CALIFORNIA’S INDEPENDENT VOTERSMark BaldassareDean BonnerandJui S - PDF document

�� &#x/Att;¬he; [/;ott;&#xom ];&#x/BBo;&#xx [5;.4;R 3;.47;&#x 564;&#x.723;&#x 46.;G ];&#x/Sub;&#xtype;&#x /Fo;&#xoter;&#x /Ty;&#xpe /;&#xPagi;&#xnati;&#xon 0;&#x/Att;¬he; [/;ott;&#xom ];&#x/BBo;&#xx [5;.4;R 3;.47;&#x 564;&#x.723;&#x 46.;G ];&#x/Sub;&#xtype;&#x /Fo;&#xoter;&#x /Ty;&#xpe /;&#xPagi;&#xnati;&#xon 0;PPIC.ORG California’s Independent Voters Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, David Kordus, and Lunna Lopes The share of independent voters continues to increase. As of the June 2016 primary, the share of California voters registered as independents, also known as declineto state” or “no party preference”voterswas more than twofold increase since the November 199residential Oursurveys over the ast year indicate that moreindependents who are likely to vote lean towardthe Democratic than toward the Republican Party (4% to %), while % lean toward neither party. Democratic leaningsamong independentswere similar in 200%) and 20%), as were Republican leanings (in 200% in 20) and the share leaning toward neither major party (28% in 2008% in 20). Four in ten Most independents say neither party does an adequate job Mostindependent likely voters haveunfavorable viewsboththe Democratic Party (%) and the Republican Party (When independents are asked why they are registered as “no party preference” nearly halfsay they are not satisfied with the parti Independents align with Democrats on some issues … On issues that divide voters along party lines, independent likely voters often agree with Democrats. For xample, 69% ofDemocrats and 65 but they are an ideologically divided group. The views of independent voterswho lean toward a party are often similar to that party’s positionsBut many issues that divide partisans, independents as a group are Independents their choices Leading up to the 2016electio, most independents were not satisfied with their choices of presidential candidates (May 2016: 35% satisfied, 62% not satisfied). In our July survey, independents prefer Hillary Clinton (%) over Donald Trump (%), Gary Johnson (%), or Jill Stein (with11% saying they would vote for someone else or would not vote, and 13% undecided. SEPTEMBER 2016 �� CALIFORNIA’S INDEPENDENT VOTERSSEPTEMBER201��PPIC.ORGParty registration in presidential election yearsSources: California Secretary of State, Report of Registration, October 2012 and May 2016SevenPPIC Statewide Surveys from September 2015 to July 2016451 independents, of whom 627 are likely voters. For more informationon the demographic differences betweenindependents and others,see “California Voter and Party ProfilesContact:survey@ppic.org 2016 presidential election preferencesJuly 2016 Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Someone else/would not vote Don't know 200820122016PercentLeanings toward major parties Democratic Party Republican Party Neither (volunteered) Democratic PartyRepublican PartyPercentFavorability of political parties Favorable Unfavorable 1992199620002004200820122016*Percent Democratic Republican Decline-to-state Other partiesNote:Numbers may not add to 100% due to rounding.*Prior to June primary. All other years, prior to November general election. % independent likely voters Political ideology Liberal Middle-of-the-road Conservative % independent likely voters % independent likely voters % independent likely voters