Working Class Tories not Labour Traditionalists:

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Working Class Tories not Labour Traditionalists: why UKIP is damaging the Conservatives Eric Kaufmann e.kaufmannbbk.ac.uk Twitter: epkaufm Data Understanding Society (UKHLS) 3 waves of 40,000 people, 2009-12. 1,188 UKIP supporters or

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Working Class Tories not Labour Traditionalists: why UKIP is damaging the Conservatives Eric Kaufmann
e.kaufmann@bbk.ac.uk
Twitter: @epkaufm<br>
02
Data Understanding Society (UKHLS) – 3 waves of 40,000 people, 2009-12.
1,188 UKIP supporters or voters
Lower sample, but concentrated 2009-onward
Longitudinal
LA and ward census data appended
Local Election Data, 2010-12
UKIP results in 1006 electoral wards of 2940
Ward and LA census data appended<br>
03
…. British Election Study Internet Panel 2015, Wave 1– Feb-March 2014; Wave 2 May-June 2014 (Fieldhouse et. al)
35,000 sample size
LA is lowest geographic identifier
Panel study, with second wave to come
LA level electoral data appended<br>