systemic conceptual model Phase II Systemic risk and vulnerability analysis Step 8 Pierre Ibisch 2014 Credits and conditions of use 8 Organise revise and complete the systemic conceptual model ID: 551806
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Slide1
Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
Phase IISystemic risk and vulnerability analysisStep 8
© Pierre
Ibisch
2014Slide2
Credits and conditions of use
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model2
You are free to share this presentation and adapt it for your use under the following conditions:
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© Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management, 2014 The Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management strongly recommends that this presentation is given by experts familiar with the adaptive management process in general (especially as designed as the Conservation Measures Partnership’s Open Standards for the Practice of Conservation) as well as the MARISCO Method itself.
This material was created under the leadership and responsibility of
Prof.
Dr.
Pierre
Ibisch
and
Dr.
Peter Hobson, co-directors of the Centre for
Econics
and Ecosystem Management, which was jointly established by Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development and
Writtle
College. Compare
:
Ibisch
, P.L. & P.R. Hobson (eds.) (2014): The MARISCO method:
Adaptive
MAnagement
of vulnerability and
RISk
at
COnservation
sites. A guidebook for risk-robust, adaptive, and ecosystem-based conservation of biodiversity. Centre for
Econics
and Ecosystem Management, Eberswalde (ISBN 978-3-00-043244-6). 195 pp
. -
The
Powerpoint
Presentation was conceived by Christina Lehmann and Pierre
Ibisch
. Authors of graphs and photographs are indicated on the corresponding slides.
Supported
by
the
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH on behalf
of
the
Bundesministerium für wirtschaftliche Zusammenarbeit und Entwicklung (BMZ
).Slide3
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
3Slide4
Learning objectives
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
4Slide5
Outline
What does organising, revising and completing the systemic conceptual model mean?Why organising, revising and completing the systemic
conceptual model?How is the systemic conceptual model organised, revised and completed?
Practical Tips
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
5Slide6
What does organising, revising and completing the systemic conceptual model mean?
Before: Intuitive, productive gathering and slight structuring of ideas, comments, information8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
6
Socio-economic contributing factor
Socio-economic contributing factor
Socio-economic contributing factor
Spatial
contributing factorSpatial contributing factorSpatial
contributing factorIndustrialcontributing factorIndustrialcontributing factorIndustrialcontributing factorInstitutionalcontributing factorInstitutionalcontributing factorInstitutionalcontributing factorGovernance-related
contributing factor
Governance-related
contributing factor
Governance-related
contributing factor
Threat
concerning mining
Threat
concerning transportation
Threat
concerning mining
Threat
concerning transportation
Threat
concerning transportation
Threat
concerning pollution
Threat
concerning pollutionSlide7
What does organising, revising and completing the systemic conceptual model mean?
Now
: Clear structuring and
ordering of threats and contributing factors
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
7
Governance-related
contributing factor
Industrialcontributing factorSocio-economic contributing factorSpatial
contributing factor
Socio-economic contributing factor
Institutional
contributing factor
Spatial
contributing factor
Spatial
contributing factor
Institutional
contributing factor
Socio-economic contributing factor
Governance-related
contributing factor
Governance-related
contributing factor
Industrial
contributing factor
Institutional
contributing factor
Industrial
contributing factor
Threat
concerning mining
Threat
concerning transportation
Threat
concerning pollution
Threat
concerning transportation
Threat
concerning mining
Threat
concerning pollution
Threat
concerning transportationSlide8
Why organising, revising and completing the systemic conceptual model?
After preceding steps this is a good point to pause, review, and adjustLet the model “communicate back” to participants8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
8
© Pierre
Ibisch
2011
?
?
!!!!Slide9
How is the systemic conceptual model organised, revised and completed?
Take time to create order in the modelRecognise hierarchical order as is present in most ecosystemsApply reductionism – a few elements may belong together with just a slight difference that may be combined → that does not necessarily diminish complexity
Threats may be grouped according to the IUCN-CMP categoriesCheck out: Unified Classifications of Threats
&
Unified Classifications of Threats and Actions
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
9Slide10
How is the systemic conceptual model organised, revised and completed?Grouping contributing factors according to thematic domains
:Biophysical factorsSocio-economic factorsPolitical factorsInstitutional factors
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model10
Agree on fitting titles (e.g., traffic infrastructure, criminality and
corrup-tion
, governance, demo-
graphy
)
If one group is not represented in model, critically reflect
© CEEM 2014Slide11
How is the systemic conceptual model organised, revised and completed?
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model11
© CEEM 2014Slide12
How is the systemic conceptual model organised, revised and completed?
Factor chains can be moved around if necessary, but cause-effect logic is to be keptRemove double factors Include missing factorsInstitutional domains need special attention:Many of the factors affecting biodiversity are likely to relate back to the activities of the organisations employing the participants → show innocent contribution to vulnerability of biodiversity object
Consider institutional weaknesses (e.g. resource shortages, conflicts with other actors) that are to be treated as contributing factors to threatsTools like SWOT analysis are recommended here in order to identify weaknesses etc.
8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
12Slide13
SWOT Analysis
Tool to identify the personal or business context, advantages and disadvantagesConsiders:StrengthsW
eaknessesOpportunitiesThreatsSelf-analysis in order to make
decisions and act structured with
determination
Keep track of goal and possibilities to reach it8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model13StrengthsThings you are good atExperience, knowledgeUnique characteristicsWeaknessesThings you need to improveGaps in skills and knowledgeFinancial issuesLeadership and Management issuesOpportunitiesStrategic alliances, cooperationsCreativityEnter new fieldsReduce costs
ThreatsChange in the environmentMissing resourcesLack of staffSlide14
Practical TipsAnalyse current impacts of biophysical or natural factors on human activities, as well as resulting indirect changes
Example: Climate change → conservation-relevant adaptation or mitigation measures in other sectors (biomass production for energetic use as driver for intensification of land-use and loss of diverse production systems)Be courageous! Change categories of certain elements if the cause-effect-chain makes more sense through this
If you cannot manage to finish this step throughout the workshop, plan to do it in the evening by yourself8. Organise, revise and complete the systemic conceptual model
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