Conference Call-In Information - PowerPoint Presentation

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Conference Call-In Information888-858-21444064974#

2012 Rocky Mountain Region WFDSS

Refresher

For Agency Administrators

April 25, 2012Slide2

Webinar Objectives

Provide Update on Policy ChangesProvide Update on Regional Forester Expectations related to Wildfire Decisions Discuss Risk Based Approaches

Discuss Decision Process and Articulating Leaders Intent Slide3

Webinar Rules of Behavior

Make sure your phone is on mute unless asking a question or responding to a question.Utilize either the “Raise Hand” to ask a question via phone or submit your question via the question text box

Please wait until you are recognized before asking your question via phone

Participate in the polls.Slide4

AgendaReview Policy Updates and 2012 Expectations – Paul LangowskiPre-Season Set up– Brenda WilmoreDecision Process – Brenda Wilmore

Relative Risk and Organizational Needs Assessment –Paul Langowski and Kelly KaneThe Decision – Paul CrespinPeriodic AssessmentLoose Ends – Paul Langowski

Webinar Wrap-upSlide5

Policy and ExpectationsSlide6

Risk Management Sound risk management is a foundation for all fire management activities, including prescribed fire. Risks and uncertainties relating to fire management activities must be understood, analyzed, and communicated. (USDA and DOI, 2009)Slide7

Wildland Fire Management Policy Framework

Event

Ignition Source

Strategic

Objectives

1

Strategies

2

& Tactics

Evaluation

Fire Type

Unplanned

Planned

Wildfire

Prescribed Fire

Human

Natural

Management

Converted Prescribed Fire

Escaped Prescribed Fire

Protection

Resource Benefits

Direction selected & managing resources to achieve incident objectives

Compare outcomes with objectives

Resources

1

Strategic Objectives are those define in an approved Land/Resource or Fire Management Plan having gone through the NEPA process.

2

Strategies are Monitor, Confine, Point / Zone Protection, Suppression* or any combination of these. *Synonymous with Full Perimeter Containment and Control Slide8

2012 Red Book -USFS Agency Administrator Responsibilities for Fire and Aviation at the Field Level (05-8 to 05-9)

Must use WFDSSApprove and Publish Decisions on all fires that exceed initial attack or include a resource management objectives Slide9

2012 Red Book -USFS Agency Administrator Responsibilities for Fire and Aviation at the Field Level (05-8 to 05-9)

Agency AdministratorsEnsure that all personnel working on Forest Service jurisdiction wildfires clearly understand directionApprove and publish Decisions and issue delegations to the IC according to delegated authority Slide10

2012 Red Book -USFS Agency Administrator Responsibilities for Fire and Aviation at the Field Level (05-8 to 05-9)Slide11

2012 Red Book -USFS Agency Administrator Responsibilities for Fire and Aviation at the Field Level (05-8 to 05-9)

Critical long duration wildfire oversight roles include ensuring that: Up-to-date

Published decisions are completed and documented in

WFDSS

.

Hazards

are identified and risk assessments are incorporated into

Published

Decisions. Slide12

2012 Red Book - WFDSS (11-12 to 11-14)

WFDDS used for decision supportMust have published Decision in WFDSSLevel of documentation

commensurate to:

the

incident duration,

spread

potential,

cost

,

or

relative risk

.Slide13

2012 Red Book - WFDSS (11-12 to 11-14)

Initial DecisionsMust be published within 24 hours after determination that a published decision is needed or Within 24 hours of requesting an IMTSlide14

2012 Red Book - WFDSS (11-12 to 11-14)

New DecisionsProgressive Decision Making depending on complexity and need for supporting analysis 2-7 days Slide15

2012 Red Book – Managing the Incident (11-15 to 11-16)

Provide IMT an approved and certified WFDSS. Ensure that significant decisions related to strategy and costs are included

in WFDSS

.

Coordinate on multi-jurisdiction fires to issue a joint delegation of authority and single published WFDSS decisionSlide16

2012 Red Book – Incident Business Management (11-26)

Cost Managementminimize costs without compromising safetyIndirect containment strategiesSlide17

2012 National Mobilization Guide

Planning Level ConsiderationsPL 4Consult with GMAC required

Consideration of resource commitments and availability to implement strategySlide18

2012 National Mobilization Guide

Planning Level ConsiderationsPL 5Consult with GMAC and NMAC required representative

Consideration of resource commitments and availability to implement strategySlide19

2012 Leaders IntentUnderstand Current Conditions

Base Decisions/strategy selection on the here and now not on the pastConduct appropriate analysis and articulate strong rationaleThe conversation starts with risk and firefighter and public safetySlide20

Pre –Season SetupSlide21

Decision ProcessSlide22

Risk Management and Risk AssessmentSlide23

Identification and Assessment of Risk

Identify potential risks.

Assess the risks as

to their potential severity of impact

and the

probability of occurrence.

In

the assessment process it is critical to make the best

educated/informed

decisions in order to properly prioritize the implementation of

risk management.

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Risk Treatment

After identification and assessment (and communication of risk(s), the management of the risk(s) fall into one or more of these major categories:

Avoid or reject (withdraw or don’t

become involved)

Mitigate (reduce)

Transfer

Share

Accept

Note: The Department

of Defense

uses Avoid

, Control, Accept, or

Transfer (ACAT)

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The levels of complexity are displayed to assist in understanding the kinds of

decisions expected. The decision is not tied to an organizational level and each of these type decisions are made at all organizational levels. The difference lies in the

amount of time available to make the decision and the amount and kinds of data

available to analyze.

Risk Decision Levels

RISK DECISIONSlide26

Risk Management and Risk AssessmentSound, risk-informed decision making requires pre-season planning includingRelationship building“Pre-attack” planning

Assess conditions and opportunitiesSlide27

Risk Management and Risk AssessmentFive Phases of Risk-Informed Decision ProcessSITUATION ASSESSMENT: Gather Information and Assess Information

SITUATION ANALYSIS : Analyze to Characterize potential risks and opportunities. SITUATION ANALYSIS - Develop controls to address identified risks and opportunities PLAN OF ACTION and DECISION: Make a decision and articulate a ‘course of action’ to implement the decisionPERIODIC ASSESSMENT: Periodically re-assess the situation, and revise the decision and course of action as needed. Slide28

Risk Management and Risk AssessmentSITUATION ANALYSIS : Analyze to Characterize potential risks and opportunities. Conduct a Risk Assessment:

Translating fire potential into an assessments of opportunities and risks: Understanding in general what opportunities and probabilities for taking advantage of the fire, opportunities and probabilities to mitigate fire threats, and how difficult are each are to achieve. Slide29

Risk Management and Risk AssessmentSITUATION ANALYSIS - Develop controls to address identified risks and opportunities Risk management is the mitigation of the hazards, threats, and causes identified by the risk assessment and implementation of actions to improve outcomes and minimize negative consequences. Slide30

Relative Risk AssessmentSlide31

Relative Risk The relative risk assessment chart uses three risk components: Values Hazard ProbabilityWhat are your local break points?Slide32

Relative RiskValuesValues are those ecologic, social, and economic resources that could be lost or damaged because of a fire. Slide33

Relative RiskHazardsThe hazard in wildland fire is composed of the following:Departure from historic conditionsability of the fire to spread and circulate intensity and severity the fire may present spatial extent of the fire (size)Slide34

Relative RiskProbabilityProbability refers to the likelihood of a fire becoming an active event with potential to adversely affect values.Slide35

Relative RiskLocalized CriteriaSlide36
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Organizational Needs AssessmentSlide43

The Decision Slide44

Periodic AssessmentSlide45

Loose EndsSlide46

Loose EndsMulti-jurisdiction Fires

Communication between IMT and Adjoining Land OwnersDecision TipsDecision Support GroupWFDSS LiteSlide47

Rocky Mountain Geographic EditorsAgency

NameNumberUSFS

Paul Langowski

303-275-5307

USFS

Brenda Wilmore

970-328-5891

CO/WY BLM

Gwenan

Poirier

303-239-3689

NPS

Linda Kerr

303-969-2883

USFWS

Rich Sterry

303-236-8124-

BIA

Reeve Armstrong

208-387-5373

BIA

John

Barborinas

970 903-3499

Contacts/Support

:Slide48

Model 9930 BlackBerry

Set-Up Instructions for WFDSS Lite Application

From the Home screen, select Options (the wrench icon)> Security Option>

Advanced Security Options>TLS

Scroll down to Proxy TLS, make sure the Enabled box below Proxy TLS is

UNCHECKED

Click the Blackberry dot-icon to get the menu and select saveSlide49

Questions?Slide50

Webinar Wrap-up

“Fire is fire no matter what objective(s) you’re implementing. Always give fire the benefit of the doubt. It will do what you don’t think it will do sooner than you think and at the most inopportune time. Fire can have a tendency to humble you and it should!”