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Iowa Workforce and Demographic Changes: Implications for th - PPT Presentation

Lyn Brodersen PhD Annual ISUEO Conference March 2014 Questions for the Future 1963 CA Vines Director Agricultural Extension Service University of Arkansas Little Rock posed alternatives for the future of Extension in a talk at Colorado State University in Fort Collins on June 18 ID: 473509

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Slide1

Iowa Workforce and Demographic Changes: Implications for the Organizational Culture of Iowa State Extension and Outreach

Lyn Brodersen

, Ph.D.

Annual

ISUEO Conference

March 2014Slide2

Questions for the Future: 1963

C.A. Vines, Director , Agricultural Extension Service, University of Arkansas, Little Rock, posed alternatives for the future of Extension in a talk at Colorado State University in Fort Collins on June 18, 1963.Slide3

How will Extension Adapt?

According to Vines, Watts, and Parks (1963):

It is apparent that problems are becoming more complex as changes take place in the economic and social structures of the nation. Many problems facing farm people are outside agriculture. We must involve competencies that go beyond those in the college of agriculture because of the interrelationships in present day society. (p. 241-242)Slide4

Three Alternatives

Provide informal education in forestry, families, agriculture, and related fields in both urban and rural areas without responsibility for development of additional resources or the community.

Provide the aforementioned informal education and provide leadership for resource and community development in rural areas.Slide5

Three Alternatives

3. Broaden Extension’s role to include

all

informal educational efforts, from all colleges housed within the University, in both rural and urban areas (Vines, Watts, & Parks, 1963).Slide6

Where Do We Fit?

Consider the alternatives Vines posed fifty years ago. How do those alternatives fit the nature of our work with the citizens of Iowa today?Slide7

Iowa Poverty Rates by Age 2007-2011

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa small area poverty rates 2007-2011

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Slide8

Median Earnings of Males 16+ 2008-2012

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa sex by class of worker

and median income 2008-2012

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Slide9

Median Earnings of Females 16+ 2008-2012

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa sex by class of worker and median income 2008-2012

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Slide10

Iowa Educational Attainment by Place of Birth 2007-2011

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa educational attainment by place of birth 2007-2011

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Slide11

2000-2010

U.S. population grew 9.7%; Iowa’s grew 4.1%

State metropolitan centers accounted for 10.1% population growth, while the rural areas of Iowa accounted for a decline of 5.4% (Swenson, 2013)

Slide12
Slide13

2000-2010Changes in young adult population

According to Swenson (2013), nationally, the group of adults aged 35-44 declined by about 9%. This was due to a decline in the birth rate after 1969.

In Iowa, the group of adults aged 35-44 declined by over 18%. In rural areas, the decline was 30.4%.

The number of adults aged 24-34 in Iowa grew by 5.4%. The decline in rural areas was 5.3%.Slide14

Outmigration

The adults who left the State are in age categories that make them among the most productive, skilled, and educated Iowans.

Many of the adults who left the state had children as well. Iowa will feel the echo of this loss in about 20 years.

Slide15

Outmigraton

Workers aged 35-44 who departed would have composed most of the State’s leadership in social, political, and cultural efforts

.Slide16

What is to come?2012-2020

Nationally, the labor force over age 55 will grow by over 11 million.

Workers aged 25-54 will increase by only 1.7 million compared to 2010.

Workers aged 16-24 will contract by 2.6 million (Swenson, 2013).Slide17

Projected Iowa population changes 2010-2020

Swenson (2013) projects that workers age 45 to 64 will suffer a loss of 117,203.

The number of workers age 16-64 will decline by 74,142.

The population of Iowa over age 65 will grow by 106,740.

The State’s population over the age of 16 will grow, collectively, by 32,598.Slide18

Citizens over 60The Iowa Department on Aging indicates that, as of December 2012, Iowa ranks 11

th

of the 50 states in percentage of population over age 60, at 21.2%.

Iowa Department on Aging. (2013).

States ranked by age group as % of the total population: Population estimates July 1, 2012

[Data file]. Retrieved from

https://www.iowaaging.gov/sites/files/aging/documents/States%20Ranked%20by%20Age%20Group%20_2012%20Estimates.pdfSlide19

Citizens over 75Iowa ranks 4

th

of 50 states in the percentage of total population over age 75. In 2012, 7.5% of the State’s population, a total of 229,761, were in this category.

Iowa Department on Aging. (2013).

States ranked by age group as % of the total population: Population estimates July 1, 2012

[Data file]. Retrieved from

https://www.iowaaging.gov/sites/files/aging/documents/States%20Ranked%20by%20Age%20Group%20_2012%20Estimates.pdfSlide20

U.S. Census Bureau,

American Community

Survey, 2011

Woods & Poole

Economics, Inc.2013

Iowa Population over 65Slide21

The Aging of Iowa

44.6%

The

percent of total population

in Wahpeton

who

were age

65

and over

in 2010. Other Iowa cities

with high percentages

in this age

group were Beaconsfield (

40.0

%),Ledyard

(36.9%), Clio

(

36.3%)

and Diagonal (

36.1%).

17.8%

The

percent of the total

population age

65 and

over

in

2010

who

lived

in

Des Moines, Cedar

Rapids,

Davenport

,

Sioux

City,

Waterloo, and Dubuque.

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Older Iowans: 2013

[Data file]. Retrieved from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Publications/older2013.pdfSlide22

The Aging of Iowa

43

The

number of Iowa counties with

a decrease

in

the

population age

65 and

over between 2010

and

2011

.

83

The

number of Iowa counties in

2040 in

which at

least

20% of the

residents will

be age 65 and

over, according to Woods & Pool Economics, Inc. In

2000,

that number was 30

.

22,318

The

number of people age 65

and over

in Des

Moines

, making

it the largest

population of this

age group in any Iowa city in 2010.

State Data

Center of Iowa

. (2013).

Older Iowans: 2013

[Data file]. Retrieved from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Publications/older2013.pdfSlide23

The Aging of Iowa

47,984

The

number of people age 65

and over

in Polk

County

, making it

the largest

population of this

age group in any

county in 2011.

23.8%

The

percent of total population

in Calhoun

county

who

are age 65

and over

in 2011. Other Iowa

counties with

a high percentage in this

age group are

Monona (23.6%);

Ringgold (23.6

%), Audubon

(

23.4%),

Dickinson (22.4

%),

and

Sac (22.3%).

37.0%

Over

a quarter of Iowans age 65

and over

in 2011

lived

in Polk, Linn,

Scott, Black

Hawk, Dubuque,

Pottawattamie, Woodbury

, and Johnson counties.

State Data Center of

Ioaa

. (2013).

Older Iowans: 2013

[Data file]. Retrieved from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Publications/older2013.pdfSlide24

Iowa Population Over 65

U.S. Census Bureau,

American Community

Survey, 2011

Woods & Poole

Economics, Inc.2013Slide25

Implications for our work

Economic stagnation

Workforce shortages

Population shifts to Iowa’s urban

centers

Stress on families

Poverty-related issuesSlide26

Implications for our workDecreased and aging populations in rural areas, resulting in more pronounced effects on economics and lifestyle

Economic and demographic patterns may provide increased incentives for outmigrationSlide27

How do these implications affect Extension and Outreach?

The shift in population to urban centers will change who we serve and the ways in which we work.

Rural economics and lifestyle will undergo rapid and significant changes.

Outmigration will change the nature of research, content, and delivery methods.Slide28

How do Vines’ alternatives look today?

Consider Vines’ suggestion that we serve both rural and urban areas, and offer programs from all colleges housed in the University.

Given our discussion of workforce and demographics, how might we shape the culture of our organization to meet the challenges of educational leadership, as well as economic and community development?Slide29

What is Organizational Culture?

Artifacts

Underlying Assumptions

Espoused Values (Schein, 1992)

Slide30

C

Renando

. (2010, November 21).

Organisational

culture defined, courtesy of Edgar Schein. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from http://www.sidewaysthoughts.com/blog/2010/11/Slide31

Organizational Culture Defined

Berrio

(2003) defines

contemporary

organizational

culture (OC)

as “inclusive of that which is valued

, the dominant leadership style, the language and symbols, the procedures and routines, and the definitions of

success”

that

distinguish one organization from another.

OC represents the

underlying assumptions, values,

expectations, collective

histories,

and

definitions

present in an

organization (Schein, 1992; Cameron & Quinn, 1999).Slide32

Dimensions of Organizational Culture

Z Liu.

(2009, October 6). Organizational culture and environment: The constraints-dimensions of organizational culture. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from http://healthymethod.blogspot.com/2009/12/organizations-culture.htmlSlide33

Competing Values Framework

According to

Berrio

(2003), Cameron

and Quinn (1999)

developed

an organizational culture framework built upon a theoretical model called the "Competing Values Framework."

This Framework

refers to whether an organization has a predominant internal or external focus and whether it strives for flexibility and individuality or stability and control. The

Framework

is

based

on six organizational culture dimensions and four dominant culture types (i.e., clan, adhocracy, market, and hierarchy). Slide34

Competing Values Framework

Cameron and Quinn (1999) created an Organizational

Culture Assessment Instrument (OCAI

) that

is used to

profile distinct

organizational

cultures.

This identification is

based on the core values, assumptions, interpretations, and approaches that

characterize a specific organization.Slide35

Dominant Culture Types

Berrio

(2003) asserts that the Competing Values Framework

can be used in constructing an organizational culture profile.

Through

the use of the OCAI, an

organization’s cultural profile

can be

extrapolated by identifying the

organization's dominant culture type characteristics.

The wider cultural

profile of an organization can be identified as:Slide36

Dominant Culture Types

Clan:

an organization

focused on

internal maintenance with

emphases on flexibility, people

, and

heightened sensitivity toward those the organization serves.

Hierarchy:

an organization

rooted in

internal

maintenance,

with

control and stability as priorities.

Adhocracy:

an organization

driven by external

positioning

and forces. An adhocracy is characterized by high degrees

of

individuality and flexibility.

Market:

an organization that

emphasizes external maintenance, with control and stability as priorities.Slide37

D

Ronfeldt

. (2009, May 13). Organizational forms compared: My evolving TIMN table vs. other analysts’ tables.

[Web log

comment].

Retrieved from http://twotheories.blogspot.com/2009/05Slide38

D

Ronfeldt

. (2009,

May 13).

Organizational forms compared: My evolving TIMN table vs. other analysts’ tables. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from http://twotheories.blogspot.com/2009/05Slide39

A

Guberman

. Organizational health. [

Web log comment].

Retrieved

from

www.primarygoals.netSlide40

CREATE Cultural Change

CLARIFY

organizational values;

create connections between leader values and organizational values

REINFORCE

the vision;

ensure that everyone in the organization is clear about vision and values

EMPOWER

behaviors aligned to values and vision;

remove obstacles

ALIGN

conversations

up and down the organization

TARGET

effort

on high impact areas

EMPHASIZE

success;

reward change

M Lanier. (2012, April 11). 6 steps to change your organizational culture. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from http://hroutsider.com/2012/04/11/6-steps-to-change-your-organizational-culture/Slide41

References

Berrio

, A. A. (2003). An organizational culture assessment using the competing values framework: A profile of Ohio State University Extension.

Journal of Extension, 41

(2). Retrieved from

http

://

www.joe.org/joe/2003april/a3.php

Cameron, K. S., & Quinn, R. E. (1999).

Diagnosing and changing organizational culture

. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.

Guberman

,

A. Organizational

health. [Web log comment]. Retrieved

from

www.primarygoals.net

Iowa

Department on Aging. (2013).

States ranked by age group as % of the total

population

:

Population

estimates July

1

, 2012

[Data file].

Retrieved from

https

://

www.iowaaging.gov/sites/files/aging/documents/States%20Ranked%20by%20Age%20Group%202 12%20

Estimates.pdf

Lanier, M. (2012,

April 11). 6

steps to change your organizational culture. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from

http://hroutsider.com/2012/04/11/6-steps-to-change-your-organizational culture

/

Liu, Z. (2009, October 6). Organizational culture and environment: The constraints-dimensions of organizational culture. [Web log comment]. Retrieved from

http

://healthymethod.blogspot.com/2009/12/organizations-culture.htmlSlide42

References

Renando

, C.

(2010, November 21).

Organisational

culture defined, courtesy of Edgar Schein. [Web log comment].

Retrieved

from

http

://www.sidewaysthoughts.com/blog/2010/11/

Ronfeldt

, D. (2009, May 13). Organizational forms compared: My evolving TIMN table vs. other analysts’

tables

. [Web

log comment]. Retrieved from

http://twotheories.blogspot.com/2009/05

Schein, E. H. (1992).

Organizational culture and leadership

(2nd ed.). San Francisco, CA:

Jossey

-Bass.

State

Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa educational attainment by place of birth 2007-2011

[Data file].

Available

from

http

://www.iowadatacenter.org/

State Data Center of Iowa (2013).

Iowa metropolitan areas (2003 definition)

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa sex by class of worker and median income 2008-2012

[Data file].

Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Slide43

References

State Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Iowa small area poverty rates 2007-2011

[Data file]. Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/

State

Data Center of Iowa. (2013).

Older Iowans: 2013

[Data file]. Retrieved from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org/Publications/older2013.pdf

Swenson, D.A. (2013). Factors constraining Iowa labor force growth through 2020. Department of Economics Staff Report, Iowa State University.

U.S. Census Bureau. (2013).

American Community Survey, 2011, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., 2013

[Data file].

Available from

http://www.iowadatacenter.org

/

Vines, C.A., Watts, L.H., & Parks, W.R. (1963). Extension’s future.

Journal of Cooperative Extension, 1

(4), 239-246.