Mission Impossible April 2016 Michele Capeleto Naval Analyst 44 020 325 32137 MicheleCapeletoihscom A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran Overview Presentation Structure ID: 934452
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Mission Impossible?
April 2016
Michele Capeleto,
Naval Analyst
+44
020
325 32137
Michele.Capeleto@ihs.com
Slide2A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Overview – Presentation Structure
2
A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide3A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Recent Developments
3
A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
JCPOA
2025
2015
UNSCR
2231
Implementation
Day
Adoption
Day
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide4A Nuclear Procurement Channel for IranKey
Scenarios
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide5A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Defining the Channel
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
PROCUREMENT
CHANNEL
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide6A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Controlled Items
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
NSG Trigger List
NSG Dual-use List
Catch-all Clause
CONTROLLED ITEMS AND ACTIVITIES
?
WHAT IS COVERED?
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide7A Nuclear Procurement Channel for IranControlled
Items – The ‘Catch-all’ Provision
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
“ With
the purpose of establishing a procurement channel,
[…] the
Joint Commission
will […] review and decide on proposals by states seeking to supply [items listed in the NSG Lists], as well as any further items if the relevant State determines that they could contribute to activities inconsistent with the JCPOA”
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide8A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Oversight of the Channel
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
UNSC
Joint Commission / PWG
Exporting
State
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide9A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Procedural Issues
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
How detailed a description?
Application
Form
End-use
Certificate
Additional Supporting
Documents
Translation/language issues
EUC for
dual-use, non-nuclear end-use
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide10A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Final Remarks
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
MULTIPLE SANCTIONS REGIMES
IRAN’S PAST EFFORTS
CLEARER APPROVAL / DENIAL CONDITIONS
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide11A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran
Final Remarks
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
END-USE CHECKS
DISPUTE SETTLEMENT
DATA STANDARDISATION
Recent Developments
Key Scenarios
Defining the Channel
Controlled Items
Oversight of the Channel
Procedural Issues
Final Remarks
Slide12Michele Capeleto,
Naval Analyst
+44 020 325 32137
Michele.Capeleto@ihs.com
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A Nuclear Procurement Channel for Iran / April 2016
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
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