PPT-ENSO IMPACTS and SEASONAL FORECASTS

Author : alida-meadow | Published Date : 2017-04-16

Oliver Elison Timm ATM 306 Fall 2016 Lecture 5 Impacts of El Niño and La Niña events Perus fisheries Perus food production highly sensitive to climate fluctuations

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ENSO IMPACTS and SEASONAL FORECASTS: Transcript

Oliver Elison Timm ATM 306 Fall 2016 Lecture 5 Impacts of El Niño and La Niña events Perus fisheries Perus food production highly sensitive to climate fluctuations El Niño years unfavorable for . 8, 2013. Steve Baxter. Monthly Climate Review. January 2013. ENSO. Sea surface temperatures were . near to slightly below . normal across most of the equatorial Pacific.. ENSO neutral conditions persist.. February – April 2017. Issued: . January 19, 2017. Contact: ODF Meteorologist Pete Parsons. 503-945-7448 or . peter.gj.parsons@oregon.gov. Oregon . Department of Agriculture (ODA. ) - Oregon . Department of Forestry (ODF. Nat Johnson. 1. and Dan . Harnos. 2. Stephen Baxter. 2,3. , Steven Feldstein. 4. , . Jiaxin. Feng. 5,6. , Michelle L’Heureux. 2. , and Shang-Ping Xie. 5. 1. Cooperative Institute for Climate Science, Princeton University. . December 2010. . update. Mingyue Chen, Wanqiu Wang and Arun Kumar . Climate Prediction Center. . Latest forecast of Nino3.4 index (slide 2). Hindcast. skill of Nino3.4 index (slide 3). Hindcast. Dr. Louis W. . Uccellini. Director, National Weather Service. NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather . Services. July 13, 2016 – Congressional Briefing. Value of . Weekly to Seasonal Predictions. Dec 2012 Initial Conditions. Summary. Forecast . maps. Forecast Background. ENSO update. Current State of the global climate. SST . Forecasts. Summary. Summary. The forecasts call for slightly increased chan. . June . 2010. update. Mingyue Chen, . Wanqiu. Wang and . Arun. Kumar . Climate Prediction Center. . Latest forecast of Nino3.4 index (slide 2). Hindcast. skill of Nino3.4 index (slide 3). Hindcast. September 15, 2017. NMME/. SubX. Science Meeting, college park. Desiree . Tommasi, NOAA SWFSC. With Many thanks to . charlie. Stock, Mike alexander, . Gaelle. . Hervieux. , Mike . Jacox. , Gabe . Vecchi. . May . 2010. update. Mingyue Chen, . Wanqiu. Wang and . Arun. Kumar . Climate Prediction Center. . Latest forecast of Nino3.4 index (slide 2). Hindcast. skill of Nino3.4 index (slide 3). Hindcast. Simulation and Impact on ENSO Prediction. Kathy Pegion. University of Colorado/CIRES & NOAA/ESRL/PSD. Michael Alexander. NOAA/ESRL/PSD. NPO in NDJ (-1). . . . . Winds & Heat Flux. Huug van den Dool (CPC). CPC, June 23, 2011/ Oct 2011/ Feb 15, 2012. / UoMDMay,2,2012/ Aug2012/ Dec,12,2012/UoMDApril24,2013/. May22,2013/. 2. Assorted Underlying Issues. Which tools are used…. How do these tools work?. .”. Model composites (method . etc. ) 6 slides. Comparison real time forecast to those composites. ENSO Precipitation and Temperature Forecasts in the NMME: Composite Analysis and Verification. Li-Chuan Chen. sea surface temperatures SSTs and the locax00740069on of thunderstorms in the tropical tacix00660069c are not guaranteed Every Ni event Ni Impacts and Outlook 20Fig 1Source ClimategovData ESRL/NCE E. Hackert, S. Akella, R. Kovach, K. Nakada, A. Borovikov, A. Molod, K. Drushka, and M. Jacob. Problem. : Satellite observes the top centimeter of the ocean. In rainy conditions, the vertical salinity gradient between SSS and first model layer (i.e., where these data are assimilated - S.

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