Opinions of Puerto Rican Voters in Florida

Transcript:Opinions of Puerto Rican Voters in Florida:
Opinions of Puerto Rican Voters in Florida Post-Election Survey November 2016 Methodology 2 © Anzalone Liszt Grove Research A survey of 500 November 2016 general election Puerto Rican voters registered and living in Florida was conducted by telephone using professional interviewers. Half (51%) of all interviews were conducted via cell phone only households and calls were completed November 10-15, 2016. Interviews were conducted in both English and Puerto Rican Spanish. The margin of error for the sample as a whole is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The margin of error for subgroups varies and is higher. Our previous poll in May surveyed 701 Puerto Rican voters in Florida from May 11-17, 2016, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. Polling Summary 3 © Anzalone Liszt Grove Research According to our post-election poll, Hillary Clinton won the Puerto Rican vote in Florida by a greater than 3:1 margin overall (62% Clinton / 20% Trump / 5% Other / 12% refused). Compare this to CNN exit polls that had the overall Florida Latino vote at 62% Clinton / 35% Trump and the non-Cuban Latino vote at 71% Clinton / 26% Trump. Hillary Clinton remains well liked by the Puerto Rican community, but her margins among Republicans and Independents shifted significantly since our May benchmark survey. Some voters tilted toward partisan tendencies, but among self-identified Independents, Clinton’s popularity also took a hit. Some persuadable voters appears to have moved away from Clinton over the last six months. Support for Puerto Rican statehood remains consistent and very strong. In every question type asked in the last two polls, statehood status is the preference of the Florida Diaspora and this sentiment spans the political spectrum. Supporting statehood is also a popular political position for officeholders and candidates, as a majority of voters are more likely to support a pro-statehood candidate. There are indications among the Puerto Rican community in Florida of a late-break towards Trump. Yes, Clinton won the Puerto Rican vote by a strong margin, but changes in popularity and ‘late deciders’ who made their vote choice in the final month of the campaign voted for Clinton by a margin net -13 points less than those who made their mind up a month out or more. Lay of the land Ethnic and Language Landscape 5 ©