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RSQSim - PowerPoint Presentation

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RSQSim - PPT Presentation

Jim Dieterich Keith RichardsDinger UC Riverside Funding USGS NEHRP SCEC Representation of Fault Friction Constitutive relation State evolution Stress evolution Terms in red are additional ones due to normal stress variations Linker and Dieterich 1992 ID: 273069

slip stress representation fault stress slip fault representation time state creeping afterslip aftershocks viscoelasticity evolution earthquake friction scec overshoot

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Slide1

RSQSim

Jim Dieterich

Keith Richards-Dinger

UC Riverside

Funding:

USGS NEHRP

SCECSlide2

Representation of Fault Friction

Constitutive relation:

State evolution:

Stress evolution:

Terms in red are additional ones due to normal stress variations (Linker and Dieterich, 1992)

Interaction coefficients,

K

, calculated from the dislocation solutions of Okada, 1992

Tectonic stressing rates derived from backslipping the model

Numerical integration too slow for the scale of problems we would like to address Slide3

Representation of Fault Friction

Constitutive relation:

State evolution:

Stress evolution:

State 1: nucleation

State 0: locked fault

State 2: seismic slip Slide4

Representation of Fault Friction

No predetermined failure stress or stress drop

Stress drop scales roughly as Slide5

Representation of Fault Friction

No predetermined failure stress or stress drop

Stress drop scales roughly as Slide6

Approximations to

Elastodynamics

Parameters that influence the rupture process:

Slip speed during coseismic slip determined from shear impedance considerationsReduction of a

on patches nearby to seismically slipping patchesStress overshoot during rupturesSlide7

Effect of Overshoot on Rupture Characteristics

Large overshoot (13%)

Small overshoot (1%)Slide8

Approximations to

Elastodynamics

Values for rupture parameters determined by comparison with fully dynamic rupture models

DYNA3D –

Fully

dynamic finite element simulation

RSQsim – Fast simulation

Propagation time 14.0

s

Propagation time 14.3 sSlide9

Representation of

Viscoelasticity

afterslip

Rate-strengthening (a > b) patches

Approximated as always sliding at steady-stateDistributed asDeep creeping extensions to major faultsShallow creep on major faultsEntire creeping sections (e.g. SAF north of Parkfield)

Possibly with small imbedded stick-slip patchesMore complicated mixed stick-slip and creeping areas (e.g. Hayward Fault) Slide10

Representation of

Viscoelasticity

afterslip

Penetration of slip of large events into creeping zoneSlide11

Representation of

Viscoelasticity

afterslip

Fraction of moment release in creeping section

AftershocksSlide12

Representation of

Viscoelasticity

afterslip

1989 Loma

Prieta

Earthquake

Simulation

Small repeating earthquakesSlide13

Power-law temporal clustering

Decay of aftershocks follows Omori power law

t

-p with

p = 0.77Foreshocks (not shown) follow an inverse Omori decay with

p

= 0.92

Dieterich and Richards-Dinger, PAGEOPH, 2010

Stacked rate of seismicity relative to mainshock origin timeSlide14

Power-law temporal clustering

Interevent

Waiting Time Distributions

California Catalog 1911 – 2010.5Slide15

Power-law temporal clustering

Space – Time DistributionsSlide16

Earthquake cluster along San Andreas Fault

M7.3

43 aftershocks in 18.2days

All-Cal model – SCEC Simulator Comparison ProjectSlide17

Earthquake cluster along San Andreas Fault

M6.9

Followed by 6 aftershocks in 4.8 minutes

All-Cal model – SCEC Simulator Comparison ProjectSlide18

Earthquake cluster along San Andreas Fault

M7.2

All-Cal model – SCEC Simulator Comparison ProjectSlide19

slip ~2.3 - 4.0 cm

duration ~10-40 days

inter-event time - ~10-19 months

simultaneous slip in different

areas

no Omori clustering

spontaneous segmentation

Colella et al.,

submitted

Slow-slip eventsSlide20

Summary or Conclusions (if appropriate or desired)

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