PDF-Hurricane Science TutorialKerry EmanuelLorenz Center MIT

Why Should You Care Forecasting Much progress in social science of response to warnings requests to evacuate etc Forecasters are ambassadors to meteorology Opportunity to inform public Knowledge o. Developed over the course of sev eral years in consultation with emergency managers broadcast meteorologists and others this new map will show eographical areas where inundation from storm surge could occur How high above ground the water could reac 32 27 Tide Waves Freshwater Input Total Water Level brPage 4br Central Pressure Storm Intensity Size Storm Forward Spee Angle of Approach to Coast Shape of the Coastline Width and Slope of the Ocean Bottom Local Features The Many Factors that Influe AND. (RE)INSURANCE. Richard J. Murnane. RPI/. BIOS, . 16 . Jjune. 2011. Researcher Colloquium . on. Extreme . Weather Phenomena under Climate Change. (Hurricane Fabian over Bermuda. Sept. 5, . 2003). Chris Landsea National Hurricane Center. March 2010. Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference. How does NHC analyze and forecast hurricanes?. How do the forecasters blend the various (surface . obs. Hurricane landfalls in the U.S. since 1950 – 2005 / National Climatic Data Center / NOAA. What is a Hurricane? . A hurricane is a . large, severe storm that develops over tropical (warm) oceans. . Hurricane Preparedness Week . May 23 – 27, 2011. Information from the . Saffir. -Simpson Hurricane Scale. Category 1– Winds from 75 mph to 95 mph. Category 2- Winds from 96 mph to 110 mph. Category 3– Winds from 111 mph to 130 mph. From Hurricane Betsy to Hurricane Katrina to Hurricane ?? 2 Flood Control Act of 1928 What happened in 1927? What are the immunity provisions? Flood Control Act of 1928, 33 U. S. C. §702c -- which states that "[n]o liability of any kind shall attach to or rest upon the United States for any damage from or by floods or flood waters at any place" 24 Outline. What is the water cycle?. How do thunderstorms form?. How do hurricanes form?. What is the structure of a hurricane?. How strong can the winds get in a hurricane?. What kind of damage can a hurricane cause?. Frank . Revitte. National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office. New Orleans/Baton Rouge. “This is just a CAT 1 hurricane”. “It has never flooded here before”. “I’ve been through Katrina and Gustav, this is nothing”. Robert M. McNab. Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy. Strome College of Business. Old Dominion University. June 3, 2019. A Major Hurricane is Uncertain but Also Certain. 2. Numerous storms have tracked over or west of Hampton Roads since 1850. . Discover Your World With NOAA Follow That Hurricane! Startled man ready to run after a hurricane driven wave smashes into seawall Historic NWS Collection. Courtesy NOAA. Follow That Hurricane! “D Mark DeMaria. National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL. GFDL Hurricane Science Symposium. May 2, 2017. 1. Outline. 2. 1954-1975 – . Barotropic. and statistical track . forecast model era. GET READY BELIZE . 2019 HURRICANE SEASON FAST APPROACHING . HURRICANE PROOF YOUR ROOF . It is one of the most important and expensive section of your home . HURRICANE PROOF YOUR ROOF . In 2016, Category 1 Hurricane Earl caused severe roof failure .