PPT-Uncertainty in the modelling of large scale flood events in the

Barotse floodplain Zambia Tom Willis 1 Mark Smith 1 Donall Cross 2 Andrew Hardy 3 Georgina Ettritch 3 Happiness Malawo 4 Mweemba Sinkombo 4 Cosmas Chalo 4 Elizabeth Mroz. 11 RECENT ADVANCES IN MODELLING FLOOD WATER LEVELS AT BRIDGES AND CULVERTS ROBERT LAMB PETER MANTZ SERTER ATABAY JEREMY BEN N JBA Consulting ANDREW PEPPER ATPEC Key Words Afflux bridges culverts Abstract Afflux Modelling for Engineering Processes. Peter Hale UWE. University of the West of England, Bristol. Abstract. Problem. -. Enable translation of human problems/representation to computer models and code.. Presentation Outline. Introduction to the Topic. 10/27/09 Richmond, CA — Twenty present at gang rape outside school dance. 10/4/13 Philadelphia, . PA . — Two . teens wounded in shooting after high school football . “The . Human Factor in . Risk”. London. 8–9 . September 2012. The Philosophy of . Risk. Martin . Sewell. Risk. In my (Bayesian) mind, . risk. . is . uncertainty.. U. ncertainty. . is best described using a probability distribution, and the broader the distribution, the greater the uncertainty. Day 2. :. Session 7. Social Science, Different Purposes and Changing Networks. Discussion: the . Social Science view of ABM. 2-Day Introduction to Agent-Based Modelling, Manchester, Feb/Mar 2013, slide . Lecturer in Quantitative Social Sciences. A basic linear regression model. e. Y. X. Y = B0 B1*X e. What’s the problem?. Assume that the residuals (e) are independent from each other.. Ie. that the model has accounted for everything systematic . modelling. for public health decision-making. John Edmunds. , Jess Metcalf, Justin . Lessler. john.edmunds@lshtm.ac.uk. Why use models?. Observational studies of impact are retrospective, and difficult to interpret. Tonight's agenda . Our focus is always somewhere else. A Secure Development Lifecycle?. Threat Modelling. Taking it in your STRIDE. How . to get everyone involved. How to win at Poker. Q & A. Fin. Plain. Shawn Sturhan. Assistant Manager . Harris County Permits Office. Shawn.Sturhan@hcpid.org. TOPICS. How to determine floodplain status of a property. ;. What jurisdiction the property lies within. La gamme de thé MORPHEE vise toute générations recherchant le sommeil paisible tant désiré et non procuré par tout types de médicaments. Essentiellement composé de feuille de morphine, ce thé vous assurera d’un rétablissement digne d’un voyage sur . Richard H. Grumm. NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, State College, Pennsylvania. and . Charles Chillag. NOAA/NWS Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, State College, Pennsylvania. Contributions by. Alaina MacFarlane and Ron Holmes. Dr Linda Bird. 26. th. June 2013. Agenda. Background. CIMI . Modelling. Approach. CIMI . Modelling. . Foundations. CIMI . Modelling. Methodology. Future Work. Tomorrow. :. Terminology Binding. background. Basins. ---------. Giovanni D. Musolino. Crop photos. to “shape”. Increasing number of extreme flood events and their impact on society lead to the need of a better assessment of flood hazard.. www.wisecdt.org. perspective. Beata . Latos. 1. ,.  Thierry . Lefort. 2. , Maria . K. . Flatau. 3. , Donaldi Permana. 4. , Piotr . J. . Flatau. 5. , . Dariusz. . Baranowski. 1. , . Jaka. Paski. 4. , . Erwin Makmur.