PPT-Enhancing Prediction of tropical Atlantic Climate & its impacts (PREFACE)

Objectives To better understand variability in eastern upwelling regions and the Gulf of Guinea To enhance climate modelling and prediction capabilities Improve understanding of marine ecosystems for better prediction and management. Noel . Keenlyside. Geophysical Institute, University of . Bergen. Ingo . Bethke. , Francois . Counillon. , Tor . Eldevik. , Anne Britt . Sandø. , . Øystein. . Skagseth. , . Yongqi. . Gao. , Helene . l. inking intra. -seasonal, inter-annual and longer time scales. Alessandra Giannini. , . Seyni. . Salack. , . Tiganadaba. . Lodoun. , . Abdou. . Ali. , . Amadou. . T Gaye and . Ousmane. . Ndiaye. NorCPM. Noel . Keenlyside. Francois . Counillon. , Ingo . Bethke. , . Yiguo. . Wang, . Mao. -Lin . Shen. , . Madlen. . Kimmritz. , . Marius . Årthun. , Tor . Eldevik. , Stephanie . Gleixner. , . Helene . Ray Bell. Supervisors – Prof. Pier Luigi . Vidale. , Dr. Jane Strachan and Dr. Kevin Hodges. Tropical Hour – 11th Jul. About me . Previous studies. Models. Tracking algorithm. Results. Future work. System. Stuart A. . Cunningham. Scottish Association for Marine Science. Stuart.Cunningham@sams.ac.uk. . Barbara Berx. 1. , Eleanor Frajka-Williams. 2. and Mark Inall. 3. 1. Marine Laboratory Science, Aberdeen. l. inking intra. -seasonal, inter-annual and longer time scales. Alessandra Giannini. , . Seyni. . Salack. , . Tiganadaba. . Lodoun. , . Abdou. . Ali. , . Amadou. . T Gaye and . Ousmane. . Ndiaye. the capacity of seasonal-to-decadal predictions in the Arctic and over the Northern . Hemisphere. Daniela Matei (MPI) and Noel . Keenlyside. (. UiB. ). Motivation:. Observations . and ocean, atmosphere, and coupled modelling studies indicate a two-way link between the North Atlantic and Nordic Seas/Arctic that implies. Columbia University. Analysis of 20. th. Century . Atlantic hurricane potential intensity . and. Tropical Cyclone Activity in. the CMIP5 models. Atlantic Sector Climate Variability over the Last Millennium and the Near Term Future Workshop. C. yclone . A. ctivity . M. ediated by the African Monsoon. Objective. Quantify the impacts of North . Atlantic . & Mediterranean . (NAMED) . sea surface temperature (SST) on Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity. Suzana J. Camargo,. Mingfang. Ting and . Yochanan. . Kushnir. LDEO, Columbia University. GloDecH. Meeting, OCP, LDEO, December 14, 2011.. Atlantic PDI . (power dissipation index ~. . V. 3. max. ) . Kerry Emanuel. Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate. MIT. Some Issues. What processes control rates of genesis of tropical cyclones?. What processes control the actual and potential intensity of TCs? . Kerry Emanuel. Lorenz Center. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, MIT. Program. Overview of hurricanes. Basic theory of hurricanes. What have hurricanes been like in the past, and how will they be affected by global warming?. Kerry Emanuel. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Several Possibly Inter-related Enigmas of the Tropical Atmosphere. Why does moist convection often cluster?. What determines the number of tropical cyclones on the planet?. Peter Brandt, Marcus Dengler, Rebecca Hummels, Josefine . Herrford. Large Scale . Thermohaline. Circulation. 2. Kuhlbrodt et al. 2007. RACE . Contribution. . to. AMOC . Observing. System. Denmark Strait Overflow.