PPT-Probability and

Probability Distributions Probability Concepts Probability We now assume the population parameters are known and calculate the chances of obtaining certain samples from this population This is the reverse of statistics and statistical measurements. Ambar Paulino and Christina . Raiti. Topic . Bouncing Through Percentages and Probability . will serve to help students illustrate their creativeness, practice, and master fractions, percentages and probability skills. While most teachers are struggling to calm their kids down and separate the “madness” on the court from the classroom affairs, . Probability. Probability is a measure of the chances that something will happen.. A fair coin has a 50% probability of landing heads.. There is a 20% probability that it will rain tomorrow. . There is a 37.6% chance that . Test Cross. breeding an individual whose phenotype is known but whose genotype is unknown to an individual with a homozygous recessive genotype. can be used to determine the first individual’s genotype. Joyeeta Dutta-Moscato. May 24, 2016. There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics. . - Mark Twain, attributed to Disraeli. Sample vs population. Central tendency: Mean, median, mode. Theorem. Common fallacies of probability:. The . Gambler’s . Fallacy. Is assuming that the odds of a single truly random event are affected in any way by previous iterations of the same or other truly random event. Probability Terminology. Classical Interpretation. : Notion of probability based on equal likelihood of individual possibilities (coin toss has 1/2 chance of Heads, card draw has 4/52 chance of an Ace). Origins in games of chance.. 3.1 . The Concept of Probability. 3.2 . Sample Spaces and Events. 3.3 . Some Elementary Probability Rules. 3.4 . Conditional Probability and Independence. 3.5 . Bayes’ Theorem. 3-. 2. Probability Concepts. Probability is used all of the time in real life. Gambling . Sports. Weather. Insurance. Medical Decisions. Standardized Tests. And others. Definition of Probability. “The . likelihood of something . Conditional Probability. Conditional Probability: . A probability where a certain prerequisite condition has already been met.. Conditional Probability Notation. The probability of Event A, given that Event B has already occurred, is expressed as P(A | B).. Sixth Edition. Douglas C. Montgomery George C. . Runger. Chapter 2 Title and Outline. 2. 2. Probability. 2-1 Sample Spaces and Events . 2-1.1 Random Experiments. 2-1.2 Sample Spaces . Sixth Edition. Douglas C. Montgomery George C. . Runger. Chapter 2 Title and Outline. 2. 2. Probability. 2-1 Sample Spaces and Events . 2-1.1 Random Experiments. 2-1.2 Sample Spaces . calculus. 1 ≥ . Pr. (h) ≥ 0. If e deductively implies h, then Pr(h|e) = 1. .. (disjunction rule) If h and g are mutually exclusive, then . Pr. (h or g) = . Pr. (h) + . Pr. (g). (disjunction rule) If h and g are . 4. Compute the number of combinations of . n. individuals taken . k. at a time.. Use . combinations to calculate probabilities.. Use . the multiplication counting principle and combinations to calculate probabilities.. 4. Interpret probability as a long-run relative frequency. . Dispel . common myths about randomness.. Use . simulation to model chance behavior.. Randomness, Probability, and Simulation. Randomness, Probability, and Simulation.