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Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 13, 2015 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICALOR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP – PPP's national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker leading the field, but it's tightly clustereconsecutive surveys now. Walker's at 18% Two candidates have the clear momentum in thRepublican poll: Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee. In addition to being second place overall, Rubio is the most frequently named second choice of GOP voters at 15%. The 28% of Republicans who name him as either their first or second choice matches Walker March. Huckabee's gained 6 points from with Rubio's at 56/22 to make him the most popular candidate. headed in the wrong direction: Jeb Bush continues to really struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative.' Just 5% support him for the nomination and his favorability with them is under water at On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, and 2% for Martin O'Malley. Clinton's over 60% with liberals, moderates, women, whites, African Americans, and seniors and is at least over 50% with men, Hispanics, and young voters. down much as they did in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Meanwhile Hillary Clinton maintains her dominant hold on the Democratic lead.” Public Policy Polling® interviewed 685 Republican primary voters and 600 Democratic primary voters nationally from May 7 to 10th. The margins of error for the surveys are +/-3.7% and +/-4.0% respectively. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% spondents who don’t have landline telephones. May 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary voters Favorable May 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary voters Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President 11% Ted CruzScott WalkerQ11who would be your second choice for the GOP 11% Ted CruzScott WalkerMore concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issuesMore concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a member of the Tea Party?YesYesFavorableFavorableunfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?Favorable May 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 685 Republican primary voters FavorableFavorableFavorableFavorableFavorabletake over Texas or not? The Government is trying to take over TexasThe Government is not trying to take over TexasWould you describe yourself as very liberal, Very liberalSomewhat liberalSomewhat conservativeVery conservativeWoman May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 25% 19% 24% 17% 17% 33% 21% 27% 30% 3% 28% 13% 56% Base Someone else/ Not sure Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 27% 20% 28% 49% 7% 30% 23% 42% 37% 24% 12% 53% Base Someone else/ Not sure Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 34% 33% 17% 14% 17% 1% 19% 30% 16% 10% 16% 33% Base Someone else/ Not sure Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 29% 29% 24% 46% 24% 36% 3% 27% 29% 14% 19% 11% 42% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 11% 18% 26% 11% 9% 33% 2% 18% 23% 17% 15% 35% Base Someone else/ Not sure Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 31% 19% 24% 29% 29% 19% 17% 31% 7% 24% 12% 22% 49% Base Someone else/ Not sure Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 30% 21% 32% 21% 36% 38% 22% 41% 44% 10% 29% 26% 49% Base Someone else/ Not sure Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 35% 20% 22% 37% 21% 36% 17% 28% 33% 10% 6% 8% 45% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 39% 17% 34% 48% 36% 52% 38% 45% 50% 40% 28% 1% 44% Base Someone else/ Not sure Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Republican PrimarySecond Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 8% 5% 8% 3% 1% 20% 24% 18% 23% 11% 23% 22% 6% 14% 8% 70% Base Someone else/ Not sure Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 38% 42% 10% 16% 8% 18% 5% 10% 15% 3% 3% 6% 21% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 5% 76% 16% 17% 11% 10% 14% 12% 25% 13% 14% 20% 18% Base Someone else/ Not sure Evangelical Yes/No Yes 56% 49% 59% 37% 70% 35% 40% 60% 32% 49% 57% 44% Base Someone else/ Not sure Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 11% 16% 49% 49% 50% 33% 31% 55% 79% 75% 41% 38% 73% Base Someone else/ Not sure Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 11% 64% 59% 71% 73% 60% 66% 82% 55% 61% 47% 81% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 22% 49% 20% 18% 29% 13% 27% 20% 25% 17% 29% Base Someone else/ Not sure Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 12% 22% 51% 53% 43% 47% 51% 66% 77% 62% 51% 27% 65% Base Someone else/ Not sure Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 28% 39% 51% 33% 69% 20% 48% 49% 42% 33% 22% 59% Base Someone else/ Not sure Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 11% 61% 70% 53% 75% 61% 60% 80% 30% 61% 42% 81% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Someone else/ Not sure Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 39% 17% 33% 34% 26% 48% 23% 42% 44% 25% 26% 29% 44% Base Someone else/ Not sure Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 77% 73% 74% 80% 83% 77% 84% 45% 78% 76% 87% Base Someone else/ Not sure Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 12% 44% 28% 23% 33% 34% 22% 30% 22% 7% 33% 27% 44% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 40% 14% 36% 52% 24% 27% 19% 34% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 32% 18% 32% 28% 30% 26% 35% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 31% 21% 52% 52% 17% 20% 13% 26% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 51% 23% 25% 40% 24% 23% 22% 36% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 58% 23% 24% 54% 18% 20% 15% 23% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 48% 27% 29% 39% 24% 26% 20% 34% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 42% 16% 26% 52% 32% 36% 29% 31% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 24% 22% 44% 22% 25% 19% 32% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 50% 19% 16% 40% 34% 40% 28% 41% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 11% 19% 12% 11% 10% 12% 13% 14% 13% 4% 18% 10% 7% 15% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Republican PrimarySecond Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 4% 11% 10% 10% 15% 9% 10% 3% 20% 17% 17% 53% Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election Not Republican NomineeConservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on theissues More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the bestchance of beating aDemocrat in thegeneral election Not sure - 100% - May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 24% 8% 61% 76% 16% 16% 16% 16% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51% 41% 49% 37% 56% 59% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 19% 7% 31% 37% 49% 58% 41% 56% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 7% 24% 14% 64% 68% 58% 79% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 37% 12% 43% 61% 20% 22% 17% 27% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 28% 14% 21% 34% 51% 63% 42% 52% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 44% 17% 18% 45% 39% 44% 35% 38% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 22% 9% 17% 22% 61% 63% 57% 69% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 45% 15% 22% 39% 33% 34% 30% 46% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 20% 17% 77% 79% 75% 83% Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidatewho is the most conservative on the issues More concerned with having the candidate who has thebest chance of beating a Democrat in the general election sure Govt Texas TakeoverYes/No The Government istrying to take overTexas The Government isnot trying to take overTexas Not sure 32% 23% 40% 57% 28% 33% 27% 20% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 35% 37% 24% 18% 25% 28% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 55% 14% 28% 16% 32% 31% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 24% 54% 17% 17% 16% 22% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 59% 10% 24% 8% 28% 31% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 60% 21% 18% 20% 16% 19% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 55% 18% 24% 17% 25% 26% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 42% 14% 32% 25% 31% 44% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 16% 22% 16% 23% 30% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 58% 7% 34% 24% 37% 35% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 12% 9% 3% 9% 9% 14% 2% 11% 23% 7% 2% 9% 8% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Second Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 4% 7% 8% 11% 4% 9% 6% 18% 13% 20% 14% 23% 21% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 38% 52% 10% 3% 12% 10% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure - - Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Evangelical Yes/No Yes 58% 49% 32% 58% 42% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 31% 49% 38% 52% 56% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 7% 23% 64% 58% 64% 70% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 40% 34% 20% 21% 18% 27% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 32% 11% 51% 51% 50% 57% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 48% 14% 39% 29% 43% 37% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 22% 16% 61% 53% 63% 62% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 46% 11% 33% 22% 35% 43% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 6% 11% 77% 73% 77% 83% Base Tea Party Yes/No Yes Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 40% 27% 28% 25% 29% 33% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 43% 36% 23% 25% 21% Base Evangelical Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 47% 23% 28% 27% 29% Base Evangelical Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 36% 50% 17% 20% 14% Base Evangelical Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 43% 33% 24% 22% 25% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 49% 34% 17% 18% 17% Base Evangelical Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 45% 33% 23% 24% 22% Base Evangelical Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 33% 37% 32% 33% 30% Base Evangelical Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 24% 22% 24% 20% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 46% 20% 34% 33% 34% Base Evangelical Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 14% 9% 7% 7% 10% 11% 2% 13% 21% 7% 8% 6% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Second Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 10% 9% 8% 5% 7% 9% 4% 18% 8% 20% 20% 21% Base Evangelical Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 28% 60% 10% 8% 12% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 16% 71% 16% 18% 13% Base Evangelical Evangelical Yes/No Yes Base Evangelical Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 19% 33% 49% 50% 48% Base Evangelical Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 20% 23% 63% 69% 57% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 33% 51% 20% 24% 16% Base Evangelical Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 35% 23% 51% 59% 42% Base Evangelical Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 41% 22% 38% 39% 37% Base Evangelical Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 25% 17% 61% 64% 58% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Evangelical Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 36% 32% 33% 34% 32% Base Evangelical Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 3% 19% 77% 77% 77% Base Evangelical Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 23% 52% 28% 31% 25% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 35% 44% 24% 36% 37% 26% 22% 21% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 64% 13% 28% 42% 28% 33% 30% 23% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 25% 56% 17% 6% 14% 17% 17% 18% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 72% 13% 24% 42% 23% 34% 26% 15% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 68% 17% 18% 78% 15% 19% 19% 14% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 61% 18% 24% 36% 19% 31% 22% 21% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 52% 14% 32% 6% 33% 29% 32% 34% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 63% 16% 22% 42% 28% 35% 15% 20% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 58% 10% 34% 78% 33% 42% 30% 32% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 5% 15% 2% 19% 10% 7% 2% 14% 20% 7% 8% 7% 5% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Second Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 6% 11% 4% 9% 14% 11% 6% 14% 11% 20% 15% 45% 32% 16% 14% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 57% 39% 10% 6% 23% 23% 6% 4% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 41% 42% 16% 36% 13% 11% 17% 17% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Evangelical Yes/No Yes 71% 49% 21% 49% 70% 58% 29% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 18% 36% 49% 85% 35% 56% 49% 46% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 24% 64% 49% 46% 66% 62% 67% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 45% 30% 20% 36% 23% 13% 18% 25% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 29% 17% 51% 85% 39% 47% 50% 55% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 57% 9% 39% 78% 40% 38% 43% 34% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 24% 14% 61% 13% 45% 60% 64% 61% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 60% 7% 33% 13% 36% 35% 32% 33% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 1% 15% 77% 13% 50% 68% 83% 84% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 46% 25% 28% 42% 5% 18% 38% 29% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 41% 40% 24% 28% 19% Base Woman Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 21% 28% 33% 23% Base Woman Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 30% 59% 17% 23% 12% Base Woman Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 30% 24% 32% 16% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 59% 27% 18% 21% 14% Base Woman Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 29% 24% 30% 18% Base Woman Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 44% 31% 32% 39% 25% Base Woman Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 58% 23% 22% 25% 19% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 18% 34% 43% 25% Base Woman Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 11% 11% 4% 9% 11% 10% 2% 14% 25% 7% 11% 3% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Second Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 9% 11% 8% 7% 12% 10% 6% 13% 10% 20% 26% 15% Base Woman Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 37% 57% 10% 13% 6% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 28% 58% 16% 18% 14% Base Woman Evangelical Yes/No Yes 48% 49% 46% 52% Base Woman Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 21% 32% 49% 52% 47% Base Woman Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 28% 64% 69% 59% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 38% 48% 20% 26% 14% Base Woman Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 29% 24% 51% 55% 47% Base Woman Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 49% 19% 39% 46% 32% Base Woman Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 28% 19% 61% 68% 53% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Woman Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 48% 26% 33% 41% 25% Base Woman Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 4% 21% 77% 80% 75% Base Woman Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 29% 45% 28% 31% 26% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Bush Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 45% 33% 24% 21% 39% 19% 22% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Carson Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 18% 28% 20% 31% 30% 26% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Christie Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 28% 52% 17% 23% 9% 17% 20% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Cruz Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 54% 22% 24% 24% 31% 21% 23% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Huckabee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 65% 19% 18% 24% 20% 16% 16% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Paul Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 43% 28% 24% 27% 24% 19% 29% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Perry Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 44% 22% 32% 31% 34% 29% 34% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Rubio Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 65% 17% 22% 25% 27% 22% 19% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Walker Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 62% 9% 34% 30% 48% 32% 29% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Republican Primary Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 13% 10% 4% 9% 14% 4% 3% 11% 25% 7% 3% 8% 7% 7% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Republican PrimarySecond Choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Mike Huckabee Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Scott Walker Someone else / Notsure 9% 11% 4% 4% 8% 5% 6% 18% 13% 20% 21% 29% 16% 20% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Conservative or More concerned withhaving the candidatewho is the mostconservative on the More concerned withhaving the candidatewho has the best Not sure 30% 60% 10% 3% 9% 12% 10% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Tea Party Yes/No Yes Not sure 22% 64% 16% 10% 19% 17% 13% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Evangelical Yes/No Yes 55% 49% 40% 55% 52% 45% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Graham Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 28% 23% 49% 45% 63% 45% 49% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Pataki Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 16% 22% 64% 65% 71% 61% 62% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Trump Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 34% 45% 20% 17% 25% 18% 21% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Fiorina Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 30% 21% 51% 58% 68% 43% 48% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Jindal Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 47% 16% 39% 51% 46% 33% 37% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Kasich Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 30% 14% 61% 55% 65% 63% 56% May 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 685 Republican primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Santorum Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 44% 19% 33% 33% 37% 29% 37% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Farris Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 1% 21% 77% 58% 82% 81% 78% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Govt Texas Takeover The Government istrying to take over The Government isnot trying to take over Not sure 38% 32% 28% 25% 27% 29% 31% May 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters National Survey Results Q1Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion May 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Would you describe yourself as very liberal, Very liberalSomewhat liberalSomewhat conservativeVery conservativeq11WomanAfrican American, press 3. If other, press 4.White May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Chafee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 8% 27% 54% 53% 61% 45% 57% 66% Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 33% 54% 5% 21% 1% Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb O'Malley Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 4% 28% 56% 72% 57% 50% 41% 47% 69% Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Sanders Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 16% 31% 36% 39% 38% 57% 3% 40% 53% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Webb Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 8% 26% 53% 46% 54% 73% 36% 50% 66% Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure - - - - - - - - Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Democratic PrimarySecond Choice Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 6% 3% 5% 56% 28% 62% 24% 37% 17% 80% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Biden Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 37% 46% 12% 6% 12% 7% 8% 21% 16% Base Democratic Primary Lincoln O'Malley Webb Warren Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 28% 28% 30% 21% 34% 27% 2% 21% 44% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Chafee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 31% 54% 43% 61% 58% 42% 69% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 20% 75% 5% 5% 3% 8% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative O'Malley Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 25% 56% 53% 54% 61% 48% 75% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Sanders Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 13% 33% 36% 25% 36% 42% 35% 54% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Webb Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 25% 53% 42% 56% 57% 48% 75% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 25% 13% 11% 3% 9% 12% 27% 47% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Democratic PrimarySecond Choice Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 5% 21% 45% 57% 58% 71% 75% Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Biden Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 16% 75% 12% 9% 7% 18% 17% 9% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Somewhat Somewhatconservative conservative Warren Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 50% 30% 19% 28% 38% 31% 41% Base Woman Chafee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 18% 35% 54% 59% 47% Base Woman Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 73% 21% 5% 4% 6% Base Woman O'Malley Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 18% 35% 56% 63% 47% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Woman Sanders Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 42% 33% 36% 43% 26% Base Woman Webb Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 22% 38% 53% 62% 40% Base Woman Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 7% 55% 1% 18% 7% 11% 11% 12% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Woman Democratic PrimarySecond Choice Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 7% 14% 10% 18% 3% 56% 62% 48% Base Woman Biden Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 69% 21% 12% 14% 10% Base Woman Warren Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 55% 22% 30% 35% 23% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Race White AfricanAmerican Chafee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 47% 54% 39% 60% 47% 44% Base Race White AfricanAmerican Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 60% 35% 5% 6% 5% Base Race White AfricanAmerican O'Malley Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 11% 52% 56% 37% 60% 63% 38% Base Race White AfricanAmerican Sanders Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 39% 39% 36% 20% 38% 42% 22% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Race White AfricanAmerican Webb Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 9% 54% 53% 36% 60% 46% 37% Base Race White AfricanAmerican Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 4% 57% - 14% 11% 11% 3% 14% 7% 14% Base Race White AfricanAmerican Democratic PrimarySecond Choice Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 2% 12% 11% 11% 2% 56% 50% 51% 73% 62% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Race White AfricanAmerican Biden Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 57% 26% 12% 11% 12% 12% 17% Base Race White AfricanAmerican Warren Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 56% 27% 30% 20% 26% 51% 16% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Chafee Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 12% 32% 54% 51% 62% 48% 57% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Clinton Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 82% 13% 5% 5% 5% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 O'Malley Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 14% 29% 56% 46% 63% 56% 58% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Sanders Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 43% 18% 36% 34% 37% 33% 39% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Webb Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 17% 29% 53% 50% 59% 50% 54% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 5% 68% 2% 12% 3% 11% 2% 15% 14% 10% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Democratic PrimarySecond Choice Lincoln Chafee Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Not sure 2% 12% 9% 21% 5% 56% 57% 61% 56% 51% Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Biden Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 72% 16% 12% 21% 9% 11% 12% May 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary votersMay 7-10, 2015survey of 600 Democratic primary voters Base Age 18 to29 30 to45 46 to65 than 65 Warren Favorability Favorable Unfavorable Not sure 60% 8% 30% 27% 33% 27% 32%