Rome Italy 11th 13th October 2013 MampA opportunities within the distressed economy Italy 2013 Simona Cucchi Sergio Finulli ID: 760265
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Slide1
GGI Italian Business Summit Rome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013 M&A opportunities within the distressed economy: Italy 2013Simona Cucchi, Sergio Finulli
© 2013 – Comma 10
© 2013 – Comma 10
for confidential & GGI use only
Slide2The Eurozone crisisItalian economic outlookComma10 experienceOpportunities within the crisis
Index
© 2013 – Comma 10
Slide3GGI
Italian Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
© 2013 – Comma 10
Economic downturn hits the whole Eurozone area, with focus on the Southern regions; signs of weakness also from the core countries. Financial confidence recovery Real economy remains sick.
Real GDP growth rate - Source: Eurostat
1. Euro zone crisis – Not over yet
Global Financial and Economic Crisis
Severe Recession
Partial Recovery
Slide4© 2013 – Comma 10
Italy debt remains quite stable over the years
+67%
+57%
+10%
+25%
+55%
+24%
+10%
+25%
GGI
Italian
Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
1. The Euro zone crisis – The Public Debt
Crisis
dramatic increase in the public debt of most advanced economies.The Government debts are escalating in most EU countries, not only in countries with a history of debt problems but also in countries where the debt level was relatively low before the crisis.
Source: Global Finance
%
Slide5Period
of macro level financial challenges Italian deep-rooted strenghts are being overlooked: Italy is the 8th largest economy and the 8th largest exporter in the worldItaly is the 4th largest economy and the 2nd industrial manufacturing country among the EU economies
© 2013 – Comma 10
Source: IMF, 2012
GGI Italian Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
2. Italian economic outlook – Where we are now
The largest economies and industrial manufacturing countries
Source: World
Bank
, 2012
Slide6Italian market: a EUR 1.6 Trillion economyExport-led economy: EUR 478 Billion of exportations, negligible energy and raw materials, Germany and France as largest export marketsComposition of the internal market:Services (73 %) Excellent infrastructure system Industry (25%) Leading activity: processing and production of manufactured productsMajor industries: mechanical industries (cars, motorcycles, machine tools, household appliances ), defense (helicopters, defense systems, light weapons, armored vehicles), chemicals (oil, rubber, pharmaceuticals), electronics“made in Italy” products (textile products, production of clothing and footwear, agri-foodstuffs and design) give a significant contribution to the national wealth, known and appreciated throughout the worldAgriculture (2%)Company size: a few global multinational corporations and a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)
© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
2. Italian economic outlook – Economy in a nutshell
Slide7© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
2. Italian economic outlook – Focus on SMEs
© 2013 – Comma 10
High
propensity to
entrepreneurship:
SMEs
represent 99.8 % of enterprises in the non-financial business economy
generate approx 60 % of value added within the non-financial business economy
key driverfor economic growth, innovation, employment and social integration
FEATURES:FlexibilitySpecializationInnovation
levels
of excellence in many areas
filling the
gaps left by the large companies
Competitiveness based on
the
agility of the SME sector
Slide8© 2013 – Comma 10
Opportunities and risks of doing business in Italy: High thecnology products unable to reach the internal marketFinancial stress3) Management and generational shift issues
GGI Italian Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
3. Comma 10 experience – Where opportunities rise
© 2013 – Comma 10
Slide93. Comma 10 experience - Example
The Yacht
industry case JV between an affirmed Chinese boat producer, “ the investor”, and an Italian Yacht company, in charge of designing and developing the production.The business idea:Construction: to take advantage of the high technological content and design of the Italian production of luxury yachts, which is distinguished worldwide for quality and refinementSale: to take advantage of the attractiveness of the Italian marine industry to get a front row seat for the allocation of the boats to the international market, more receptive than the national one.After the first experience with 3 yachts, the investor is planning to begin the construction of a cruise ship. Actually, Italy is among the very few countries, all Europeans, who have advanced experience and excellent quality standards for the construction and the assembling of this type of craft.
© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian
Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
1
Product
specialization
unable
to
reach
the
internal
market
Slide10Renewables Energy Producers case The incentive mechanisms set up by the Goverment in the recent years resulted in a explosivegrowth of renewable plants in Italy. In a contest of Power Market overcapacity and final demand reduction, the incentives havebeen revised and most of the operators are facing seriuos financial problems. Foreign investors are looking at this sector for industrial and financial investments at revisedand sustainable cash flows. Our client has been collecting money among investors of his country and then he bought 6 SPV companies in Italy, whose energy production will entirely be absorbed by the Italian Energy Web Management Body, at a fixed price, for 19 years.
3. Comma 10 experience - Example
© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian
Business Summit
Rome,
Italy
11th – 13th October 2013
2 Financial stress
Slide11© 2013 – Comma 10
SMEs: often too small to enclose managerial skills required to survive in the global market.The entrepreneur usually requires professional support in structuring and making decisions to growth and develop his business.The Npex case Opportunity to raise capital in a international trading platform created with the aim to trade less liquid securities. Italian SMEs ready to partecipate?
3. Comma 10 experience - Example 3 Management and generational change issue
GGI
Italian
Business Summit
Rome,
Italy
11th – 13th
October
2013
Slide12© 2013 – Comma 10
4. Opportunities within the crisis
© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian
Business SummitRome, Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
High level and high added value general productions, branded productions and niche productions carried out by SMEs
Operations of limited size
Italian economic downturnSMEs willing to grow beyond the national bordersDifficulties in accessing the credit
Injection of capital
Market conditions lead companies to drop prices
Market values much lower than a few years ago.
Good moment to buy?!
Slide13Investing in Italy can be attractive but it also implies some hurdles…
© 2013 – Comma 10
4. Opportunities within the crisis
Foreign
Investors
Target companies
© 2013 – Comma 10
GGI
Italian
Business Summit
Rome,
Italy 11th – 13th October 2013
Slide14© 2013 – Comma 10
Thank
you for your attention
sergio.finulli@comma10.it
mariagiulia.signori@comma10.it
simona.cucchi@comma10.it