Max Cameron Poli 332 UBC April 8 2015 Stylized Facts Anarchy Oligarchy Populism Authoritarian rule Pact Redemocratization Agro export economy ISI amp Incorporation Neoliberalism ID: 500255
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Slide1
Introduction & Overview
Max Cameron
Poli
332 UBC
April 8, 2015Slide2
Stylized Facts
Anarchy
Oligarchy
Populism
Authoritarian rule
Pact
Re-democratization
Agro-
export
economy
ISI & Incorporation
Neoliberalism
Left turns
19
th C to 1930
1930-1960
1960-1980
Exhaustion of ISI
1980-2000
2000-
Re-founding
BreakdownSlide3
Modal Patterns I & II
Long
period of
anarchy
Caudillo
oligarchy
Radical populism
Highly repressiveauthoritarianism
Democracy of low
intensity citizenshipAgro-ex economy
ISI & Inc
Neoliberalism
Left turns
19
th C to 1930
1930-1960
1960-1980
Exhaustion of ISI
1980-2000
2000-
Short
period of
anarchy
Constitutional
oligarchy
Moderate
populism
Less repressive
authoritarianism
Citizens’ democracy
Pattern I
Pattern II
Pact
BreakdownSlide4
Structural Conditions
Colonial legacies
(proximity to core)
Indigenous peoples (tranculturation)
Type of agriculture (labour repressive or ranching) Extractivism (abundance or scarcity of natural resources)
Patterns of foreign influence and interventionSlide5
Process
Anarchy (long or short)
Oligarchy (repressive or constitutional)
Populism (radical or moderate)Level of threat perception and repression (high or low)Neoliberalism (vigorous or mild) and redemocratizationSlide6
Cases
How do the following cases fit the stylized facts about Latin America?
Argentina
Venezuela
Bolivia
MexicoColombia
ChileGuatemala
Costa RicaNicaraguaBrazil
See Country Scores: Structure & ProcessSlide7
Questions?
How did post-independence anarchy impact subsequent political development?
What kind of oligarchies were most hostile to democratic reform?
How did the type of populist mobilization affect military rule?
Is revolution a viable alternative political model?Were pacts lasting solutions or merely the deferral of deeper
problems?What is the effect of levels of repression on democracy?What countries were most likely to make left turns?Is Latin America undergoing a “second incorporation”?