Aid Dependency how big a Problem Richard Manning Not for MiddleIncome Countries UK Select Committee on International Development Dirk Willem te Velde Significant for LowIncome Countries Same Source ID: 489754
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Slide1
CAPE Conference, 12-13 November2014
Aid Dependency: how big a Problem?
Richard ManningSlide2
Not for Middle-Income Countries
(UK Select Committee on International Development: Dirk Willem te Velde)Slide3
Significant for Low-Income Countries
(Same Source)Slide4
Year
2000
2001
2010
2011
Angola
4.03.80.30.2Botswana0.50.51.10.7Cameroon3.12.82.42.5Congo, Rep.1.43.71.51.4Equatorial Guinea2.31.50.30.2Gabon0.2-0.40.80.5Namibia3.93.22.42.4Nigeria0.40.41.10.8South Africa0.40.40.30.3Swaziland0.82.02.63.3Source: OECD/DAC
Aid Dependence in Africa: 1 Low
(% of GNI)Slide5
Year
2000
2001
2010
2011
Chad
9.511.06.25.5Ghana12.412.35.34.8Guinea4.79.24.94.3Mauritania 15.521.010.49.6Mozambique21.721.521.416.0Uganda12.414.010.29.6Zambia19.714.86.46.0Aid Dependence in Africa: 2 Falling(% of GNI)Slide6
Year
2000
2001
2010
2011
Benin
9.911.710.59.2 Burkina Faso6.414.112.09.7 Djibouti12.710.1 N/A N/A Ethiopia8.513.411.911.3 Lesotho3.86.49.49.0 Malawi25.423.620.714.7 Mali11.713.912.112.6 Niger11.413.213.810.9 Rwanda18.517.618.520.2 Tanzania8.38.313.010.4Aid Dependence in Africa:
3 Continued dependence (%
of GNI)Slide7
Year
2000
2001
2010
2011
Burundi
10.916.631.024.8 C. African Rep.7.57.711.012.4 Congo, Dem. Rep.4.35.616.615.9 Cote d'Ivoire3.01.42.76.0 Eritrea27.941.47.76.3 Guinea-Bissau37.829.815.010.8 Liberia13.110.560.358.4 Madagascar8.17.65.44.2 Sierra Leone29.342.224.419.7 Sudan2.01.63.4 N/A Togo5.33.37.28.2 Zimbabwe2.82.5
10.1
7.4
Aid Dependence in Africa:
4 Conflict-affected
(% of GNI)Slide8
Year
2011
2011
2015
ODA/GNICPA/GNICPA/GNI Benin9.27.67.5 Burkina Faso9.710.18.0 DjiboutiN/A5.53.8 Ethiopia11.39.17.1 Lesotho9.07.35.1 Malawi14.714.214.2 Mali12.610.38.3 Niger10.97.15.9 Rwanda20.219.612.5 Tanzania10.49.17.8Source: OECD 2012 DAC Report on Aid Predictability….but now likely to fall, even for the more dependentSlide9
2000 3.9
2001 4.5
2002 5.72003 5.82004 5.02005 5.32006 5.72007 4.22008 4.22009 4.72010 4.22011 4.0 Source: African Economic Outlook,
AfDB
/OECD, 2012
And overall
a pattern of modest rise and fall in aid dependence in SSA ODA as % of GNI)…. Slide10
Year Aid Disbursement
Govt Revenue1979/80 1223 11221989/90 1810 20341999/00 1588 41802009/10 2227 11509Source: External Relations Division, Government of Bangladesh
Aid and Domestic Resources: how aid dependence has shrunk in Bangladesh
(US $ million, current)