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Assimilating realistic GOES-16 Assimilating realistic GOES-16

Assimilating realistic GOES-16 - PowerPoint Presentation

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Uploaded On 2018-02-22

Assimilating realistic GOES-16 - PPT Presentation

infrared radiance observations at stormscale The 17 June 2017 severe weather event in Kansas Yunji Zhang Fuqing Zhang Acknowledgements Masashi Minamide David J Stensrud August 17 2017 ID: 634007

convection observations enkf realistic observations convection realistic enkf assimilating infrared radiance initiation masashi cloud clear localization region air channel

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Slide1

Assimilating realistic GOES-16 infrared radiance observations at storm-scale: The 17 June 2017 severe weather event in Kansas

Yunji Zhang, Fuqing Zhang

Acknowledgements

: Masashi Minamide, David J. Stensrud

August 17, 2017Slide2

BackgroundPrevious works:Assimilating synthetic GOES-R observations for thunderstormsCloud-adaptive vertical localization of infrared radianceSynthetic and realistic Himawari-8 assimilation for TC (Masashi)Vertical localization length scale of infrared radiance (Masashi)

Realistic GOES-16 assimilation for TC (Lei)

Assimilating realistic GOES-16 observations for thunderstormsSlide3

Event OverviewWPC Surface Analysis 06/17/17 2100ZSlide4

Observations of Convection Initiation

KDDC (Dodge City, KS)

KICT (Wichita, KS)

KTWX (Topeka, KS)Slide5

Convection Initiation in Satellite ObservationsSlide6

Convection Initiation in Radar ObservationsSlide7

1-km WRF Deterministic Forecast from HRRRSlide8

No-DA Ensemble ForecastSlide9

EnKF with GOES-16 Channel 8

20356 Obs per cycle

~2.4 km resolutionSlide10

EnKF DiagnosticsSlide11

Error Evolution during EnKFSlide12

Radiance-based Hydrometeor RemovalCloud parameter (adapted from Okamoto et al. 2014 QJRMS):

Large positive Ca: Simulated cloud in observed clear-air region

Small Ca: Simulation clouds fitted observations good

Large negative Ca: Observed cloud in simulated clear-air region

 Slide13

SummaryAssimilating channel 8 of GOES-16 can help reduce spurious convection, but not effective and the influence is not persistentFollowing works:Tests on methods to remove cloud hydrometeorsTests on assimilating multiple channelsEnsemble forecasts after EnKF analysis with GOES-16

observation

assimilated