Pulling Rabbits & Slaying Dragons Part 2- EM-Asia

Pulling Rabbits & Slaying Dragons Part 2- EM-Asia
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Pulling Rabbits Slaying Dragons Part 2- EM-Asia Worries February 2024 Photo Credits: CNBC, National Geographic It does not do to leave a live dragon out of your calculations, if you live near him - Gandalf, Lord of the Rings US

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Pulling Rabbits & Slaying Dragons Part 2- EM-Asia Worries February 2024 Photo Credits: CNBC, National Geographic “It does not do to leave a live dragon out of your calculations, if you live near him”
- Gandalf, Lord of the Rings<br>
02
US Elections: Bracing for Trump 2.0? Higher Yields Higher Term Premium Higher Inflation? Tempers<br>
03
Geo-Politics: Conflict, Production & Passage Red Sea:
Conflict risks - Houthi Rebels
Could disrupt passage of Oil
~12% of global shipping (~$1trln)
CoGH detour adds 3-4 weeks to Asia routes
 approximated to 20% of shipping capacity impact Panama Canal: Water Crisis Straits of Hormuz:
Conflict risks
Most critical Oil choke point – Iran risk
20-22MBpD of Oil (~$1.2b worth)
Most of Saudi’s Oil passage
~20-25% of seaborne Oil Passage
 as Large as a Doubling in Prices!<br>