PPT-Skill in the NMME Niño-3.4 Forecasts Following the 2015-16 El Niño

Michelle LHeureux NOAA CPC ENSO Forecast team A Barnston E Becker G Bell T Di Liberto J Gottschalk M Halpert Z Hu N Johnson W Wang Y Xue M Tippett Niño34 Forecasts from the NMME. El Nino conditions are characterized by above normal sea surface temperatures near the equator in the eastern and central portions of the equatorial Pacific Ocean While these conditions exist many thousands of miles away from Iowa impacts from El Ni Wednesday . 1/30. Weather vs. Climate. Weather. Instantaneous description of what the atmosphere is doing at a particular time and place. Climate. Description of what weather is usually like in a region (large or small).. Why is it so important to understand this climatic event?. How can . poplet. give you 4 levels of progress.. Changing Water currents?. What are the impacts of El Nino around the world?. "Most El . Ninos. The following presentation was used to review for the test.. 9. -17-15. topics. . .. Density. Salinity. Ocean currents. Conveyor Belt. El . N. ino. What to study . . .. Notebook entries. Lab: Density. Nino Events. Chip Konrad. Director of the NOAA Southeast Regional Climate Center. University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. A. cknowledgement: Jordan McLeod, the new regional climatologist at SERCC. Overview. The Slab Ocean El Nino. How good are the CMIP models?. Non-linearity. Seasonality (spring barrier). CP vs. EP. Teleconnections delayed feedback. Climate Change. Overview. The Slab Ocean El Nino. Ocean_4_ENSO Lecture. Objectives/Agenda. Objective:. L. earn about El Nino and La Nina the two phases of the ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) . cycle. Apply our understanding to your island. ENSO cycle. Kirstin Harnos, Michelle L’Heureux, Qin Zhang, and Qinghua Ding. Images courtesy of National Snow Ice Data Center. Current State of Sea Ice. Images courtesy of National Snow Ice Data Center. Current Events: . A. n abnormal warming of surface ocean waters in the eastern tropical Pacific. A quasi-periodic climate pattern that occurs across the tropical Pacific Ocean roughly every five years. . average period length is 5 years. Ali Stevens, Annarita Mariotti, Dan Barrie, Heather Archambault, Emily Read. Climate Program Office. Contact: alison.stevens@noaa.gov. NMME/SubX Science Meeting. September 13-15, 2017. **Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.. Walker circulation. ) that typically finds rising air and heavy rain over the western Pacific and sinking air and generally dry weather over the eastern Pacific. When the trades are exceptionally strong, water along the equator in the eastern Pacific becomes quite cool. This cool event is called La Nino . .”. Model composites (method . etc. ) 6 slides. Comparison real time forecast to those composites. ENSO Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts in the NMME: Composite Analysis and Verification. Li-Chuan Chen. Pages 484-487. EL NINO. . Go to this website and read this background information first:. http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ninonina.html. You may need to come back to this website to fill in any notes that you missed. U3D13 – Bell Ringer – 12/14. Short Answer Practice: Cloud Formation. Fill in the blanks of the explanation using the word bank:. Cloud, condenses, dew point, rise, humidity, expand, condensation nuclei, pressure.