PPT-Uncertainty in

Analysis and Visualization Topology and Statistics V Pascucci Scientific Computing and Imaging Institute University of Utah in collaboration with D C Thompson J A Levine J C Bennett . Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). IMF Lectures, January 18. th. 2013. Talk summarizes a JEL draft with Fernandez-Villaverde and Schneider. Currently very scrappy and only the slides are on-line but hoping to post the paper on-line soon. Readings. Readings. Baye. 6. th. edition or 7. th. edition, Chapter 3. BA 445 Lesson A.4 Uncertainty. Overview. Overview. Overview. BA 445 Lesson A.4 Uncertainty. Expected Value . distinguishes good decisions from good luck. Gambling with positive expected value virtually guarantees . Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. Joseph B. Kadane. Carnegie Mellon University. kadane@stat.cmu.edu. “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future”. Niels. Bohr. Robert Storm Peterson. Yogi Berra. Samuel Goldwyn. Mark Twain. Rrs. ) and output ocean color data:. a brief review. Stéphane. . Maritorena. – ERI/UCSB. Uncertainties in output products. Ideally, the uncertainties associated with ocean color products should be determined through comparisons with in situ measurements (matchups). in Precipitation Data Records. Yudong Tian. Collaborators: Ling Tang, Bob Adler, George Huffman, . Xin Lin, Fang Yan, Viviana Maggioni and Matt Sapiano.  . University of Maryland & NASA/GSFC. http://sigma.umd.edu. Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). Harvard, April 23. rd. and 30. th. Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). Talk summarizes . a forthcoming JEP article (& a work-in-progress longer JEL). John L. Campbell. 1. , Ruth D. Yanai. 2. , Mark B. . Green. 1,3. , Carrie . Rose . Levine. 2. , Mary Beth Adams. 1. , Douglas A. Burns. 4. ,. . Donald C. Buso. 5. , . Mark E. Harmon. 6. , Trevor Keenan. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Sensitivity. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Pitot. Static Probe. Measures fluid velocity . v. Based on Bernoulli’s law. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. in Measurement. (IB text - Ch 11; AP text - section 1.4 pgs. 10-13 and A10-A13). All measurements have some degree of . uncertainty. . Therefore, we need to give some indication of the reliability of measurements and the uncertainties in the results calculated from these measurements. . Marcia McNutt. Editor-in-Chief. Science . family of Journals. Challenges with scientific uncertainty ...... Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty, they “don’t know they are talking about.”. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Erzo F. P. Luttmer. Andrew A. Samwick. Dartmouth College and NBER. March 2017. Motivating Question. Future government policy is subject to uncertainty. How costly is this uncertainty?. When does policy uncertainty matter most?.