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It’s a Journey Not a Destination: It’s a Journey Not a Destination:

It’s a Journey Not a Destination: - PowerPoint Presentation

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It’s a Journey Not a Destination: - PPT Presentation

The Development of Virginias Postsecondary Education Reports Virginia Department of Education MIS Conference San Diego CA February 2012 Images in this presentation are used with permission from Microsoft ID: 685667

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Slide1

It’s a Journey Not a Destination:

The Development

of Virginia’s Postsecondary Education Reports

Virginia Department of Education

MIS Conference, San Diego, CA

February 2012

Images in this presentation are used with permission from Microsoft.Slide2

Longitudinal data bridged between the Virginia Department of Education

(VDOE) and the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV).

SCHEV is Virginia’s coordinating body for higher education. As part of

their responsibilities, SCHEV collects credits earned data from colleges

in Virginia while also maintaining the confidentiality of student records

in compliance with the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act

(FERPA) and state privacy laws.

Postsecondary achievement reports that meet the conditions of State Fiscal

Stabilization Fund (SFSF) indicator (c)(12).

Postsecondary enrollment reports that meet the conditions of State Fiscal

Stabilization Fund (SFSF) indicator (c)(11).

Virginia has collected postsecondary enrollment data from the National

Student Clearinghouse for several years. To meet SFSF (c)(11),Virginia modified an existing report it provides to Local Education Agencies.

Points of Interest We’ll See During Virginia’s JourneySlide3

Hh

Hh

HhHh

This Lane For State Agencies With Different Unique Student IDsSlide4

Virginia’s journey to create postsecondary achievement reports required that VDOE enter

into a data-sharing agreement with the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV

). Slide5

Preparing The De-identified Data

Step One:

IHEs in Virginia send student enrollment & credits earned data to

the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV). Using an algorithm SCHEV acquires as many VDOE student IDs as possible. SCHEV de-identifies their data set so no meaningful student identifier is present.Step Two: High schools in Virginia send cohort graduation data to VDOE. Using an algorithm and human intervention, VDOE acquires as many SCHEV student IDs as possible. VDOE de-identifies their data set so no meaningful student identifier is present.Step Three: A 3rd party puts all the data sets through a 2nd de-identification process. VDOE is provided with the final data sets. The data sets use random numbers for VDOE and SCHEV student IDs that permit the data sets to be merged without identifying specific individuals.

SCHEVStudentIDsVDOEStudent IDs IHEs in Virginia3rd Party

High Schools in VirginiaSlide6

VDOE

was

ready

to begin the merge process

after it acquired the twice de-identified secondary and postsecondary data sets.

YIELD

To

SCHEV Student IDs

WhenMerging

DataSlide7

Linking Data

Students in the 2007-2008 FGI

cohort

Enrollment and credits earned data for First-time

in college (FTIC) students The only cases included in the analytic dataset were cases where the SCHEV Student ID, VDOE Student ID, or SCHEV & VDOE Student ID matched.Data SourceData SourceSlide8

Virginia’s journey to develop postsecondary education reports couldn’t continue until VDOE confirmed that the data merge process with SCHEV was successful.

Data Validation

Next Exit

CAUTION

Possible Mismatches On Gender, Race/Ethnicity, or Birth Month/Birth YearSlide9

Birth Month/Birth Year

Gender

99%

Race/Ethnicity

87% 99%Common VariableVDOE/SCHEVAlignment RateOutcomeThere were only a few instances where gender did not align between the two data sources. Cases where misalignment was present were further analyzed to see if other common variables aligned. SCHEV and VDOE have different ways of collecting race/ethnicity. In addition, students may change their race/ethnicity classification upon entering postsecondary institutions. VDOE used these two facts as justifications for keeping cases where race/ethnicity didn’t align provided the other validation variables aligned.In cases where birth month/birth year didn’t align, a random sample was analyzed to determine reasons for the mismatch. The analysis revealed most mismatches were a result of data entry error. Based on this result, VDOE

kept cases where birth month/birth year didn’t align provided the other validation variables aligned. Validation DecisionsAfter the de-identification process was completed and the data sets were merged, only 35 cases were removed due to misalignment on multiple common variables. Slide10

What was Virginia’s match rate?

44,830 First-time first-year students with in-state residency status in the year 2008-2009 (source: SCHEV).

35,381 Virginia public high school graduates from the 2007-2008 graduating cohort matched to SCHEV data (79%).

DOE and SCHEV independently estimated that ~6% of FTIC students would not come from Virginia public high schools or the graduating class of 2007-2008.

Approximately 15% unmatched = 85% match rate (estimated).Slide11

More on the data-linking process

The use of SCHEV student IDs allowed VDOE to add an additional 4,443 students into the longitudinal data set.

VDOE and SCHEV independently concluded that any estimates about postsecondary enrollment or postsecondary achievement that relied on the longitudinal data set would be underestimates.

Efforts to improve the probabilistic matching process are currently underway as part of Virginia’s grant-funded work to expand the Virginia Longitudinal Data System (VLDS).Slide12

Virginia’s journey continued with the creation of postsecondary achievement reports that met the conditions of SFSF indicator (c)(12).

COLLEGE

CREDIT

MINIMUM LIMIT

30FGI GRADSVA Public IHE ZoneSlide13

Conditions of SFSF (c)(12)

Virginia created postsecondary education reports for SFSF indicator (c)(12) consistent with the federally prescribed measure of calculating cohort graduation rates.

Only students who earned Virginia’s standard or advanced studies diploma count as graduates in Virginia’s Federal Graduation Indicator (FGI).

Students reporting as graduating within four, five and six years of first entering the ninth grade were included in the postsecondary achievement reports. Slide14

More Conditions of SFSF (c)(12)

Only students who enrolled in a Virginia public IHE within sixteen months of graduation were included.

Thirty units of college credit (applicable to a degree) was the benchmark for earning one year of college credit within two years of IHE enrollment.

Credits earned for passing developmental education courses were not included in the calculation.Slide15

SCHEV

and VDOE did not have access to transcript level credits earned data

With the conditions of SFSF indicator (c)(12) applied,

VDOE was ready to calculate how many students earned one year of college credit within two years of IHE enrollment. Slide16

The calculation for credits earned required VDOE to identify the college courses (applicable to a degree) a student enrolled in within a two-year time frame and sum the amount of credits earned for passing those courses.

The impact of unofficial transcript-level data resulted in VDOE and SCHEV making decisions about the following critical topics

:

Credits awarded for passing AP courses or earning qualifying scores on AP tests.Not included in this year’s calculation.Dual Enrollment CreditMissing GradesImpacts Of Unofficial Transcript-Level Data Slide17

This Lane For

Including Earned Dual Enrollment Credits

VDOE created postsecondary achievement reports for SFSF indicator (c)(12) that show results with and without earned dual enrollment credits included in the calculation of credits earned. Slide18

Virginia Department Of Education

State Fiscal Stabilization Fund Indicator (c)(12) Report

2007-2008 FGI cohort year (students entering high school in 2004-2005)

Graduation Rate Type: Four-Year Rate

Division: ALL, School: ALL Students that earned a federally recognized diploma and enrolled in a public Institution of Higher Education (IHE) in Virginia.

 Total number of students in cohort who graduated from high school with a federally recognized diploma and enrolled in a public IHE in Virginia within 16 months of graduationDual enrollment credits included in total count of credits earnedDual enrollment credits excluded in total count of credits earned

Earned

one year of college credit within two years of enrollment

Amount

of credits earned could not be determined due to the presence of missing grades

Earned

one year of college credit within two years of enrollment

Amount

of credits earned could not be determined due to the presence of missing grades

SUBGROUP

Number

Number

PercentNumberPercentNumberPercentNumber

PercentAll Students315792110267395120852

663851Female174431204769188

1

11906

68

178

1

Male

14136

9055

64

207

1

8946

63

207

1

American Indian

74

51

69

2

3

51

69

2

3

Asian

2160

1737

80

36

2

1733

80

36

2

Black

5600

2946

53

82

1

2911

52

81

1

Hispanic

1181

673

57

31

3

668

57

31

3

Native Hawaiian

34

23

68

1

3

23

68

1

3

White

22140

15396

70

237

1

15191

69

228

1

Economically Disadvantaged

3812

1879

49

52

1

1837

48

50

1

Limited English Proficient Students

1245

831

67

27

2

829

67

27

2

Students with Disabilities

1467

580

40

27

2

570

39

25

2

Notes: < refers to a group below state definition for personally identifiable results.

- = no data available for that group

According to the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV), credits from remedial courses do not count towards a college degree and are to be excluded from the total number of credits earned.

According to the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV), 30 units is the equivalent of one-year of college credit.

Federally recognized diplomas include Standard, Advanced Studies, and International Baccalaureate (IB) diplomas.

The number of students enrolled and the number of students earning credit (including and excluding dual enrollment credits) are based on the

available data

the Virginia Department of Education (

VDOE

) was able to link with the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV). Slide19

Missing

Grade

Crossing

In some records, public IHEs did not submit final course grades to SCHEV. Some of these missing grades impact the determination of whether or not a student earned 30 or more credits within two years of enrolling in college. The postsecondary

achievement reports for SFSF (c)(12) document the percentage of students for whom insufficient data were available to make a final determination about whether they met the criteria of SFSF (c)(12).Slide20

Virginia Department Of Education

State Fiscal Stabilization Fund Indicator (c)(12) Report

2007-2008 FGI cohort year (students entering high school in 2004-2005)

Graduation Rate Type: Four-Year Rate

Division: ALL, School: ALL Students that earned a federally recognized diploma and enrolled in a public Institution of Higher Education (IHE) in Virginia.

 Total number of students in cohort who graduated from high school with a federally recognized diploma and enrolled in a public IHE in Virginia within 16 months of graduationDual enrollment credits included in total count of credits earnedDual enrollment credits excluded in total count of credits earned

Earned

one year of college credit within two years of enrollment

Amount

of credits earned could not be determined due to the presence of missing grades

Earned

one year of college credit within two years of enrollment

Amount

of credits earned could not be determined due to the presence of missing grades

SUBGROUP

Number

Number

PercentNumberPercentNumberPercentNumber

PercentAll Students315792110267395120852

663851Female174431204769188

1

11906

68

178

1

Male

14136

9055

64

207

1

8946

63

207

1

American Indian

74

51

69

2

3

51

69

2

3

Asian

2160

1737

80

36

2

1733

80

36

2

Black

5600

2946

53

82

1

2911

52

81

1

Hispanic

1181

673

57

31

3

668

57

31

3

Native Hawaiian

34

23

68

1

3

23

68

1

3

White

22140

15396

70

237

1

15191

69

228

1

Economically Disadvantaged

3812

1879

49

52

1

1837

48

50

1

Limited English Proficient Students

1245

831

67

27

2

829

67

27

2

Students with Disabilities

1467

580

40

27

2

570

39

25

2

Notes: < refers to a group below state definition for personally identifiable results.

- = no data available for that group

According to the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV), credits from remedial courses do not count towards a college degree and are to be excluded from the total number of credits earned.

According to the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV), 30 units is the equivalent of one-year of college credit.

Federally recognized diplomas include Standard, Advanced Studies, and International Baccalaureate (IB) diplomas.

The number of students enrolled and the number of students earning credit (including and excluding dual enrollment credits) are based on the available

data

the Virginia Department of Education (

VDOE

) was able to link with the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV

).. Slide21

VDOE’s journey also included postsecondary enrollment reports that met the conditions of SFSF indicator (c)(11)Slide22

The data linking process for State Fiscal Stabilization Fund Indicator (c)(11)

Institution of Higher Education

Institution of Higher Education

Institution of Higher Education

Step One:Colleges and universities across the nation send student-level enrollment data to the National Student Clearinghouse (NSC).Step Two: The Virginia Department of Education (VDOE) sends student-level cohort graduation data to NSC.Step Three: NSC uses a proprietary algorithm (plus internal staff review) to compare college enrollment records to VDOE data. NSC supplies VDOE with a data set that shows the results. VDOE creates SFSF (c)(11) reports.Slide23

Virginia Department Of Education

State Fiscal Stabilization Fund Indicator (c)(11) Report

2010-2011 FGI cohort year (students entering high school in 2007-2008)

Graduation Rate Type: Four Year Rate

Division: ALL, School: ALL  

Total number of students in the cohort earning a federally recognized high school diplomaStudents who enrolled in any Institution of Higher Education (IHE) within 16 months of earning a federally recognized high school diplomaStudents who enrolled in a 4-year public Institution of Higher Education (IHE) within 16 months of earning a federally recognized high school diplomaStudents who enrolled in a 4-year private Institution of Higher Education (IHE) within 16 months of earning a federally recognized high school diplomaStudents who enrolled in a 2-year Institution of Higher Education (IHE) within 16 months of earning a federally recognized high school diploma.

Subgroup

Number

Number

Percent

Number

Percent

Number

Percent

Number

Percent

All Students

800234973962

2404330755191814523Female40945

27030661317032425310960723

Male

39078

22709

58

10873

28

3298

8

8538

22

American Indian

285

163

57

74

26

22

8

67

24

Asian

4718

3574

76

2225

47

354

8

995

21

Black

18628

10089

54

4011

22

1934

10

4144

22

Hispanic

6257

3141

50

1184

19

367

6

1590

25

Native Hawaiian

105

60

57

29

28

10

10

21

20

White

47402

31013

65

15667

33

4621

10

10725

23

2 or More

2593

1681

65

851

33

242

9

588

23

Economically Disadvantaged

20545

9453

46

2757

13

1373

7

5323

26

Limited English Proficient Students

4228

2086

49

712

17

160

4

1214

29

Students with Disabilities

5498

2328

42

476

9

311

6

1541

28

NOTES:< = A group below state definition for personally identifiable

results.

- = no data available for that group

This report uses the best available data according to the National Student Clearinghouse.

Students who attended schools that do not participate in NSC are not included in the number or percent of students enrolled in an IHE.

Federally recognized high school diplomas include Standard, Advanced Studies, or International Baccalaureate (IB) diplomas.

Most subgroups are based on

students

most

recent status.

Feb 10, 2012 12:39 PM

Page 1 of 1Slide24

Resources

Postsecondary achievement reports for SFSF (c)(12):

https://p1pe.doe.virginia.gov/postsec_public/postsec.do?dowhat=LOADREPORT_C12

Frequently Asked Questions about postsecondary achievement reports:

http://www.doe.virginia.gov/school_finance/arra/stabilization/reported_data/assurance_c/faq_c12.pdfPostsecondary enrollment reports for SFSF (c)(11) : https://p1pe.doe.virginia.gov/postsec_public/postsec.do?dowhat=LOADREPORT_C11Frequently Asked Questions about postsecondary enrollment reports: http://www.doe.virginia.gov/school_finance/arra/stabilization/reported_data/assurance_c/faq_c11.pdfInformation about Virginia’s College and Career Readiness Initiative: http://www.doe.virginia.gov/instruction/college_career_readiness/index.shtmlSlide25

The

detours

and decisions

shown

in this presentation were based on real people and actual events that occurred in the Virginia Department of Education. In some cases, the names of the people taking those actions were omitted to protect their identities. For More Information ContactNathan Carter, Ph.D.Nathan.Carter@doe.Virginia.govDeborah Jonas, Ph.D.Deborah.Jonas@doe.Virginia.govVirginia Department of Education Slide26