PPT-Skillful Arctic climate predictions

Wilco Hazeleger wwwesciencecenternl Results Lagged correlation Cecilia Bitz SST anomaly December K Climatology May sea ice edge May sea ice edge Surface ocean relates to sea ice variability. Overview . General Approach. T&C Review Decisions. Negotiations on Terms and Conditions. General Approach - IFB. IFB . Terms & Conditions should be addressed during Question & Answer Period. Climate Change Debate. Issues for Canada. NASA’s Evidence of Climate Change. Sea level rise. Global . sea level rose about 17 centimeters . in . the last century. The rate in the last decade, however, is nearly double that of the last . Chris Ferro (University of Exeter). Tom . Fricker. , . Fredi. Otto, Emma Suckling. 12th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (28 June 2013, . Jeju. , Korea). Credibility and performance. 3.8 Time Series. What we are looking at now. Very important for Merit AND Excellence!. Fitted vs. Raw. This involves comparing the raw data (black line) with the fitted model (green line).. In particular, we are looking at how well the model fits the data. . Lindsey . Witthaus. Department of Environmental Engineering. University of Kansas. Ashley Zung. Department of Geography. University of Kansas. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES. 1. ) summarize our current understanding of the mechanisms that drive . Chris Ferro (University of Exeter). Tom . Fricker. , . Fredi. Otto, Emma Suckling. Credibility and performance. Many factors may influence credibility judgments, but should do so if and only if they affect our expectations about the performance of the predictions.. Samuel Schindler. Zukunftskolleg and Department of Philosophy. University of Konstanz. 1. Agenda. Assume that temporal novelty does not have any special weight in theory-appraisal. Review and critique Worrall’s account of use-novelty. The vanishing veneer of frozen ocean isn't just important for polar bears.. By: Russell . McLendon. 11/6/2015. 2. The Arctic hasn't been itself lately. Temperatures there are rising at twice the global rate, sparking an array of changes unlike anything in recorded history. One of the most striking examples is the region's sea ice, whose dramatic decline over the past decade has led to forecasts of an ice-free Arctic Ocean as early as the 2030s. . Operational Readiness Review. June 12, 2017. <number>. Background. Ongoing implementation of NOAA/NWS National Air Quality Forecast Capability (NAQFC) operationally to provide graphical and numerical guidance, as hourly gridded pollutant concentrations, to help prevent loss of life and adverse health impacts from exposure to poor air quality (AQ). Concept Mapping. Concept Maps. Visual road maps that depict known or suggested relationships between ideas.. Idea/info. relationship. examples. Dairy products. Meat/Fish. Fruits/Veges. Idea/info. REQUIRE. Scatter Plot Review. Using the Regression Line Model to Make Predictions. It’s the responsibility of the news medium to report on important decisions made by newsmakers. Examples include new traffic laws based on the number of accidents, immigration reform based on the number of people emigrating to the U.S., and gas prices based on the supply and demand of oil. These decisions make headlines because of the impact they have on our lives. Understand sea-ice dynamics, ecosystem processes, ecosystem services and climate feedbacks in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas and the contiguous Arctic Ocean.. Understand high-latitude terrestrial ecosystem processes, ecosystem services and climate feedbacks.. Arctic tundra greenness has increased since 1982, but trends and variability have become more complex since the early 2000s. . Have links between . tundra greenness. , . spring sea-ice extent. , and . ~through~. Convening & Contributing. Hosting & Connecting. Advancing Inclusive Research, Education & Training. The John Sloan Dickey Center for International Understanding. . Convening & Contributing.