PPT-Severe convective storm modeling

Kay Cleary Director Regulatory Practice Meghan Purdy Associate Manager Model Solutions A recent survey What peril concerns you on a daytoday basis Has your company made changes to your severe weather ratemaking methodology in the last 3 years. Daniel B. Thompson, Lance F. Bosart and . Daniel Keyser. Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences. University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY 12222. Thomas A. Wasula. NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY. Matthew Kramar. . and their Association with Severe Thunderstorms. Daniel B. Thompson, Lance F. Bosart and . Daniel Keyser. Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences. University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY 12222. . Insurance Trends and Challenges in an Era of Climate Volatility. National Tornado Summit. Oklahoma City, OK. February 11, 2014. Robert P. Hartwig, Ph.D., CPCU, President & Economist. Insurance Information Institute  110 William Street  New York, NY 10038. RITT Presentation. Tom Filiaggi (NWS – MDL). 11/28/12. Evaluation of “. 2. σ. ” as Predictor for Severe Weather. Agenda. Total Lightning. Lightning Mapping Arrays (LMAs). Previous Research Summary. Severe Blizzards from Cyclonic Storm Polar Front Theory Fronts between Air Masses Jonathan . Conder. WANE TV Chief Meteorologist. NWS-Media Relationship. My goal as a broadcast meteorologist:. Provide the most accurate and precise forecast and the most immediate and detailed severe weather coverage. Weather Systems – Fall 2015. Outline:. a. Stability Indices. b. Wind Shear and . Helicity. c. How to relate to predicted / observed convective weather. Convective Parameters. Weather Systems – Fall 2015. NCEP . Production Suite Review. December . 7, 2015. Steven . Weiss, Russell Schneider, Israel . Jirak. , Chris . Melick. , Andy Dean, and Patrick Marsh. Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK. National Weather Center. -1. CIN extending upwards to 800 . hPa. and < 500 J kg. -1 . CAPE. . . There was 41.8 mm of . precipitable. water. . By 1400 UTC, CIN in RAP analysis decreased to 93 J kg. -1 . and CAPE increased to 1743 J kg. Forecasting procedures (Sippel). Flight modules & planning (Braun). PayMOF operations (Newman). HS3 Forecasting. (for ops manual). Forecast briefings for 2012 were held at 0800 and 2000 LST, but they will be moved back to 0830 and 2030 LST (1230Z and 0030Z) so that 0600Z and 1800Z model guidance (in particular NCEP-GFS) can be examined. A violent disturbance in the atmosphere.. What is a storm? . . Involves sudden changes in air pressure. Cause rapid air movement. Conditions that bring one . kind of storm in one . area often cause other kinds of storms in the same area. Banteay. . Meanchey. Province . April 7 & 26, 2015. When. : . April . 7. , 2015. What. : . Strong storm levels 53 homes and 355 others were significantly damaged by strong winds as reported by . Prepared . by Impact Forecasting. March 2015. Aon Benfield: . The . world’s leading reinsurance intermediary. Experts in utilizing catastrophe models, annually analyzing . 70% . of the . Homeowners market. Lightning Jump Evaluation RITT Presentation Tom Filiaggi (NWS – MDL) 12/18/13 Reduction of FAR? Agenda Team Members Total Lightning Lightning Mapping Arrays (LMAs) Previous Research Summary Current Project