PPT-NOAA/WSWC Meeting on advancing a Seasonal Precipitation Forecast Improvement Project

Name Sarah Kapnick Organization Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory NOAA Elements of Climate Prediction System of Systems Global climate observing system Sparse observations of many quantities across globe. Research Interests/Needs. 1. Outline. Operational Prediction Branch research needs. Operational Monitoring Branch research needs. New experimental products at CPC. Background on CPC. Thanks to CICS/ESSIC/UMD for Inviting us . Issued 7 November 2013. Forecast maps. Forecast Background. ENSO update. Current State of the global climate. SST Forecasts. Summary. Methodology. The forecasts are subjectively derived from canonical correlation analysis (CCA) seasonal forecast runs, the NCEP CFS, the National . Dr. Jay Shafer. July 23 & 24, 2012. Lyndon State College. Jason.Shafer@lyndonstate.edu. . Satellites, Weather, and Climate Module 23:. V. erified at St. . Johnsbury. , VT. If the 5-day forecast was always within . FY14 Review. Jon Gottschalck. Acting Chief, Operational Prediction Branch. NOAA / NWS / Climate Prediction Center. NCEP Production Suite Review. College Park, MD. December 2-3, 2014. Outline. Major climate modes overview, forecast review. Finite volume dynamical core (Lin, 2004). 1. °. x1.25. °. x72 layers. Convection: Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert (. Moorthi. and Suarez, 1992). Modified after . Sud. and Walker (1999) to compute rainout from updraft. Dr. Louis W. . Uccellini. Director, National Weather Service. NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather . Services. July 13, 2016 – Congressional Briefing. Value of . Weekly to Seasonal Predictions. hindcast. (seasonal mean). CPC/NCEP/NOAA. Jan 2011. Forecast & observation data. Assessment of the CFSv2 seasonal . forecasts. Compare the forecast correlation skill, . Rmse. , and Standard deviation from CFSv2 & CFSv1(current version). Design Studies Center. Precipitation Frequency Data Server (PFDS). http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/. . The standard source for design storm data . CEE 3430 – Spring 2011. David . Tarboton. . 1. Huug van den Dool (CPC). CPC, June 23, 2011/ Oct 2011/ Feb 15, 2012. / UoMDMay,2,2012/ Aug2012/ Dec,12,2012/UoMDApril24,2013/. May22,2013/. 2. Assorted Underlying Issues. Which tools are used…. How do these tools work?. © U.S. Coast Guard . Auxiliary Association. No attempts to add, modify or delete information contained within this document shall be made. If errors are discovered, please contact the U.S. Coast Guard Auxiliary’s National Training . Jeff AndresenDept of Geography Environment and Spatial SciencesMichigan State UniversityGreat Lakes Climate and Lake Levels Update and Outlook WebinarPhoto Washington Posthttps//iceweb1cisecgcca/Prod/ ---Focus on zonal mean here (can apply to zonal inhomogeneities too). ---Apply to simulated response to external forcing in coupled climate models. 4XCO. 2. , Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene, Freshwater hosing . Sub-seasonal Update . Bohar. Singh. Sub-seasonal climate drivers: State of Climate . Cold anomalies in eastern and central Pacific become weaker as compared to previous month. Warm anomalies around Maritime continent expanded eastward in the west Pacific Ocean. Dr. Andrew Martin. 1. , Dr. Allison Michaelis. 2. Also Collaborating: Dr. F. Martin Ralph. 2. , Dr. Paul Loikith. 1. . Funded by: USACE FIRO @ Lake Mendocino Project. 1. Department of Geography, Portland State University; .