Earthquake & Tsunami Hazard
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Earthquake & Tsunami Hazard

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Earthquake & Tsunami Hazard




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Presentation on theme: "Earthquake & Tsunami Hazard"— Presentation transcript:

Slide1

Earthquake & Tsunami Hazard

Slide2

Agenda

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group.

how to

trigger

the System (for EQS and TSU)GMPEs (or in term of MMI) vs population density for EQsExpected tsunami height for Tsunamigenic earthquakeshow we interact according to the geographical occurrence of the eventWho takes part ? How does learning spread around all those that need to know ? How we share with other hazards ?Making operational resources available from December 2016. How will your operational teams deliver into this ?

Slide3

Agenda

Agree the ‘

products

’ we

will supply. Given the nature of Earthquake and Tsunamis Emergency mode (see the Tohoku earthquake use case agreed with ERCC). Test mode of the system

Slide4

Agenda

Agree the goals we want to gain from the Multi-hazard meeting that follows (attended by Task and Hazard leads only).

Key

points for the Earthquake and Tsunami group: e.g.

common platform for all the hazards to share the products; rotational point of contact, at least for our group; developing a multi-hazard structure for the 3h reports....Agree the next steps we, or others collectively, will, take next to enable us to start pre-operations with ERCC in December. E.g. undertake exercises.Issues and risks which we think should be managed by the project Coordinator: e.g. difficulty in making or find some of the products that are of interest to ERCC, especially in the analysis of the impact...

Slide5

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

how

to

trigger

the System (for EQS and TSU)GMPEs (or in term of MMI) vs population density for EqsINGV is setting up this triggering system which is reasonably trivialGDACS is not reliable and it is targeting something differentEMSC System for alertExpected tsunami height for Tsunamigenic earthquakesNeeds tsunami simulation and population DB (as for the Eqs)TRIDEC can provide itExternal trigger from ERCC

Slide6

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

How we interact according to the geographical occurrence of the event

Earthquakes:

Within Europe – Within Aristotle countries EQ operational

The institution provides its own solution (web services, push, other)Within Europe – Outside Aristotle countries EQ operational EMSC solution (s) Outside EuropeInformation from GFZ, EMSC, NEIC/USGS(https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h9OYy44us2Dx3ewo7pMZA7zevwEv0LqUk15F_xkOBZs/edit#gid=0)

Slide7

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

How we interact according to the geographical occurrence of the event

Tsunamis:

Within Mediterranean

EQ location and magnitude parameters from EQSSimulation (TRIDEC) or NEAMTWS decision matrices (TBD)Observations of sea level gauges !!!Outside Mediterranean/GlobalEQ location and magnitude parameters from EQSSimulation or NEAMTWS decision matrices (TBD)Observations of sea level gauges !!!(https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AuAobaeirlp8n5WDI7vYJmxNqBboK5wmlX_W849clCc/edit#gid=0)

Slide8

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

Who takes part ? How does learning spread around all those that need to know ?

Only those operational 7/24h

At the beginning a smaller subset of institutions

Prefer the rotative ?

Slide9

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

Competence areas for Earthquakes

Slide10

Agree how we work within the Earthquake and Tsunami group

How we share with other hazards ?

Through the Aristotle Platform being designed and built on the basis of the existing INGV platform (see movies)

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BxDxZNLL3vuCX2ptSGstZ1hJblU

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BxDxZNLL3vuCejlPem1yUzJPa1kMaking operational resources available from December 2016. How will your operational teams deliver into this ?Through web services and other APIs (e.g., FDSN web services, GeoJson services, …)

Slide11

Agree the ‘products’ we will supply.

Given

the nature of Earthquake and

Tsunamis:

Emergency mode (see the Tohoku earthquake use case agreed with ERCC). Test mode of the systemImportant in order to test the system

Slide12

Earthquake-Tsunami Test Case – Tohoku (conform to suggestions provided at 4/27 meeting and provided on 5/17)

ARISTOTLE_EH_TH_report_Tohoku_3H.docx

ERCC

comments:

There are several maps to be included that you have identified them already; I think with these, this report is already on a good track. For the multi-hazard section, maps informing about the area that phenomena may (or not) occur would also be useful. As for the radioactive plume, the figure should be somehow explained further. I also note that you have indicated several maps to be inserted, which is important.

Slide13

Agree the goals we want to gain from the Multi-hazard meeting that follows..

Key

points for the Earthquake and Tsunami group:

common platform

for all the hazards to share the products; rotational point of contact, at least for our group; developing a multi-hazard structure for the 3h reports that allows the Hazard to excahnge opinions and ideasAgree the next steps IT meeting in September (date ?)Each Institutions provides the services that are workingstart pre-operations with ERCC in December. E.g. undertake exercises.

Issues

and risks

which we think should be managed by the project Coordinator: e.g. difficulty in making or find some of the products that are of interest to ERCC, especially in the analysis of the impact...

Slide14

Service operations

14

OPTION 1

OPTION 2

Consideration: how to make best use of the networking capacity and our pool of expertise?

Slide15

Service operations

Pros

Cons

Institutions engaged at all levels in the full operative system

More complicated to organise. Work load for individual partners more feasible, which affects sustainability tooMore training activities needed to ensure everyone is ready for action when their shift comes

Different people producing the reports, less inertia

As in Op 1., single point of contact with ERCC

15

OPTION 1

OPTION 2

Pros

Cons

Very stable solution and sustainable (as long as resources are provided)

Few partners involved into the operative system BUT involved at the level of pool of experts

Good if you have a low number of partners

Potential conflict with national urgent matters (however, this is also the reason of a backup institution)

Easier to ensure reliability (also less training needed)

Single point of contact with ERCC

Considerations:

how to make best use of the networking capacity and our pool of expertise?

what about scalability (in terms of hazards and regions)?

what is more sustainable in the long term?

Slide16