PPT-Effective Communication of Scientific Uncertainty in Policy

Marcia McNutt EditorinChief Science family of Journals Challenges with scientific uncertainty Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty they dont know they are talking about. Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. Uncertainty. Karen . Akerlof. , PhD. Research Assistant Professor. Center for Climate Change Communication. George Mason University. What are the social science fields that study decision-making under conditions of uncertainty?. Saleem Bahaj & . Angus Foulis. 21st November 2016. The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and not necessarily those of the . Bank of England or members of the MPC, FPC or PRA Board.. Heisenberg. Causality law has it that if we know the present, then we can predict the future.. Be aware: in this formulation, it is not the consequence, but the premise, that is false. As a matter of principle, we cannot know all determining elements of the present.. Erzo F. P. Luttmer. Andrew A. Samwick. Dartmouth College and NBER. March 2017. Motivating Question. Future government policy is subject to uncertainty. How costly is this uncertainty?. When does policy uncertainty matter most?. . Journal Prompt #1. . How do you communicate?. Do you like to talk? . Are you a good listener?. What makes you a good listener?. Why do . healthcare professionals . have to have good communication skills?. 1. Communications Trap Game. 2. Forms of Communication. Examples. Examples. 5. What Makes. Communication Effective?. What Makes. Communication Effective?. The message was:. . Important. . Presented a vision. What we communicate:. Can get lost in translation despite our best efforts. We say one thing, the other person hears something else. Can often lead to misunderstanding, frustration and conflict.. It sounds so simple: say what you mean.. Section 1: Observation, Describing quantities, and Estimation. Section 2: Measurement uncertainty, Error propagation, and Analytical methods. Section 1 Objectives. . Core Principles. Physics and Observation. 1 COMMUNICATION 2 Communication Learning Objectives . We will: Relate the experience of the Communication Traps game to basic principles of communication. Understand how listening can be an important part of communication. 1 global view from the firms Mat HowPolicy Uncertainty Affect the Crude Oil MarketHongjie ZhaoIAEE Paris online conferenceMotivations eUncertainty is a huge concern for the economy Typical examples are 9/11 terrorism the financial cr Firm-Level Financial AssetsHuihua Nie1Rui Ruan2Ji Shen3Very PreliminaryAbstractWe use text mining tools to constructa measure of economic policy uncertainty perceived by individual Chinese listed firm investments. Plenary 4: Building . Organisational. capacities for tackling policy and regulatory uncertainty. Parveer. Singh . Ghuman. . Sr. Research Associate, CUTS International. Overview. Relationship between uncertainty and investment.