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Federal Update - PPT Presentation

Cornerstone Government Affairs September 20 2016 Dems Own 90 of Electoral College Votes Democratic Stronghold States and Electoral College Votes Won 19922012 Dems Have Won 242 Electoral Votes Six Times in a Row ID: 536376

electoral 000 votes 300 000 electoral 300 votes 701 243 senate states 961 2016 ing 000300 kirk 482 2012 500 romney 264

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Slide1

Federal Update

Cornerstone Government Affairs

September 20,

2016Slide2

Dems “Own” 90 % of Electoral College Votes

Democratic Stronghold States and Electoral College Votes Won: 1992-2012

Dems Have Won 242 Electoral Votes Six Times in a Row

+8

+3

+8

+8

+8

+6

+2

+3

+2

+1

55

7

12

10

10

20

16

20

29

3

4

MA:11

CT: 7

NJ:14

RI: 4

DE: 3

MD: 10

DC: 3

HI: 4

Analysis

Since 1992, Democratic candidates have won18 states and D.C. have voted Democratic six times in a row, adding up to 242 electoral votes

89.6% of the 270 votes needed for victory

more than 300 electoral votes 4 out of 6 timesSlide3

Obama

Romney

Barack Obama (D)

Mitt Romney (R)

6

18

29

13

9

6

10

16

20

15

4

2012 Presidential Election Battleground States: Electoral College

Of 11 Battleground States, Romney Won Only NC in 2012Slide4
Slide5

Republicans Currently Hold the Five Senate Seats

Most Likely to Flip in 2016

Hotline’s 2016 Senate Rankings

WI

IL

NH

PA

OH

Illinois:

Sen. Mark Kirk (R) is trailing in polls in a blue state, and is lacking in support from outside spending groups. Kirk has publicly disavowed Trump in a TV ad, seeking to distance himself from his party.

Wisconsin:

Former senator Russ Feingold (D) is running an aggressive campaign against Ron Johnson (R), but Johnson has ample support from outside spending groups.

New Hampshire:

New Hampshire

voted Demo­crat­ic by 6 and 9 points in the last two pres­id­en­tial elec­tions, so Kelly

Ayotte

(R) is likely to need a sig­ni­fic­ant num­ber of voters sup­port­ing both her and Hil­lary Clin­ton to win, which won’t be easy against the state’s current governor Maggie Hassan (D).

Pennsylvania:

Na­tion­al Demo­crats spent $5 mil­lion to get their chosen can­did­ate, 2014 gubernat­ori­al can­did­ate Katie

Mc­Ginty

(D), through a messy nom­in­at­ing fight. Pat Toomey (R) has a lot of money to spend in his effort to brand himself as independent from his party.

Ohio:

Rob Port­man (R) sits on slightly safer ground than some colleagues, thanks to an in­cred­ible fun­drais­ing year and a pro­act­ive reelec­tion cam­paign, but he still faces a former governor with near universal name recognition, Ted Strickland (D).

6. Nevada:

Open (D)

7. Florida:

Marco Rubio (R)

8. North Carolina:

Richard Burr (R)

9. Missouri:

Roy Blunt (R)

10. Arizona:

John McCain (R)

Seat Held by Republican

Seat Held by Democrat

NV

AZ

MS

NC

FLSlide6

Which Senate Seats Are Most Likely to Flip?

1. Illinois

Hotline’s 2016 Senate Rankings

Mark Kirk (R)

Ron Johnson (R)

Kelly

Ayotte

(R)

Pat Toomey (R)

Rob Portman (R)

Not enough polling

2. Wisconsin

3. New Hampshire

4. Pennsylvania

5. Ohio

State

Incumbent

Challenger

Polling

Tammy Duckworth (D)

Russ Feingold (D)

Maggie Hassan (D)

Katie

McGinty (D)Ted Strickland (D)Slide7

Federal Appropriations

Priority

FY 2016

FY 2017

Enacted

President’s Request

APLU Request

House

Senate

Smith-Lever 3(b)-(c)

300.000

300.000

304.000300.000300.000

Hatch-Act243.701

243.701256.201

243.701243.701

Evans-Allen (1890s Research)54.18558.000

60.500

54.18554.185

1890 Institutions Extension45.620

48.35049.350

45.62045.620

McIntire-Stennis33.961

33.96135.50033.961

33.961AFRI

350.000375.000

700.000375.000375.000

Land-Grant NIFA Priorities ($Millions)Slide8

FY 2010

FY 2011

FY 2012

FY 2013

FY 2014

FY 2015FY 2016FY16 - FY 10 Dollar ChangeFY 16 - FY 10 % ChangeAFRI 262.482

264.470 264.470 276.423 316.409 325.000 350.000 87.518 33%Hatch

215.000 236.334 236.334 218.342 243.701 243.701 243.701 28.701

13%McIntire-Stennis29.000 32.934 32.934 30.427 33.961

33.961 33.961 4.961 17%Smith-Lever 297.500 293.911

294.000 271.068 300.000 300.000 300.000 2.500 1%Evans-Allen

48.500 50.898 50.898 47.023 52.485 52.485 54.185

5.685 12%1890s Extension42.677 42.592 42.592 39.270

43.920 43.920 45.620 2.943 7%

Research and Education Activities

788.243

700.140 705.599

738.638 772.559

786.874 819.685 31.442 4%Extension Activities494.923 480.092

475.183 475.854 469.191 471.691 475.891 (19.032)-4%Integrated Activities

60.022 37.000 21.482 21.482 35.317

30.900 30.900 (29.122)-49%Total NIFA

1,343.188 1,217.232 1,202.264 1,235.974 1,277.067 1,289.465

1,326.476 (16.712)-1%APLU Priorities vs. Total NIFA