Effective study proposals for economic statistics - PowerPoint Presentation

Slide1

Effective study proposals for economic statistics development:“SBRs in focus”

Zeynep

Orhun

Girard

Statistician

UN

ESCAP Statistics

Division

2 December 2016Slide2

This presentation discusses…Why analytical studies are important for the implementation of the Regional

Programme

How RPES supports analytical capacity building in national statistical systems

The criteria for effective national studies

Dissemination and use of national studiesSlide3

RPES is a

framework for economic statistics capacity building

4 outputs or “strategic interventions…”

...to deliver our common vision...

...and reach our key goal of

RPES

Advocacy

Coordination

Skills

Infrastructure

Advocacy

Infrastructure

NSSs in Asia-Pacific have capacity to produce & disseminate the Core Set in line with international standards,

including in support of SDG monitoring

Improved soundness of economic analysis & decision making through

increased availability and effective use of timely, reliable and comparable economic statisticsSlide4

RPES progress is monitored based on:

Activities that are delivered under each strategic intervention and their results for capacity to produce and disseminate economic statistics

Milestones of the Core Set of Economic Statistics implementation (periodicity)Slide5

Country A

Core Indicator

Reported Freq.

RPES recommendations

Price and Costs

Consumer price index (CPI)QuarterlyQuarterlyProducer price index (PPI)QuarterlyQuarterlyCommodity price indexWeeklyMonthlyExternal merchandise trade price indicesUnavailableMonthly×Wages / Earnings dataAnnuallyQuarterly●

Labour costs index / Wage indexAnnuallyQuarterly● Demand and OutputGDP (production) nominal and realAnnuallyQuarterly●GDP (expenditure) nominal and realAnnuallyQuarterly●External trade – merchandiseAnnuallyMonthly●

External trade – servicesAnnuallyQuarterly●Short-term indicator (STI) - industry outputMonthlyQuarterlySTI – services outputUnavailableQuarterly×STI – consumer demandAnnuallyQuarterly●STI – fixed investmentUnavailableQuarterly

×STI – inventoriesUnavailableQuarterly×Economy structure statisticsEvery 10 yearsEvery 5 years●ProductivityUnavailableAnnually×   Income and WealthIntegrated national accountsAnnuallyAnnuallyInstitutional sector accountsAnnuallyAnnuallyBalance of payments (BOP)

Annually

Quarterly●

International investment position (IIP)

Unavailable

Annually×External debtQuarterlyQuarterlyIncome distributionEvery 10 yearsEvery 5 years●Slide6

Periodicity alone is not sufficient to assess quality of a statistical outputSlide7

More analysis needed to understand quality issues on economic statistics

Problem:

NSSs do not systematically use the statistics they produce hampering identification and remedy of quality gaps

Reasons

: Inadequate analytical skills in NSOs and other agencies, lack of resources (staff time/financial) and of institutional guidance, e.g. quality assurance policies

Available support: ESCAP Resource Facility & other development partnersSlide8

ESCAP Resource Facility (RF) is a pool of funds

…that

supports

national

statistical systems to undertake analysis and research in the form of national studies for developing economic statistics.

ESCAP assistance to national studies also covers:Expert missions in support of the national studyFacilitation of peer-to-peer exchangesResearch-based training, especially for countries with special

needsSlide9

Countries select study topics based on RPES areas & national priorities

Economic

statistics topic areas

(

Core Set

) and linkages between economic statistics and other domains of statisticsStatistical infrastructure for economic statisticsInstitutional setting for economic statistics production and disseminationSlide10

Effective proposals meet the selection criteria

Required

Alignment with RPES and priorities in NSDS/similar plan

Clear linkage

between results, activities and the resources

requiredDesirableNational studies conducted in cooperation by multiple national agencies

National studies with gender equality focusNational studies on economic statistics underlying sustainable development monitoringSlide11

National studies are used to develop economic statistics

Pilot survey

of individual entrepreneurs

Improve

availability

and quality of business statistics GVA estimation methods for livestock sector

Improve the methodology for Gross Value Added (GVA) estimation of total production in the livestock sector in line with the 2008 SNATrade-related pilot surveyImprove information base for national accounts by calculating trade marginsSlide12

RF opportunities for SBR development

Some ideas for SBR study areas:

Institutional/stakeholder analysis for SBRs

Develop/improve economic units model

Review/assess quality of available data sources

Improve quality of SBR (production of business statistics) process (GSBPM/GSIM)Develop/improve maintenance of SBRsImprove use of SBRs—business demography, economic statistics, etc.

Explore/assess possible linkages to other databases in the national statistical system

Coordination

Skills

Advocacy

Infrastructure

Statistical Busin

ess

Register

Demand

and

outputnational accounts aggregates (production), productivity measures, trade, informal economy, economy structure, short-term indicators (industry/services output, consumer demand and investment)Slide13

National studies are regional knowledge

National studies are disseminated

through:

ESCAP

knowledge sharing platform on economic statistics

Regional seminars, e.g. as part of the Asia-Pacific Economic Statistics Week and the ESCAP Committee on StatisticsSlide14

Any questions?