PPT-1 How Does NCEP/CPC Make Operational Monthly and Seasonal Forecasts?

Huug van den Dool CPC CPC June 23 2011 Oct 2011 Feb 15 2012 UoMDMay22012 Aug2012 Dec122012UoMDApril242013 May222013 2 Assorted Underlying Issues Which tools are used How do these tools work. November 2012. Mike Charles. ENSO. Nov 2012 SST Anomalies. During the last 4-weeks, equatorial SST anomalies were +0.5ºC or above between 150ºE and 180º. SSTs were more than 0.5ºC below average in the eastern Pacific. . Prediction . Center’s Degree Day Outlooks. April 18, 2013. David Unger. Climate Prediction Center . NOAA/NWS/NCEP. College Park, Maryland. david.unger@noaa.gov. 2013 Energy Fundamentals Forum: The NGL Heavyweights. Description of the seasonal adjustment Since the August 2001 issue of the ECB Issued 14 July 2014. Forecast Background. ENSO update. Current State of the global climate. SST Forecasts. Regional Rainfall Forecast . maps. Summary. CPC ENSO Update. CPC ENSO . Alert . System Status. Dr. Louis W. . Uccellini. Director, National Weather Service. NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather . Services. July 13, 2016 – Congressional Briefing. Value of . Weekly to Seasonal Predictions. September 15, 2017. NMME/. SubX. Science Meeting, college park. Desiree . Tommasi, NOAA SWFSC. With Many thanks to . charlie. Stock, Mike alexander, . Gaelle. . Hervieux. , Mike . Jacox. , Gabe . Vecchi. Daryl Kleist. 1. , . Michael . Brennan. 2. ,Kate Howard. 3. , . Sharanya. Majumdar. 4. ,Rahul . Mahajan. 3. 1. University of Maryland - Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science. 2. NOAA/NWS/NCEP National Hurricane Center. Where, When, and What is Issued?. CBRFC Fourth Annual Stakeholder Forum. February 25. th. – 26. th. , 2014. Salt Lake City, Utah. NOAA’s National Weather Service. Colorado Basin River Forecast Center. Presented By Suru . Saha. (EMC/NCEP). Contributors: . Jack Woollen, Daryl Kleist, Dave . Behringer. , Steve Penny, . Xingren . Wu, Bob . Grumbine. , Mike . Ek. , . Jiarui. Dong, . Shrinivas. . Moorthi. Jin Huang. CTB Director. . Mission . To accelerate the transition of scientific advances from the climate research community to improved NOAA climate forecast products and services. . *CFS – Climate Forecast . calibration and multi-modeling:. Development of Flood Forecasting for the Ganges and the Brahmaputra Basins using satellite based precipitation, ensemble weather forecasts, and remotely-sensed river widths and height. Tom Hamill. NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division. tom.hamill@noaa.gov. (303) 497-3060. also: Trevor Alcott, Mark . Antolik. , James Brown, Mike Charles, Dan Collins, Mark . Fresch. , Kathryn Gilbert, Hong Guan, Hank Herr, Wallace . Y.V. Rama . Rao. Outline . . . Operational NWP system at IMD for Short and Medium Range Forecasting. Generation of Customized FC Product. Major Achievements during 2014-15. . . Performance of NWP Models. Jin Huang. CTB Director. . Mission . To accelerate the transition of scientific advances from the climate research community to improved NOAA climate forecast products and services. . *CFS – Climate Forecast .