Green Summit pre-workshop – building a zero carbon
Description: Green Summit pre-workshop building a zero carbon city-region Synergistic pathways for collaboration learning (work in progress on the GM Mini-Lab) Joe Ravetz Centre for Urban Resilience Energy University of Manchester www.urban3.net
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slide1. Green Summit pre-workshop – building a zero carbon city-region Synergistic pathways for collaboration & learning (work in progress on the GM Mini-Lab) Joe Ravetz
Centre for Urban Resilience & Energy
University of Manchester
www.urban3.net Questions: low carbon governance is firstly about<br>
slide2. CARBON MAPPING: Fossil fuel extraction & fugitive emissions Aviation CO2 & other radiative forcing Inbound marine shipping: direct & embodied CO2 Outbound marine shipping: direct & embodied CO2 Fossil fuel reserves extracted Carbon capture & storage in fossil fuel formations Carbon long term storage in buildings, urban infrastructure, durable products. CO2 sequestered in forestry, soil & land Domestic building in/direct CO2 & supply chain Agriculture CO2 & other GHG Commercial in/direct CO2 & downstream climate responsibility Waste stream GHG & embodied CO2 emissions Industrial production & distribution in/direct CO2 Urban transport / infrastructure in/direct CO2 Energy conversion & distribution system Global atmospheric / oceanic carbon storage & climate system What - where – who – how – when - how much?? Alternative system boundaries:
regional / urban / local<br>
slide3. We need to put together the many interests involved – design and construction, finance and business, science and technology, communities and cultures, social innovation, and joined up governance.
Progress on retrofit depends on the linkage between costs and benefits (many investments are difficult as the benefits are not easily returned (both direct savings & wider social / environmental values
The cost-benefit balance is not only an abstract calculation: it’s about the relations between different ‘actors’ (stakeholders’): e.g. government, public services, businesses, property owners, builders, utilities, residents (owners or tenants), etc.
schemes which looked good on paper, such as the Green Deal, failed (with some exceptions) in the real world. The synergistic approach starts with these relations. It looks for chains or loops of value-added (i.e. ‘value-chains’) which depend on these relations and collaborations, between different parts of economy and society.
Then it measures things which can be measured (e.g. money or CO2): and it evaluates things which are best evaluated (e.g. social well-being).
A ‘synergistic pathway’ is a set of coordinated ‘value-chains’, with a phased plan of action and collaboration. With this we can get beyond the usual barriers to progress (organization inertia, myopic business, split incentives etc). INTEGRATED VALUE-CHAINS & SYNERGISTIC PATHWAYS<br>
slide5. EXAMPLE SERVICE MODEL / VALUE-CHAIN: KIRKLEES WARM ZONE ACTOR MAPPING Webber, P., Gouldson, A. & Kerr, N. (2015). The impacts of household retrofit and domestic energy efficiency schemes: A large scale, ex post evaluation. Energy policy, 84, 35-43 £21M total
£425 / HH £625 / HH (5yr)
Fiscal: ?
£49M wider (5 yr) £24.5M health benefit (5 yr) £7.1M CO2 benefit (5yr) £6.2 pa total
£125 pa / HH 126+116 jobs
(5 yr) Agency assists finance<br>
slide6. Low-carb ‘Techno-economic’ pathway: a combination of technology and economic values. In principle if all the data was available then the optimal solution could be decided – in practice, political and social factors cannot be ignored.
Low-carb ‘Livelihood’ pathway: a combination of social & economic values. This includes, social values of health, inclusion, well-being, area effects. Also, socio-economic effects of social enterprise, employment, skills, self-reliance: and economic effects
Low-carb ‘Green-business’ pathway: a combination of environmental & economic values. This includes, carbon valuation, adaptation potential, or ecosystem services on the environment / climate side: and sector growth, supply chains, skills & training, tech innovation, entrepreneurship on the business side.
Low-carb ‘Democracy’ pathway: a combination of social & political values. This includes, energy poverty priorities, housing provision, integrated urban regeneration, active policy participation, community empowerment, socio-eco enterprise, new forms of local democracy. Low-carb ‘Stewardship’ pathway: a combination of environmental & political values. This includes, public eco-investment, policy eco-valuation, integrated eco-urban planning, advance eco-procurement, smart eco-regulation, public ownership of common goods.
Low-carb ‘Platform’ pathway: a combination of technology and urban values (meaning, values which are mobilized particularly in the urban setting). This includes, smart AI technologies, Internet of things, blockchain data systems, urban mobile platforms etc.
Low-carb ‘Eco-tech’ pathway: a combination of technology and environmental values. This includes, new forms of energy supply, demand management, storage & cascades, integrated systems, wider city / regional inter-connections: also, innovation effects, transfer, skills, global networks etc. MAPPING SYNERGISTIC VALUE-CHAINS<br>
slide7. Research & innovation
smart / other technology
Building professions Energy & carbon
Climate impacts
Climate adapt
Ecosystems etc Finance
Developers
Landowners
intermediaries NGOs
Culture & media
Local community
Social enterprise National
Local
City-region
Fiscal balance Health
Housing
Urban etc Owners
occupants Social landlords
Private landlords
Managers etc Private tenants
Social tenants
Transients
Vulnerable Energy generation
Energy supply
Other urban infra Materials
Supply chain
Local economy
National economy worker skills & livelihood
Firms & SME growth
Social enterprise MAPPING SYNERGISTIC VALUE-CHAINS<br>
slide8. RETROFIT-III a) SYNDROMES: ‘SMART’ RETROFIT-I&II Housing & other buildings are discon-nected financial objects Glasshouse & conservatory heated Waste is sent to landfill Lifestyle of high power cars & long haul flights Apartments have split incentive barriers to improvements Houses are dis-connected from neighbours. Unplanned ventilation loses heat b) SYNERGISTICS: ‘WISER’ RETROFIT-III” Physical buildings are linked with other value systems - ecology, finance, social, policy, technology A digital ‘platform’ (eBay / wiki / Amazon / FB etc, provides the informatic connection A human ‘market-place’ (agents /entrepreneurs /intermediaries / creatives) provides the human symbiosis Integrated waste, energy supply, ventilation, heat storage, waste recycling, personal transport Look at that new housing... “Stunning & Exclusive”!! Yes we are very “stunned & excluded!!” Life is short - why do low-carbon?? Low-carb - high quality is the way to go<br>
Centre for Urban Resilience & Energy
University of Manchester
www.urban3.net Questions: low carbon governance is firstly about<br>
slide2. CARBON MAPPING: Fossil fuel extraction & fugitive emissions Aviation CO2 & other radiative forcing Inbound marine shipping: direct & embodied CO2 Outbound marine shipping: direct & embodied CO2 Fossil fuel reserves extracted Carbon capture & storage in fossil fuel formations Carbon long term storage in buildings, urban infrastructure, durable products. CO2 sequestered in forestry, soil & land Domestic building in/direct CO2 & supply chain Agriculture CO2 & other GHG Commercial in/direct CO2 & downstream climate responsibility Waste stream GHG & embodied CO2 emissions Industrial production & distribution in/direct CO2 Urban transport / infrastructure in/direct CO2 Energy conversion & distribution system Global atmospheric / oceanic carbon storage & climate system What - where – who – how – when - how much?? Alternative system boundaries:
regional / urban / local<br>
slide3. We need to put together the many interests involved – design and construction, finance and business, science and technology, communities and cultures, social innovation, and joined up governance.
Progress on retrofit depends on the linkage between costs and benefits (many investments are difficult as the benefits are not easily returned (both direct savings & wider social / environmental values
The cost-benefit balance is not only an abstract calculation: it’s about the relations between different ‘actors’ (stakeholders’): e.g. government, public services, businesses, property owners, builders, utilities, residents (owners or tenants), etc.
schemes which looked good on paper, such as the Green Deal, failed (with some exceptions) in the real world. The synergistic approach starts with these relations. It looks for chains or loops of value-added (i.e. ‘value-chains’) which depend on these relations and collaborations, between different parts of economy and society.
Then it measures things which can be measured (e.g. money or CO2): and it evaluates things which are best evaluated (e.g. social well-being).
A ‘synergistic pathway’ is a set of coordinated ‘value-chains’, with a phased plan of action and collaboration. With this we can get beyond the usual barriers to progress (organization inertia, myopic business, split incentives etc). INTEGRATED VALUE-CHAINS & SYNERGISTIC PATHWAYS<br>
slide5. EXAMPLE SERVICE MODEL / VALUE-CHAIN: KIRKLEES WARM ZONE ACTOR MAPPING Webber, P., Gouldson, A. & Kerr, N. (2015). The impacts of household retrofit and domestic energy efficiency schemes: A large scale, ex post evaluation. Energy policy, 84, 35-43 £21M total
£425 / HH £625 / HH (5yr)
Fiscal: ?
£49M wider (5 yr) £24.5M health benefit (5 yr) £7.1M CO2 benefit (5yr) £6.2 pa total
£125 pa / HH 126+116 jobs
(5 yr) Agency assists finance<br>
slide6. Low-carb ‘Techno-economic’ pathway: a combination of technology and economic values. In principle if all the data was available then the optimal solution could be decided – in practice, political and social factors cannot be ignored.
Low-carb ‘Livelihood’ pathway: a combination of social & economic values. This includes, social values of health, inclusion, well-being, area effects. Also, socio-economic effects of social enterprise, employment, skills, self-reliance: and economic effects
Low-carb ‘Green-business’ pathway: a combination of environmental & economic values. This includes, carbon valuation, adaptation potential, or ecosystem services on the environment / climate side: and sector growth, supply chains, skills & training, tech innovation, entrepreneurship on the business side.
Low-carb ‘Democracy’ pathway: a combination of social & political values. This includes, energy poverty priorities, housing provision, integrated urban regeneration, active policy participation, community empowerment, socio-eco enterprise, new forms of local democracy. Low-carb ‘Stewardship’ pathway: a combination of environmental & political values. This includes, public eco-investment, policy eco-valuation, integrated eco-urban planning, advance eco-procurement, smart eco-regulation, public ownership of common goods.
Low-carb ‘Platform’ pathway: a combination of technology and urban values (meaning, values which are mobilized particularly in the urban setting). This includes, smart AI technologies, Internet of things, blockchain data systems, urban mobile platforms etc.
Low-carb ‘Eco-tech’ pathway: a combination of technology and environmental values. This includes, new forms of energy supply, demand management, storage & cascades, integrated systems, wider city / regional inter-connections: also, innovation effects, transfer, skills, global networks etc. MAPPING SYNERGISTIC VALUE-CHAINS<br>
slide7. Research & innovation
smart / other technology
Building professions Energy & carbon
Climate impacts
Climate adapt
Ecosystems etc Finance
Developers
Landowners
intermediaries NGOs
Culture & media
Local community
Social enterprise National
Local
City-region
Fiscal balance Health
Housing
Urban etc Owners
occupants Social landlords
Private landlords
Managers etc Private tenants
Social tenants
Transients
Vulnerable Energy generation
Energy supply
Other urban infra Materials
Supply chain
Local economy
National economy worker skills & livelihood
Firms & SME growth
Social enterprise MAPPING SYNERGISTIC VALUE-CHAINS<br>
slide8. RETROFIT-III a) SYNDROMES: ‘SMART’ RETROFIT-I&II Housing & other buildings are discon-nected financial objects Glasshouse & conservatory heated Waste is sent to landfill Lifestyle of high power cars & long haul flights Apartments have split incentive barriers to improvements Houses are dis-connected from neighbours. Unplanned ventilation loses heat b) SYNERGISTICS: ‘WISER’ RETROFIT-III” Physical buildings are linked with other value systems - ecology, finance, social, policy, technology A digital ‘platform’ (eBay / wiki / Amazon / FB etc, provides the informatic connection A human ‘market-place’ (agents /entrepreneurs /intermediaries / creatives) provides the human symbiosis Integrated waste, energy supply, ventilation, heat storage, waste recycling, personal transport Look at that new housing... “Stunning & Exclusive”!! Yes we are very “stunned & excluded!!” Life is short - why do low-carbon?? Low-carb - high quality is the way to go<br>