PPT-Planning for Uncertainty

Duncan Green fp2p Oxfam March 2014 In development some systems are more or less linear But many are not So is Traditional Planning a good use of our time For Allocating Building common goals and approaches. Jake Blanchard. Spring 2010. Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers. 1. Introduction. We’ve discussed single-variable probability distributions. This lets us represent uncertain inputs. But what of variables that depend on these inputs? How do we represent their uncertainty?. Nick Bloom (Stanford & NBER). IMF Lectures, January 18. th. 2013. Talk summarizes a JEL draft with Fernandez-Villaverde and Schneider. Currently very scrappy and only the slides are on-line but hoping to post the paper on-line soon. IB DP Physics. Error Bars. U. sed . on graphs to display the uncertainty in measurements of the data . points.. T. here . may be uncertainty in just the y-values, just the x-values, or . both. .. Must be included in all DP Physics data analysis including your Internal Assessment. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. in the Defense Budget. Todd Harrison. Delays in Defense Appropriations Bills. 2. Average Delay FY77-FY13: . 43 days. Average Delay FY10-FY13: . 134 days. Budgetary Uncertainty. 3. Budgetary Uncertainty. Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. Joseph B. Kadane. Carnegie Mellon University. kadane@stat.cmu.edu. “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future”. Niels. Bohr. Robert Storm Peterson. Yogi Berra. Samuel Goldwyn. Mark Twain. for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. by Angela Campbell, Ph.D. and Andrew Cheng, Ph.D.. ICRAT. Angela Campbell, Ph.D.. June 21, 2016. The findings and conclusions in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the FAA. Marcia McNutt. Editor-in-Chief. Science . family of Journals. Challenges with scientific uncertainty ...... Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty, they “don’t know they are talking about.”. “The . scientist has a lot of experience with ignorance and doubt and uncertainty, and this experience is of very great importance, I think. . When . a scientist does not know the answer to a problem, he is ignorant. When he has a hunch as to what the result is, he is uncertain. And when he is pretty damn sure of what the result is going to be, he is still in some doubt. Accuracy vs. Precision. What is the difference?. Accuracy vs. Precision. Precision . accuracy. Exactness. Divisions on scale. Reproducibility. Uncertainty. Significant digits. Correctness. Calibration. Africa Regional Workshop on the Building of Sustainable National. Greenhouse Gas Inventory Management Systems, and the use of the 2006. IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Swakopmund. . SYFTET. Göteborgs universitet ska skapa en modern, lättanvänd och . effektiv webbmiljö med fokus på användarnas förväntningar.. 1. ETT UNIVERSITET – EN GEMENSAM WEBB. Innehåll som är intressant för de prioriterade målgrupperna samlas på ett ställe till exempel:.