Theme 4 Drivers and barriers to renewables Bridget Woodman Catherine Mitchell University of Exeter Mario Ragwitz Jose Antonio Ortonez Fraunhofer ISI About the paper Focus on the facts which influence the rate and scale of renewables deployment in SSA and SA ID: 587862
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Energy and Economic Growth
Theme 4Drivers and barriers to renewables
Bridget Woodman, Catherine Mitchell, University of Exeter
Mario
Ragwitz
, Jose Antonio
Ortonez
,
Fraunhofer
ISISlide2
About the paperFocus on the facts which influence the rate and scale of renewables deployment in SSA and SA
‘Large scale’ = grid connectedWind, solar, geothermal, hydro (not biomass)Focus on IPP investment rather than utilitiesSlide3
Thinking about change in electricity systemsElectricity systems are made up of complex interactions between different components
Changes in one component have impacts on other system componentsEnergy governance (the process by which governing happens via policies, institutions, market and network rules and incentives) is key to
driving change in system components
The
development
of electricity systems is
path dependent
… what has happened before drives what happens next
Standards
Infrastructure
Regulations
Institutions
Laws
Business
People
TechnologySlide4
Visualising system development and change
Factors outside the control of individual actors (
eg
external events – oil shock etc)
Set of technologies embedded in social/ political/ institutional context
Protected spaces for novel technologies/ practices -can eventually challenge the dominant regime
Geels
2007
Changes in governance influencing these factors is key to enabling a shift in development path
Macro
Meso
MicroSlide5
Drivers and barriers (framework factors)
Boie
et al 2015
Impact on investment riskSlide6
The subsidies issue …It’s not a level playing field …
IMF (2015a). No data for Bhutan, Maldives and PakistanSlide7
Integrating renewables … it’s not just about capacitySlide8
What we don’t know … how ‘leapfrogging’ might happenQuantitative evidence on the impact of existing drivers, barriers and framework conditions on the development of large scale renewable energies in SSA and SA
Impact of new policy approaches and governance concepts e.g. performance of auction schemes for renewables in markets in LICsOptimal electricity market design, or network access rules, for countries or regions with high shares of variable RES How much flexibility is needed in order to integrate high shares of variable RES at lowest costsSlide9
Proposals for future research [1]Slide10
Proposals for future research [2]