PDF-IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC)

April 201 4 No ICPAC0226 6 April 2014 1 1 HIGHLIGHTS ACTUALITES xF0B7 Near normal to wet conditions were recorded o ver much of the southern sector southern western and central parts of e. Assumptions on noise in linear regression allow us to estimate the prediction variance due to the noise at any point.. Prediction variance is usually large when you are far from a data point.. We distinguish between interpolation, when we are in the convex hull of the data points, and extrapolation where we are outside.. 2015. Climate. . Prediction. and . Climate. . Services. http://ic3.cat/wikicfu. Virginie Guemas and the Climate Forecasting Unit . 9 February 2015. Climate. . timescales. and . climate. . prediction. Saehoon Kim. §. , . Yuxiong He. *. ,. . Seung-won Hwang. §. , . Sameh Elnikety. *. , . Seungjin Choi. §. §. *. Web Search Engine . Requirement. 2. Queries. High quality + Low latency. This talk focuses on how to achieve low latency without compromising the quality. Prediction is important for action selection. The problem:. prediction of future reward. The algorithm:. temporal difference learning. Neural implementation:. dopamine dependent learning in BG. A precise computational model of learning allows one to look in the brain for “hidden variables” postulated by the model. Chris Ferro (University of Exeter). Tom . Fricker. , . Fredi. Otto, Emma Suckling. 12th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (28 June 2013, . Jeju. , Korea). Credibility and performance. Prediction is important for action selection. The problem:. prediction of future reward. The algorithm:. temporal difference learning. Neural implementation:. dopamine dependent learning in BG. A precise computational model of learning allows one to look in the brain for “hidden variables” postulated by the model. Matthew S. Gerber, Ph.D.. Assistant Professor. Department of Systems and Information Engineering. University of Virginia. IACA Presentations on Social Media. The Modern Analyst. and Social Media (Woodward). Chris Ferro (University of Exeter). Tom . Fricker. , . Fredi. Otto, Emma Suckling. Credibility and performance. Many factors may influence credibility judgments, but should do so if and only if they affect our expectations about the performance of the predictions.. Objectives. To better understand variability in eastern upwelling regions and the Gulf of Guinea. To enhance climate modelling and prediction capabilities. Improve understanding of marine ecosystems for better prediction and management. Climatology. is . the study of Earth’s climate and the factors that affect past, present, and future climatic changes.. Climate describes annual variations of temperature, precipitation, wind, and other weather factors.. Climatology. is . the study of Earth’s climate and the factors that affect past, present, and future climatic changes.. Climate describes annual variations of temperature, precipitation, wind, and other weather factors.. Best Practices Approach. Joseph Obua . Jim Ayorekire . Makerere University. REGIONAL TOURISM MEETING FOR EASTERN AFRICA. Kiga. , Rwanda. 1st - 3rd . Juneli. 2016. Background. IGAD STMP - launched in Dec 2013 - Nairobi, Kenya. The set of 16 initialized CMIP5 models is analyzed for predictions of the hiatus made from the mid-1990s. Could we have predicted the early-2000s hiatus of global warming in the 1990s?. Impact. If the recent methodology of initialized decadal climate prediction could have been applied in the mid-1990s using the CMIP5 multi-models, both the negative phase of the IPO in the early 2000s as well as the hiatus could have been simulated, with the multi-model average performing better than most of the individual models. . DISCUSSIONS WITH RADIO JOURNALISTS & METEOROLOGISTS. MAINSTREAMING WEATHER AND CLIMATE IN RADIO. Introduction. Weather affects everyone and everything it its path, beginning with the clothes you put on to meet your day to the type of outdoor activities you choose to engage in. .