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FARE  ANALYSIS UPDATE DECEMBER FARE  ANALYSIS UPDATE DECEMBER

FARE ANALYSIS UPDATE DECEMBER - PowerPoint Presentation

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FARE ANALYSIS UPDATE DECEMBER - PPT Presentation

2017 Presentation Contents Existing Fare Structure Fare Model Fare Structure Opportunities and Alternatives 2 1 2 3 EXISTING FARE STRUCTURE GMT Fare Structure 4 Chittenden County FranklinGrand Isle ID: 757956

free fare scenario local fare free local scenario service elasticity ridership structure commuter tbd routes model transit fares county

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Presentation Transcript

Slide1

FARE ANALYSIS UPDATE

DECEMBER

2017Slide2

Presentation Contents

Existing Fare Structure

Fare Model

Fare Structure Opportunities and Alternatives

2

1.

2.

3.Slide3

EXISTING FARE STRUCTURESlide4

GMT Fare Structure

4

Chittenden County

Franklin/Grand Isle

Mad River Valley

Lamoille County

Capital District

$1.25

$0.50

Free

$1.00

$1.00

$12.00

$4.50

Free

$9.00

$9.00

$50.00

$16.50

Free

$33.00

$33.00

$2.00

$1.00

$0.50

Free

$2.00

$2.00

$1.00

$20.00

$8.00

Free

$16.00

$16.00

$75.00

$33.50

Free

$67.00

$67.00

Single-Fare

10-Ride Pass

Monthly Pass

Local Routes

Commuter Routes

Commuter Routes only

within

towns

Non-Discounted Adult FaresSlide5

GMT Fare Structure

5

Chittenden County

Franklin/Grand Isle

Mad River Valley

Lamoille County

Capital District

$0.60

$0.25

Free

$0.50

$0.50

$6.00

$2.25

Free

$4.50

$4.50

$25.00

$8.25

Free

$15.00

$15.00

n/a

$0.50

$0.25

Free

$1.00

$1.00

$0.50

n/a

n/a

Free

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Free

n/a

n/a

Single-Fare

10-Ride Pass

Monthly Pass

Local Routes

Commuter Routes

Commuter Routes only

within

towns

Discounted FaresSlide6

GMT Fare Structure

6

Green Mountain Transit

Brunswick Explorer, ME

Portland Metro, ME

TriCounty

Transit, NH

Manchester Transit, NH

$0.50 - $1.25

$1.00 - $4.00

$0.25 - $0.60

$0.50 - $2.00

Local Service

Express Service

Adult Single-Ride Cash Fare

Seniors Single-Ride Cash Fare

New England Peer Comparison

RIPTA, RI

Southeast Area Transit District, CT

$1.00

--

$0.60

--

$1.50

$3.00

$0.75

$1.50

$2.00 - $3.00

--

$1.00 - $1.50

--

$2.00

$5.00

$1.00

$2.50

$2.00

$2.00

$0.00

$0.00

$2.00

--

$1.00

--Slide7

FARE MODELSlide8

Fare Model Structure

8

Current ridership

volumes by route and corresponding

non-discounted, single-ride fares were used to determine existing

system-wide annual ridership and annual revenue.

Fare Elasticity

as it relates to transit demand was applied in two different examples.

Example 1 featured low elasticity. Example 2 featured higher elasticity.

Elasticity was treated as uniform across service type.

New fares we applied to both model examples in which fares varied by type of service rather than service area. 5 different fare scenarios were tested.

1.

2

.

3

.

Elasticities were applied

across the entire system to each route based on fare and service type. This rendered

new ridership for weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays.

These were summed to reveal

new annual ridership and annual revenue.

4

.

Data Inputs

New Fare Structure

Data Outputs

Elasticity ApplicationSlide9

Fare Model Elasticities

9

Shuttle

Rural Local

Urban Local

Major Local

Seasonal Local

Low Elasticity

High Elasticity

Commuter

Express

-0.20

-0.25

-0.30

-0.28

--

-0.35

-0.32

-0.35

-0.40

-0.45

-0.43

--

-0.50

-0.47

Price Sensitivity

Interpreting Elasticities:

A 10% increase in Commuter service fare would result in a 3.0% decrease in transit patronage under the Low Elasticity condition and a 4.5% decrease under the High Elasticity condition.Slide10

Fare Model Scenarios

10

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario D

Scenario E

Urban

Local

Rural

Local

$1.00

$1.25

$1.50

$2.00

TBD

Scenario Elements

Existing

$1.25

Seasonal

LINK Express

Non-LINK Commuter

$1.00

Free

$1.00

$1.50

TBD

$1.00

Free

Free

Free

Free

Free

Free

$3.00

$4.00

$4.00

$4.00

TBD

$4.00

$2.00

$2.00

$2.00

$3.00

TBD

$2.00Slide11

Preliminary Results

11

Scenario

A ($1

local; $2-3 express)

Scenario

B (free rural local)

Scenario

C ($1.50 urban local)

Scenario

D ($1.50-2 local; $3-4 express)

Scenario E (NE average)Ridership

Revenue

+4 to 7%

TBD

-4 to 6%

-11-15%

-TBD

Scenario

Existing

3.0 m

-11 to 13%

-3%

+7 to 9%

+7 to 30%

TBD

$3.9 mSlide12

Fare Free Scenario

12

Boone, NC

Cache Valley, UT

Canby, OR

Commerce, CA

Coral Gables, FL

Emeryville, CA

Island County, WAKetchum, IDLebanon, NHCorvallis, ORMacomb, IL

Marion, INMissoula, MTSandy, ORStarkville, MS

Vero Beach, FLWilsonville, OR

US Cities that Offer Fare-free Service at Least in Part

Measured Results of Going Fare-free

Corvallis, OR saw a

38% increase in ridership

within a year of going fare-free

TriMet

in Portland, OR saw a

25% increase in peak-period ridership and a 60% increase in off-peak ridership

within 34 months of going fare-free*

Seattle, WA’s CBD saw an

increase in ridership of 199%

during their trial period of fare-free zones throughout their service area.

*

TriMet

no longer runs fare-free service