcallouridenti cationstrategyconcerningthewithin-treatmentheterogeneityintoquestion.Withregardtotheconcernthatthenumberofstate-securitycollaboratorsisendogenouslydeterminedbythebehaviorofthelocalpopulation,itshouldbepointedoutthatthenumberofunocialcollaboratorsvariedlittleovertime.Forexample,theregionaloceinEisenhuttenstadthadthesamenumberofcollaboratorsin1980and1989.Inthesamevein,Giesecke(2014),forexample,reportsthatthenumberofunocialcollaboratorswasstablefrom1975onwards.Moreover,itis 20Forexample,surveillanceintensityishighinindustrialcenterslikeEisenhuttenstadtorSchwedt,butmoderateinRostockorBitterfeld.23 nottobeexpectedthatcharacteristicsofthecountypopulationwerecentralfortherecruitmentbecausearequestwasrarelydeclinedduetothefearofadverseconsequences(e.g.,Mueller-Enbergs2008a:45).Withregardtotheconcernthatpeoplemayhaverespondedtosurveillancebymigratingelsewhere,itisimportanttorememberthatspatialmobilitywasseriouslyrestrictedintheGDR.Boththeallocationofpeopleacrossoccupationsandtheallocationofemployeesacrosscountieswascriticallyin uencedbythesocialandeconomicobjectivessetbytheplanningcommittees(see,e.g.,BursztynandCantoniforthcoming).Theinfamoushousingshortagespro-videdanadditionalimpediment.Inthisvein,accordingtoGrundmann(1998:98),onaverageonly2.5outof100GDRcitizenschangedtheirresidenceintheyears1970to1990,implyingarateofspatialmobilitythreetimeslowerthanthecorrespondingvaluefortheFRG.Reassuredbythesepiecesofevidence,wenextpresentresultsfromanempiricalanalysisusinginformationaboutthesecret-servicesurveillanceatthecountylevel.Whenweincludetheintensitymeasureasacontinuousvariableinourempiricalmodel,we ndthatpeoplewhohavelivedinGDRcountieswithagreaternumberofunocialcollaboratorshavealocusofcontrolthatismoreexternal fteentotwentyyearslateron(seeTable6andformoredetailsthetablesinourappendix).Whenexternalin uences(measuredbyagreaterpresenceofstatesecurity)haveagreatersay,thenindividualsassociateoutcomesthattheyexpe-riencemorewithaspectsoutsideoftheircontrol.Thisresultisthusinperfectalignmentwiththe ndingspresentedbeforeandrevealsnotabletreatmentheterogeneitywithinthetreatmentgroup.Inaddition,thereisasigni cantpositiverelationshipbetweenthenumberofstate-securitycol-laboratorsandnegativereciprocity.Thisassociationisveryintuitive.Inourbaselineestimations,thein uenceoftheregimeonnegativereciprocitywaspositivebutnotsigni cantatconventionallevels,whereasitalsoshowedinthecohortanalysisandtheNorth-Southrobustnesscheck.Thereported ndingsforstate-securitysurveillancealsoresultwhenweuseadummyvariablethatisequaltoonewhenthenumberofcollaboratorsinadistrictexceedsthemediannumberforalldistrictsinsteadofsimplyincludingthenumberdirectlyasacontrolvariable.21WehavearguedinSection4.2thatvariationregardingtheexposuretotheGDR'sregimehelpstounderstandourmainresults.Suchacohortanalysismayalsobeappliedtothequestionathand,thatis,theimpactofvariationinthesurveillanceintensityonpersonality.Doingso,weobtaintheintuitiveresultthatthepersonalityofindividualswhohavenotonlyhadalongexposuretotheregimebutalsoreceivedtheireducationintheGDRarestronglyin uencedbythemeasureofthesurveillanceintensityintheircountyofresidence.Thisappliesinparticulartoindividualsbornbetween1945and1960.Incontrast,thepersonalitytraitsofmembersofthelastcohort(comprisingindividualsbornbetween1975and1989)arenotmucha ectedbysurveillance 21Wedonotincludethetablesfortheotherpersonalitytraitsbecausethesurveillanceleveldoesnotshowasasigni cantcovariateintherespectiveregressions.24 Table6:Personalitytraitsandsurveillanceintensity (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 Continuousmeasureofsurveillanceintensity Locusofcontrol IM-0.02672+-0.03269(-1.71)(-2.05)IM&publiccollaborators-0.01852-0.02377+(-1.50)(-1.92)N3861356036273357 Negativereciprocity IM0.03390.02369(2.09)(1.46)IM&publiccollaborators0.033780.02785(2.64)(2.19)N3911359936753395 Dummyvariableforsurveillanceintensity Locusofcontrol DummyIM-0.118-0.123(-1.99)(-2.10)DummyIM&publiccollaborators-0.117+-0.0903(-1.83)(-1.45)N3861356036273357 Negativereciprocity DummyIM0.1150.0556(2.05)(1.00)DummyIM&publiccollaborators0.2220.169(3.68)(2.80)N3911359936753395 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005,2009,and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableistherespectivestandardizedpersonalitymeasure.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009/2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:01.Formoredetailedregressionresults,refertoTables40-43.25 intensity.These ndingsthusaccordwiththecohortanalysispresentedbefore.Thesurveillanceappearstobearatherin uentialfacetoftheGDR'ssocialistregimewhenitcomestopersonality.Inordertoexploreitsin uencemore,wecombineitwithinformationaboutthepresentsandallowancesGDRresidentsreceivedfromrelativesorfriendslivingintheFRG.WeconsiderpresentsandallowancestobeaproxyofthelinkagesthatGDRresidentshavetopeoplelivingoutsidethesocialistregime,andexpectthatindividualswithgreaterlinkagesperceivethepoliticalregimedi erentlyfromindividualswithnoorlittlerelationshiptoFRGresidents.Moreover,itisimportanttoconsidertheinteractionofsurveillanceandallowancesbecausetheparcelssentfromWestGermanywereoftensearchedbyGDR'sstate-securityserviceswithoutseriouse ortathidingthesearch,makingthesurveillancemoreprominentandmoreobtrusivefortheseindividuals.Werunregressionsaddingthreevariablestothespeci cationsdiscussedabove,namely(i)adummyequaltoonewhenanindividualhasreceivedpresentsorallowancesbutrespondsthatitisdiculttostatetheirmonetaryequivalent,(ii)thevalueofthesetransferswhentheyaregiven,and(iii)aninteractionofthesurveillanceintensityandthevalueofthepresents/allowances.Withregardtothelocusofcontrol,we ndthattheinteractiontermhasanegativeandsigni cantcoecient,whereasitissigni cantandpositivewhenweconsiderconscientiousness(seeTable7).Fornegativereciprocity(liketheotherpersonalitytraits),thecoecientoftheinteractiontermisnotsigni cant.However,fornegativereciprocity,theresultsforthemaine ecthold.Allinall,thismaybeinterpretedasevidencethathavingcontacttopeoplelivingoutsidethesocialistregimeaggravatesthein uenceofthesurveillanceaspectoftheGDR'spoliticalregime.22Inthepreviousregressionexercises,weclusterstandarderrorsattheindividuallevel,sinceweuseindividualpaneldataandtheestimatedwithin-individualcorrelationoftheerrorsisbetween0.48and0.55.However,ourkeyvariablesofinterestIMandIM&publiccollaboratorsareaveragesforthe1980sattheGDRcountylevel.Hence,althoughweobserveourpersonalitytraitsatleast fteentotwentyyearslater,onemightbeconcernedthatstandarderrorsareclusteredattheregionallevelforagivenyear.Theestimatedwithin-groupcorrelationoftheerrorsatthecountylevelintherelevantyearsisrathersmall(0.01to0.04).Nevertheless,correlatederrorsatthecountylevelmaypossiblyleadtooverstatedestimatorprecision(see,e.g.,Baumetal.2011,CameronandMiller2015).Asarobustnesscheck,weimplementtwo-way-cluster-robustinference(i.e.,weallowforclusteringattheindividualandthecountytimesyearlevel).Whenwecomparetheresultingestimateswiththe ndingspresentedabove,we ndthatourmainresultsareoveralluna ected.Speci cally,thesigni canceoftheresultsfornegativereciprocity 22Insteadofinteractingthecontinuousmeasureofsurveillanceintensitywiththeinformationonthevalueofthetransfers,wecanalsousetheinteractionofthesurveillancedummyvariableandthetransfervaluewithoutchangingtheresults.However,doingthisinthespeci cationforthelocusofcontrolyieldsmaine ectsofIMsigni cantlydi erentfromzeroinadditiontotheresultsdescribedabove.26 Table7:PersonalitytraitsandinteractionsofsurveillanceintensityandcontactstoFRGcitizens (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 Locusofcontrol IM-0.02095-0.02365(-1.35)(-1.52)IM&publiccollaborators-0.01397-0.01732(-1.13)(-1.41)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.0519-0.03360.01850.000569(-0.63)(-0.42)(0.22)(0.01)valueoftransfers0.000260.000384+0.0001930.000295+(1.37)(1.82)(1.18)(1.70)IMvalueoftransfer-0.0000721+-0.000101(-1.96)(-2.47)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue-0.0000517+-0.0000729(-1.85)(-2.47)N3861356036273357 Conscientiousness IM-0.01670-0.01757(-1.02)(-1.08)IM&publiccollaborators-0.011-0.01228(-0.87)(-0.98)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.142+-0.141+-0.101-0.118(-1.84)(-1.74)(-1.17)(-1.30)valueoftransfers-0.000751-0.000664+-0.000643+-0.00055(-2.00)(-1.83)(-1.80)(-1.60)IMvalueoftransfer0.0001540.000136+(2.13)(1.95)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue0.000116+0.0000988+(1.93)(1.72)N4030373337913523 Negativereciprocity IM0.034250.02248(2.08)(1.37)IM&publiccollaborators0.032870.02590(2.52)(2.00)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.0144-0.0479-0.0545-0.0819(-0.19)(-0.65)(-0.69)(-1.05)valueoftransfers-0.000094-0.0000841-0.000121-0.000119(-0.58)(-0.49)(-0.84)(-0.79)IMvalueoftransfer0.000008830.0000128(0.28)(0.39)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue0.00001220.0000169(0.50)(0.66)N3911359936753395 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom1990,2005,2009,and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableistherespectivestandardizedpersonalitymeasure.Speci cation1(2)includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest(allcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009/2010).Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:01.Formoredetailedregressionresults,refertoTables44-46.27 andconscientiousnessdonotchange.Forthelocusofcontrol,weobserveonlyonesigni cantcoecientforthelinearIM-variableinsteadofthree(asinthespeci cationsdocumentedinTable6),andonlytwosigni cantcoecientsinsteadofthreeforthedummyspeci cation.Inourspeci cationswithallowances,thesigni cancelevelsforthecoecientsofinterestdonotchangeatall(i.e.,areasinTable7).Insummary,whenconsideringthenumberofunocialcollaborators,we ndremarkablewithin-treatmentheterogeneityverymuchinlinewithourmainresults.Ourresultshighlightachannelviawhichtherepressivepoliticalregimehashadaprofoundimpactonthepersonalitiesofitscitizens.TheGDR'ssocialistregimehasindeedleftfootprints,andthismoresowhenonecharacterizingaspectsoftheregimeplayedagreaterrole.Result2ConsideringasampleofformerGDRcitizens,we ndthatvariationinsecret-servicesurveillanceacrossGDRcountiesisadriverofpersonalitydi erencesparticularlywithrespecttothelocusofcontrolandnegativereciprocity.Moreunocialcollaboratorspercapitainacountyareassociatedwithalowerinternallocusofcontrolandagreaternegativereciprocity.6Implicationsoftheshadowsofthepast:Therelation-shipofpersonalityandlifeoutcomesOurempiricalanalysishasestablishedthatnativeGermanswholivedintheGDRin1989are(still)di erentfromthosewholivedinWestGermanywhenitcomestopersonality.Inthissection,wediscussthepotentialeconomicconsequencesofthislong-lastingimpactoftheGDR'spoliticalregimeonpersonality.Wealsopresentsomeroughquantitativeestimates.Speci cally,buildingontheresultsoftheexistingliteratureabouttheimplicationsofastandarddeviationinpersonalitytraitsonlifeoutcomes,wemayuseourestimatedimpactoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeonaparticularpersonalitytraittoarriveatapproximationsinconcretedimensions.FormercitizensoftheGDRexhibitamoreexternallocusofcontrol.Beckeretal.(2012),forexample,reportaboutresultsthatamoreinternallocusofcontrolisassociatedwithabetterhealthstatus,moreyearsofeducation,highergrosswages,alowerchanceofunemployment,andoverallahigherlifesatisfaction.Inarecentsurvey,Cobb-Clark(2014)summarizesthatthelocusofcontrolisindeedoneofthecoredeterminantsoflabormarketsuccessbecauseimportantindividualdecisions(e.g.,abouttheacquisitionofhumancapital,seekingoutnewchallengesorworkinghard)haveallbeenlinkedtotheextenttowhichtheybelievethatwhattheydohasconsequences.Takingourresultsatfacevalue,thedi erenceinthelocusofcontrolthatisattributabletotheGDRsystemwouldimplyawagepenaltyofabout0.7%(buildingonHeineckandAnger2010),ajob ndingratethatislowerbyabout0.4%(Caliendoetal.2015),anda28 probabilityofself-employmentthatislowerbyabout2%(buildingonCaliendoetal.2014).Inaddition,thepoliticalregimeoftheGDRstillshowsinahigherconscientiousnessscore.Beckeretal.(2012),forexample,assertthatahigherconscientiousnessscorecorrelateswithabetterhealthstatus,moreyearsofeducation,alowerchanceofunemployment,andoverallahigherlifesatisfaction.Intuitivesigni cantrelationshipsexist,forexample,withrespecttocollegegrades(Borghansetal.2008).TheresultspresentedbyUysalandPohlmeier(2011)suggestthatthedi erenceinconscientiousnessduetotheGDRsystemincreasestheprobabilityof ndingajobbyabout0.9%andlowersthechanceoflosingemploymentbyabout0.75%.Moreover,our ndingsindicatethattheGDR'ssocialistregimehasmadeEastGermansmoreneurotic.Ahigherneuroticismscoreisclearlydisadvantageous.Beckeretal.(2012),forexample,reportresultsthatlessneuroticindividualsaremorelikelytohaveabetterhealthstatus,moreyearsofeducation,highergrosswages,alowerchanceofunemployment,andoverallahigherlifesatisfaction.Lookingmoreclosely,neuroticismisin uential,forinstance,withrespecttojobsearche orts(Almlundetal.2011).Finally,theopennessofformerGDRcitizensislower.Beckeretal.(2012),forexample,report ndingsthathigheropennessisassociatedwithabetterhealthstatus,moreyearsofeducation,highergrosswages,alowerchanceofunemployment,andoverallahigherlifesatisfaction.RelyingontheresultsbyCaliendoetal.(2014),thedi erenceinopennessduetotheGDRsystemlowerstheprobabilityofself-employmentbyabout2%.Result3ThefootprintsoftheGDR'ssocialistregimeinitscitizens'personalitiesareinsomewaysfavorableforlifeoutcomes(higherconscientiousness),whereasothersareclearlytothedis-advantageofformerGDRresidentslivinginEastGermanytoday(higherneuroticismscore,loweropenness,andamoreexternallocusofcontrol).7ConclusionThispapertakesadvantageofthenaturalexperimentcreatedbythedivisionandreuni cationofGermanytoanalyzewhetherpoliticalregimesin uencepersonalities.We ndthattheGDR'ssocialistregimeisviaitsfootprintinpersonalities{morethan25yearsafteritsdemolition{stillrelevantinimportantwaystodayandwellintothefuture.Thisfollowsfromthefactthatpersonalitiesarerelativelystableovertimeandtosomeextentpassedontothenextgeneration.OurempiricalanalysisuncoverslastingimplicationsoftheGDRsystemintermsofpersonalities.PeoplewholivedintheGDRin1989are{whencomparedtopeoplefromtheFRG{moreneurotic,lessopen,moreconscientious,andhaveamoreexternallocusofcontrol.Buildingonthewell-establishedrelationshipsofpersonalitytraitsandlifeoutcomes,theshad-owsofthepastareeconomicallysigni cant.Repercussionscanbefeltindividuallybutalsoatthe29 regionallevelsinceour ndingsmaycontributetoanexplanationoftherelativelydisappointingeconomicdevelopmentofsomeoftheregionsthatformerlymadeuptheGDR.The 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GDR-0.129-0.0869-0.0668(-6.16)(-3.67)(-2.58)movedWest0.1420.145(2.95)(3.00)GDR*2010-0.0414(-1.38)age-0.00209-0.0285-0.0285(-0.74)(-6.37)(-6.37)age20.00003150.0002540.000254(1.17)(6.25)(6.25)male0.0825-0.0000770-0.000159(4.50)(-0.00)(-0.01)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N319452879328793R20.0130.0860.086 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedlocusofcontrolscore.Speci -cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0136 Table9:NeuroticismandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3) GDR0.1240.1040.113(5.97)(4.60)(4.60)movedWest-0.105-0.104(-2.00)(-1.98)GDR*2009-0.0183(-0.67)age0.007370.02000.0200(2.66)(4.42)(4.42)age2-0.0000671-0.000210-0.000210(-2.54)(-5.29)(-5.29)male-0.379-0.324-0.324(-20.81)(-14.42)(-14.42)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N338173052430524R20.0430.1030.103 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedneuroticismscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0137 Table10:ConscientiousnessandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3) GDR0.1040.1000.104(5.10)(4.39)(4.13)movedWest-0.0216-0.0212(-0.41)(-0.40)GDR*2009-0.00782(-0.27)age0.04890.01320.0132(15.11)(2.75)(2.75)age2-0.000424-0.0000923-0.0000924(-13.95)(-2.15)(-2.15)male-0.128-0.204-0.204(-6.94)(-8.58)(-8.59)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N336963041930419R20.0490.0640.064 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedconscientiousnessscore.Speci- cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0138 Table11:OpennessandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3) GDR-0.0981-0.0770-0.0915(-4.88)(-3.36)(-3.63)movedWest0.04020.0386(0.71)(0.68)GDR*20090.0294(1.02)age0.01300.001730.00171(4.41)(0.36)(0.36)age2-0.000156-0.0000528-0.0000527(-5.49)(-1.23)(-1.22)male-0.102-0.127-0.127(-5.57)(-5.40)(-5.39)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N336623039630396R20.0370.0690.069 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedopennessscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0139 Table12:ExtraversionandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3) GDR-0.00875-0.004860.0119(-0.41)(-0.20)(0.45)movedWest0.1230.125(2.09)(2.12)GDR*2009-0.0340(-1.19)age-0.00541+-0.0204-0.0204(-1.88)(-4.46)(-4.45)age2-0.000003710.0001130.000113(-0.14)(2.77)(2.77)male-0.173-0.189-0.189(-9.20)(-7.77)(-7.78)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N338053050630506R20.0230.0400.040 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedextraversionscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0140 Table13:AgreeablenessandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3) GDR0.04460.03700.0473+(2.23)(1.62)(1.83)movedWest0.02580.0270(0.50)(0.52)GDR*2009-0.0209(-0.74)age-0.0108-0.00530-0.00528(-3.63)(-1.19)(-1.18)age20.0001560.0001200.000120(5.47)(3.01)(3.01)male-0.331-0.272-0.272(-18.00)(-11.77)(-11.77)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N338143051430514R20.0420.0610.061 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedagreeablenessscore.Speci -cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0141 Table14:ReciprocityandGDRtreatment (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)PosRecPosRecPosRecNegRecNegRecNegRec GDR0.01760.03610.02820.0404+0.03560.0377(0.83)(1.48)(1.06)(1.88)(1.45)(1.42)moveWest0.007590.00652-0.116-0.116(0.14)(0.12)(-2.39)(-2.38)GDR*20100.0162-0.00425(0.47)(-0.13)age0.01280.003400.00340-0.00713-0.000628-0.000627(4.37)(0.72)(0.72)(-2.53)(-0.14)(-0.14)age2-0.000106-0.0000421-0.0000422-0.0000121-0.0000870-0.0000870(-3.84)(-1.01)(-1.01)(-0.46)(-2.16)(-2.16)male0.0231-0.0120-0.01200.2730.2520.252(1.24)(-0.51)(-0.50)(14.80)(10.96)(10.96)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesYesYesEducation,healthYesYesYesYesstatus,andnetincomeEmploymentstatusYesYesYesYes&historyMaritalstatusYesYesYesYesDummy2010YesYesYesYes N325822931629316325112926329263R20.0040.0110.0110.0420.0630.063 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedreciprocityscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Speci cation3additionallyincludesaninteractiontermoftheGDRdummyandthedummyfor2010.RobuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevelSOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0142 CohortanalysisInthefollowing,wepresenttablesshowingregressionresultsregardingourcohortanalysiswithmoreinformationthanintable5.Table15:LocusofControlandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR-0.153-0.198-0.104-0.126(-4.11)(-4.67)(-2.32)(-2.12)movedWest-0.002330.1230.2400.162+(-0.01)(1.05)(3.22)(1.85)age0.0347-0.2840.111-0.0270(0.99)(-4.75)(2.69)(-0.64)age2-0.0001990.00265-0.001440.000631(-0.84)(4.82)(-2.78)(0.74)male0.1600.0647+0.0990-0.0167(4.69)(1.76)(2.98)(-0.39)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N8737858586515972R20.0240.0250.0150.026 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0143 Table16:ConscientiousnessandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR0.1120.06370.09430.173(3.21)(1.55)(2.20)(2.96)movedWest-0.04120.179-0.00772-0.105(-0.25)(2.00)(-0.09)(-1.10)age0.0146-0.06430.0918+0.158(0.32)(-0.99)(1.77)(2.99)age2-0.0001430.000571-0.00113+-0.00223(-0.46)(0.94)(-1.72)(-2.12)male-0.0653-0.121-0.0801-0.258(-1.99)(-3.49)(-2.37)(-5.43)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N9238894591386375R20.0100.0220.0150.072 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0144 Table17:NeuroticismandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR0.1350.1380.1540.133(4.06)(3.30)(3.31)(2.33)movedWest-0.380-0.155-0.2340.0458(-2.20)(-1.25)(-2.86)(0.52)age0.07660.143-0.03120.0749(2.20)(2.13)(-0.59)(1.59)age2-0.000573-0.001310.000370-0.00156(-2.44)(-2.11)(0.55)(-1.62)male-0.376-0.305-0.429-0.429(-12.11)(-8.06)(-12.09)(-10.17)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N9334895591396389R20.0480.0340.0570.058 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0145 Table18:OpennessandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR-0.0347-0.129-0.1820.00445(-1.00)(-3.22)(-4.22)(0.08)movedWest0.2780.08980.0138-0.0722(2.10)(0.72)(0.17)(-0.76)age-0.0505-0.0555-0.0163-0.0922+(-1.25)(-0.87)(-0.33)(-1.80)age20.0002390.0004430.0001410.00161(0.87)(0.74)(0.22)(1.53)male-0.0347-0.150-0.0720-0.207(-1.05)(-4.10)(-2.07)(-4.86)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N9236894091126374R20.0590.0430.0250.044 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0146 Table19:AgreeablenessandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR0.07900.03230.03750.0414(2.36)(0.79)(0.86)(0.73)movedWest-0.1450.2190.0486-0.0722(-0.84)(2.17)(0.59)(-0.84)age0.0175-0.134-0.0616-0.101(0.37)(-1.96)(-1.19)(-2.19)age2-0.00001970.00124+0.0006380.00185(-0.06)(1.94)(0.97)(1.98)male-0.390-0.356-0.295-0.254(-12.51)(-9.30)(-8.24)(-6.03)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N9350895591276382R20.0550.0420.0290.023 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0147 Table20:ExtraversionandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR0.0684-0.0215-0.106-0.0663(2.05)(-0.51)(-2.14)(-1.09)movedWest0.06540.2140.1980.0934(0.38)(1.48)(2.12)(0.99)age-0.0327-0.1060.0852+-0.0580(-0.90)(-1.63)(1.67)(-1.17)age20.0001710.000931-0.00115+0.000962(0.70)(1.53)(-1.77)(0.95)male-0.141-0.159-0.232-0.152(-4.48)(-4.29)(-6.20)(-3.27)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N9324895591406386R20.0200.0170.0260.018 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0148 Table21:PositivereciprocityandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR0.01790.008720.0457-0.0177(0.49)(0.18)(1.12)(-0.33)movedWest0.002540.02550.004210.0772(0.02)(0.22)(0.05)(0.90)age0.02630.0206-0.05370.0200(0.71)(0.31)(-1.20)(0.49)age2-0.000209-0.0001890.000595-0.000111(-0.84)(-0.31)(1.05)(-0.14)male0.03040.02470.0676+-0.0549(0.91)(0.65)(1.89)(-1.27)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N8999872587756083R20.0100.0080.0070.021 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0149 Table22:NegativereciprocityandGDRtreatment:CohortAnalysis (1)(2)(3)(4)19451945-601960-751975-89 GDR-0.009060.02650.09870.179(-0.25)(0.53)(2.03)(3.40)movedWest-0.136-0.0955-0.200-0.0696(-0.69)(-0.86)(-2.44)(-0.94)age0.01560.0635-0.0417-0.0991(0.43)(0.98)(-0.94)(-2.42)age2-0.000225-0.0005880.0004060.00160(-0.91)(-0.98)(0.74)(1.97)male0.2580.2880.3020.224(7.88)(7.41)(8.46)(5.66)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYes N8974872287516064R20.0400.0280.0390.054 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtoyearofbirthintooneoutoffourcohorts.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0150 RobustnesschecksInthissection,wepresentmorecomprehensivetablesshowingtheresultsofourthreerobustnesschecks.Table23:LocusofControlandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR-0.136-0.124-0.121-0.0499(-4.52)(-4.24)(-3.68)(-1.46)movedWest0.1480.132(2.09)(2.05)age-0.000974-0.00308-0.0226-0.0345(-0.25)(-0.77)(-3.69)(-5.38)age20.00002830.00003200.0002090.000296(0.77)(0.82)(3.84)(4.96)male0.07550.09020.00751-0.0151(2.93)(3.46)(0.24)(-0.49)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N15936160091429214501R20.0110.0190.0800.102 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0151 Table24:ConscientiousnessandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.1110.09410.09130.108(4.00)(3.14)(2.93)(3.25)movedWest0.0312-0.0849(0.50)(-1.03)age0.05140.04560.0119+0.0136+(11.07)(10.24)(1.86)(1.95)age2-0.000444-0.000400-0.0000752-0.000108+(-10.17)(-9.54)(-1.30)(-1.73)male-0.156-0.0926-0.248-0.154(-6.10)(-3.54)(-7.54)(-4.59)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N16834168621509015329R20.0530.0500.0770.062 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0152 Table25:NeuroticismandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.1190.1340.1240.0920(4.03)(4.56)(3.89)(2.87)movedWest-0.140+-0.0860(-1.85)(-1.19)age0.001790.01340.01480.0247(0.45)(3.52)(2.34)(3.91)age2-0.0000226-0.000115-0.000174-0.000243(-0.59)(-3.14)(-3.10)(-4.38)male-0.372-0.389-0.318-0.333(-14.56)(-15.12)(-10.12)(-10.61)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N16882169351513315391R20.0400.0490.1000.115 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0153 Table26:OpennessandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR-0.0795-0.112-0.109-0.0316(-2.83)(-3.90)(-3.45)(-0.95)movedWest0.06720.000859(0.84)(0.01)age0.01610.01010.00732-0.00378(3.92)(2.41)(1.07)(-0.58)age2-0.000187-0.000127-0.000112+0.00000358(-4.71)(-3.17)(-1.78)(0.06)male-0.109-0.0934-0.158-0.0996(-4.31)(-3.59)(-4.73)(-3.06)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N16806168561507415322R20.0420.0360.0730.073 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0154 Table27:AgreeablenessandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.03540.0502+0.02790.0372(1.27)(1.74)(0.87)(1.13)movedWest0.02370.0183(0.33)(0.25)age-0.00458-0.01670.00286-0.0128(-1.01)(-4.41)(0.45)(-2.06)age20.00009320.0002170.00003920.000197(2.15)(5.99)(0.69)(3.54)male-0.328-0.333-0.284-0.260(-12.66)(-12.85)(-8.72)(-8.07)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N16896169181514115373R20.0400.0480.0610.067 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0155 Table28:ExtraversionandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.00260-0.0213-0.03210.0268(0.09)(-0.68)(-0.98)(0.75)movedWest0.1760.0717(2.25)(0.85)age0.000810-0.0119-0.0129-0.0276(0.20)(-2.93)(-2.00)(-4.29)age2-0.0000637+0.00005850.00004360.000178(-1.67)(1.51)(0.76)(3.10)male-0.178-0.166-0.222-0.155(-6.83)(-6.18)(-6.56)(-4.48)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N16891169141513015376R20.0240.0250.0410.044 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0156 Table29:PositiveReciprocityandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.0562-0.02200.04950.0247(2.03)(-0.68)(1.58)(0.65)movedWest0.01360.00312(0.19)(0.04)age0.01230.01340.006150.0000535(3.04)(3.16)(1.02)(0.01)age2-0.0000990-0.000113-0.0000585-0.0000203(-2.65)(-2.78)(-1.10)(-0.32)male0.04160.003200.0106-0.0426(1.62)(0.12)(0.34)(-1.22)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N16275163071455814758R20.0060.0040.0130.014 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0157 Table30:NegativeReciprocityandGDRtreatment:North/South (1)(2)(3)(4)NorthSouthNorthSouth GDR0.0594+0.02230.0672+0.00376(1.90)(0.76)(1.94)(0.11)movedWest-0.110-0.114+(-1.51)(-1.81)age-0.00913-0.005210.00231-0.00403(-2.25)(-1.35)(0.34)(-0.67)age20.0000108-0.0000340-0.0000959-0.0000737(0.28)(-0.94)(-1.61)(-1.38)male0.2820.2650.2580.250(10.78)(10.11)(7.94)(7.78)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N16224162871452414739R20.0440.0440.0700.064 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample),andclustersubjectsaccordingtotheirplaceofresidence.Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforthepersonalitytraitathand.SouthGermanyincludesBavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Hesse,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saarland,Saxony,andThuringia.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0158 Table31:ProtestantStatesonly (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)LOCNeuroticismConscientiousnessOpennessAgreeablenessExtraversionPosRecNegRec GDR-0.1800.1360.115-0.1400.00480-0.0443-0.01050.0682(-6.58)(4.87)(4.25)(-5.26)(0.17)(-1.61)(-0.38)(2.37)movedWestage-0.005110.002190.03650.0202-0.0100-0.00754+0.01030.00133(-1.12)(0.47)(8.14)(4.61)(-2.14)(-1.71)(2.25)(0.29)age20.0000587-0.0000199-0.000305-0.0002170.0001480.0000142-0.0000814+-0.0000832+(1.40)(-0.47)(-7.22)(-5.27)(3.38)(0.35)(-1.91)(-1.92)male0.0717-0.404-0.121-0.106-0.337-0.1620.06720.279(2.66)(-14.73)(-4.62)(-4.07)(-12.43)(-6.04)(2.47)(10.16)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes N1446315355153061530515348153481469114676R20.0170.0510.0350.0470.0450.0230.0050.043 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005,2009,and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscorefortherespectivepersonality.WedonotincludetheCatholicstates:Bavaria,Baden-Wuerttemberg,Northrhine-Westfalia,Rhineland-Palatinate,andSaarland.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareused.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:01 59 Table32:LocusofControlandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR-0.123-0.0973(-4.71)(-3.43)GDRBerlin0.197+0.247(1.87)(2.30)GDRBrandenburg-0.0175-0.0111(-0.28)(-0.17)GDRSaxony-0.119-0.0635(-2.54)(-1.33)GDRSaxony-Anhalt-0.002140.0791(-0.03)(1.30)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.1520.188(2.23)(2.74)GDRThuringia-0.0666-0.00749(-1.03)(-0.11)movedWest0.135(2.77)age-0.00223-0.0285(-0.79)(-6.38)age20.00003300.000254(1.23)(6.26)male0.0826-0.000369(4.50)(-0.02)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2010Yes N3194528793R20.0140.087 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedscoreforlocusofcontrol.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0160 Table33:ConscientiousnessandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR0.1030.102(4.17)(3.82)GDRBerlin-0.02850.00763(-0.32)(0.08)GDRBrandenburg0.02110.0124(0.33)(0.18)GDRSaxony-0.0582-0.0793+(-1.24)(-1.66)GDRSaxony-Anhalt-0.01960.00450(-0.31)(0.07)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.2050.170(2.80)(2.31)GDRThuringia-0.0000940-0.00323(-0.00)(-0.06)movedWest-0.0285(-0.54)age0.04880.0131(15.10)(2.74)age2-0.000424-0.0000916(-13.94)(-2.13)male-0.127-0.204(-6.92)(-8.58)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2009Yes N3369630419R20.0490.065 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedcon-scientiousnessscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0161 Table34:NeuroticismandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR0.09470.0927(3.61)(3.36)GDRBerlin0.1470.0830(1.51)(0.82)GDRBrandenburg0.0982+0.0499(1.74)(0.87)GDRSaxony0.07340.0148(1.61)(0.32)GDRSaxony-Anhalt0.105+0.0265(1.84)(0.47)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.02290.0351(0.31)(0.47)GDRThuringia0.07070.0230(1.26)(0.40)movedWest-0.101+(-1.92)age0.007430.0200(2.68)(4.42)age2-0.0000681-0.000210(-2.57)(-5.28)male-0.379-0.324(-20.83)(-14.42)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2009Yes N3381730524R20.0430.103 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedneuroticismscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0162 Table35:OpennessandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR-0.111-0.0875(-4.54)(-3.24)GDRBerlin0.07800.0459(0.81)(0.55)GDRBrandenburg0.00123-0.0234(0.02)(-0.37)GDRSaxony0.0126-0.000346(0.27)(-0.01)GDRSaxony-Anhalt0.03890.0341(0.61)(0.54)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.05460.0668(0.78)(0.94)GDRThuringia0.08330.1000+(1.51)(1.80)movedWest0.0421(0.74)age0.01310.00187(4.43)(0.39)age2-0.000156-0.0000540(-5.51)(-1.25)male-0.102-0.127(-5.57)(-5.39)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2009Yes N3366230396R20.0370.069 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedopennessscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0163 Table36:ExtraversionandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR-0.0103-0.00735(-0.39)(-0.25)GDRBerlin0.1090.0928(0.98)(0.91)GDRBrandenburg-0.110-0.130(-1.64)(-2.00)GDRSaxony-0.0627-0.0490(-1.26)(-0.94)GDRSaxony-Anhalt0.02880.0406(0.45)(0.61)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.00557-0.0199(0.07)(-0.23)GDRThuringia0.1740.199(2.84)(3.14)movedWest0.123(2.06)age-0.00535+-0.0201(-1.86)(-4.40)age2-0.000004240.000110(-0.16)(2.71)male-0.173-0.189(-9.20)(-7.78)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2009Yes N3380530506R20.0240.041 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedextraver-sionscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0164 Table37:AgreeablenessandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR0.04940.0480+(2.05)(1.77)GDRBerlin0.02560.0484(0.26)(0.53)GDRBrandenburg-0.0466-0.0642(-0.77)(-0.98)GDRSaxony-0.0457-0.0584(-0.97)(-1.18)GDRSaxony-Anhalt0.04140.0413(0.74)(0.70)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania0.08580.0444(1.39)(0.68)GDRThuringia-0.0692-0.0974(-1.20)(-1.64)movedWest0.0178(0.34)age-0.0109-0.00542(-3.65)(-1.21)age20.0001570.000121(5.49)(3.03)male-0.330-0.272(-17.99)(-11.76)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2009Yes N3381430514R20.0420.061 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2009(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedagree-ablenessscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0165 Table38:PositivereciprocityandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR0.03840.0578+(1.46)(1.95)GDRBerlin-0.0567-0.0677(-0.68)(-0.78)GDRBrandenburg-0.122+-0.131+(-1.87)(-1.93)GDRSaxony-0.0132-0.000380(-0.27)(-0.01)GDRSaxony-Anhalt-0.0698-0.0711(-1.15)(-1.13)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania-0.00742-0.0271(-0.11)(-0.41)GDRThuringia-0.116+-0.111(-1.66)(-1.52)movedWest-0.000979(-0.02)age0.01270.00336(4.34)(0.72)age2-0.000105-0.0000420(-3.81)(-1.01)male0.0230-0.0124(1.23)(-0.52)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2010Yes N3258229316R20.0040.011 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizedpositivereciprocityscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0166 Table39:NegativereciprocityandGDRtreatment:GDR-statesinteractions (1)(2) GDR0.02200.0201(0.81)(0.66)GDRBerlin-0.185-0.167+(-2.10)(-1.81)GDRBrandenburg0.05090.0625(0.84)(1.00)GDRSaxony0.02400.0224(0.51)(0.45)GDRSaxony-Anhalt0.2430.196(3.90)(3.17)GDRMecklenburgWesternPomerania-0.0287-0.0796(-0.40)(-1.14)GDRThuringia0.09770.0804(1.63)(1.30)movedWest-0.103(-2.10)age-0.00696-0.000439(-2.48)(-0.10)age2-0.0000140-0.0000883(-0.53)(-2.19)male0.2740.253(14.85)(11.02)ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesParentaleducationYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesMaritalstatusYesDummy2010Yes N3251129263R20.0430.064 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(mainsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Thedependentvariableisthestandardizednegativereciprocityscore.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0167 Thisconcludesthedetaileddescriptionofourrobustnesschecks.Inthenextsection,wewillpresentthedetailedregressionresultsfortheexplorationofsecret-servicesurveillanceasadriverofdi erencesinpersonality.68 Secretservicein ltrationTable40:Locusofcontrolandsurveillanceintensity:Continuousmeasureforintensity (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 IM-0.02672+-0.03269(-1.71)(-2.05)IM&publiccollaborators-0.01852-0.02377+(-1.50)(-1.92)movedWest0.2940.305(2.59)(2.66)age0.01080.007590.01160.00677(1.37)(0.57)(1.42)(0.49)age2-0.000133+-0.000128-0.000139+-0.000126(-1.83)(-1.16)(-1.85)(-1.13)male-0.0224-0.01220.00134-0.000572(-0.45)(-0.22)(0.03)(-0.01)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3861356036273357R20.0430.1050.0490.113 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0169 Table41:Negativereciprocityandsurveillanceintensity:Continuousmeasureforintensity (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 IM0.03390.02369(2.09)(1.46)IM&publiccollaborators0.033780.02785(2.64)(2.19)movedWest-0.255-0.274(-2.28)(-2.44)age-0.0133+-0.0135-0.0136-0.0101(-1.67)(-0.90)(-1.62)(-0.65)age20.0000269-0.00001380.0000225-0.0000363(0.36)(-0.12)(0.29)(-0.29)male0.3600.3320.3440.327(7.35)(6.17)(6.77)(5.89)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3911359936753395R20.0770.1060.0820.110 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0170 Table42:Locusofcontrolandsurveillanceintensity:Dummyvariableforintensity (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 DummyIM-0.118-0.123(-1.99)(-2.10)DummyIM&publiccollaborators-0.117+-0.0903(-1.83)(-1.45)movedWest0.2840.285(2.53)(2.52)age0.01020.007570.01130.00665(1.30)(0.56)(1.39)(0.48)age2-0.000129+-0.000128-0.000137+-0.000126(-1.78)(-1.15)(-1.82)(-1.12)male-0.0235-0.0114-0.00195-0.00168(-0.47)(-0.20)(-0.04)(-0.03)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3861356036273357R20.0440.1060.0500.112 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Thekeydummyvariableisequaltoonewhenthenumberofcollaboratorsinadistrictexceedsthemediannumberforalldistricts.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0171 Table43:Negativereciprocityandsurveillanceintensity:Dummyvariableforintensity (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 DummyIM0.1150.0556(2.05)(1.00)DummyIM&publiccollaborators0.2220.169(3.68)(2.80)movedWest-0.246-0.252(-2.22)(-2.24)age-0.0127-0.0131-0.0132-0.0101(-1.59)(-0.88)(-1.59)(-0.66)age20.000022-0.0000180.0000202-0.0000325(0.29)(-0.15)(0.26)(-0.26)male0.3610.3320.3500.330(7.38)(6.16)(6.97)(5.99)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3911359936753395R20.0780.1050.0860.113 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom2005and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Thekeydummyvariableisequaltoonewhenthenumberofcollaboratorsinadistrictexceedsthemediannumberforalldistricts.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0172 Table44:LocusofcontrolandinteractionsofsurveillanceintensityandcontactstoFRGcitizens (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 IM-0.02095-0.02365(-1.35)(-1.52)IM&publiccollaborators-0.01397-0.01732(-1.13)(-1.41)movedWest0.2810.301(2.56)(2.67)age0.009700.005680.01030.00475(1.24)(0.42)(1.27)(0.35)age2-0.00012+-0.000105-0.000123+-0.000101(-1.67)(-0.96)(-1.65)(-0.91)male-0.0214-0.01840.00183-0.00721(-0.43)(-0.33)(0.04)(-0.13)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.0519-0.03360.01850.000569(-0.63)(-0.42)(0.22)(0.01)valueoftransfers0.000260.000384+0.0001930.000295+(1.37)(1.82)(1.18)(1.70)IMvalueoftransfer-0.0000721+-0.000101(-1.96)(-2.47)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue-0.0000517+-0.0000729(-1.85)(-2.47)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3861356036273357R20.0510.1180.0560.125 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom1990,2005,and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0173 Table45:ConscientiousnessandinteractionsofsurveillanceintensityandcontactstoFRGcitizens (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 IM-0.0167-0.01757(-1.02)(-1.08)IM&publiccollaborators-0.011-0.01228(-0.87)(-0.98)movedWest0.3510.360(3.59)(3.62)age0.06430.0200.06670.0241(7.61)(1.20)(7.58)(1.41)age2-0.000587-0.000256+-0.000602-0.000280(-7.29)(-1.89)(-7.21)(-2.01)male-0.224-0.324-0.228-0.321(-4.36)(-5.21)(-4.25)(-4.93)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.142+-0.141+-0.101-0.118(-1.84)(-1.74)(-1.17)(-1.30)valueoftransfers-0.000751-0.000664+-0.000643+-0.00055(-2.00)(-1.83)(-1.80)(-1.60)IMvalueoftransfer0.0001540.000136+(2.13)(1.95)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue0.000116+0.0000988+(1.93)(1.72)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2009YesYes N4030373337913523R20.0850.1180.0830.116 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom1990,2005,and2009(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2009.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0174 Table46:NegativereciprocityandinteractionsofsurveillanceintensityandcontactstoFRGcitizens (1)(2)(3)(4)Spec1Spec2Spec1Spec2 IM0.034250.02248(2.08)(1.37)IM&publiccollaborators0.032870.02590(2.52)(2.00)movedWest-0.257-0.277(-2.29)(-2.45)age-0.0135+-0.0136-0.0136-0.0100(-1.69)(-0.91)(-1.63)(-0.65)age20.0000313-0.00001210.0000252-0.0000358(0.41)(-0.10)(0.32)(-0.29)male0.3620.3330.3470.328(7.39)(6.18)(6.84)(5.91)transferwithoutvaluestated-0.0144-0.0479-0.0545-0.0819(-0.19)(-0.65)(-0.69)(-1.05)valueoftransfers-0.000094-0.0000841-0.000121-0.000119(-0.58)(-0.49)(-0.84)(-0.79)IMvalueoftransfer0.000008830.0000128(0.28)(0.39)IM&publiccollaboratorstransfervalue0.00001220.0000169(0.50)(0.66)Additionalcontrols?ChildhoodtownsizeYesYesYesYesParentaleducationYesYesYesYesEducation,healthstatus,andnetincomeYesYesEmploymentstatus&historyYesYesMaritalstatusYesYesDummy2010YesYes N3911359936753395R20.0790.1070.0840.111 Notes:WeuseSOEPdatafrom1990,2005,and2010(EastGermanworkingsample).Parameterestimatesarefromordinaryleastsquaresspeci cations.Speci cation1includesallcovariatesfromtheupperpartofTable2exceptformovedWest.Speci cation2includesallcovariatesinTable2andadummyfortheyear2010.Robuststandarderrorsareclusteredattheindividuallevel.SOEPweightsareapplied.tstatisticsinparentheses;+p0:10,p0:05,p0:0175