What Next By DR TH CHOWDARY Director Center for Telecom Management and Studies Fellow Tata Consultancy Services Chairman Pragna Bharati intellect India Former Chairman amp Managing Director ID: 420424
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Slide1
Magnificent And Marvelous Development of Telecoms & I.T –What Next?
By
DR T.H. CHOWDARY
Director: Center for Telecom Management and Studies
Fellow: Tata Consultancy Services
Chairman:
Pragna
Bharati
(intellect India )
Former: Chairman & Managing Director
Videsh
Sanchar Nigam Limited &
Information Technology Advisor,
Government of Andhra Pradesh
T: +91(40) 6667-1191(O) 2784-3121®
F: +91 (40) 6667-1111
hanuman.chowdary@tcs.com
World Telecom & Information Society Day: IE,
Hyd
17
th
May 2012Slide2
Apply, Apply – No ReplyHaath haath
mein Cell Phone
Magnificent, marvelous development of Telecoms & I.T due to
Liberalisation
End to monopolies
New technologies
No sector matches telecomsSlide3
Spectacular Rise of Affordability
Year
(1)
PCI
(2)
Year’s spend on phones
(3)
Ratio
(4)
(2)t
o(3)
Telephones
Teledensity
2004
Rs.
10,000
Rs. 10,000
1:1
10m
1%
2012
Rs. 65,000
Rs. 2,500
21:1
950m
80%Slide4
S452_Nov2010
4
PCI
A
X TSP
Time
(a) Affordability
A PCI/ Tele-Service Price
PCI: Per Capita Income
TSP: Telephone Service Price
A: Affordability
How we achieved this
thc_ctmsSlide5
The Road TraversedNTP 1994, NTP 1999, NTP 2012 bear out the truth
Vaasaamsi jeernani
yatha
vihaaya
Navaani grihnaati
naro-aparaniNew facts, new policiesSupply is creating demand – new applications, new devices, new servicesRelentless migration to electronic form- e-commerce, e-books, e-learning, e-ticketing, e-marriage, e-talaq too…Slide6
Spanner in the Wheel TRAI’s high-10 times more – reserve price for auction of 2G spectrum
Prices would go up 3 to 10 times
Rural penetration & usage suffers Telcos
will wilt-
2G is not comparable to 3G, 4G…
Urban
teledensity
-85%
Rural = 40%
New markets in rural areas -capital intensive
-revenue poorSlide7
Flaws in TRAI’s ViewsMigrating 2G
Telcos
to 1800 MHZ Parts of Existing network to be abandoned More cell sites; nearly double
Value of spectrum cannot be linearly projected
TRAI expects 50% data on 2G; but that would go to 3G/4G operators; its price rise is under-estimateSlide8
Role of TRAIIs its mandate to generate/increase revenue to government ? or
Increase affordability and coverage & variety
Why cell towers need to take unified licence
and pay a revenue share. TRAI assumes a revenue of Rs. 1900
cr
to Government from Tower
cos
! Why should FDI be brought down from 100% to 74%.
Do electric power transmission towers and distribution poles require
licence & give revenue share?Slide9
DOT- Promotes or RetardsDepartments of I.T, Electronics, Renewable Energy, Tourism plead to promote the interest of their charges.
DOT restricts, burdens, pains and punishes.
“Abominable no-men”… nay
sayers
” Slide10
What May be Done (1/2) Wind up Telecom Commission.
Recharge DOT.
Purge the TRAI – Remove IAS, from TRAI (lovers of permit-licence
-quota raj)
Remove
Deputationists
from DOT (practitioners of monopoly)
Slide11
What may be done to TRAI (2/2)Put liberal economists wealth creators & great businessmen.
Social scientists.
Engineers and IAS people without vision and a social philosophy could be disastrous.
DHANYAWAD:
THANK YOU