The Dynamics of Coupled Natural and Human Systems (CNH) Program - PowerPoint Presentation

Slide1

The Dynamics of Coupled Natural and Human Systems (CNH) Program

Richard Yuretich

NSF Directorate for Geosciences

July 31, 2015Slide2

NATURAL SYSTEM

process

process

condition

condition

HUMAN SYSTEM

process

process

condition

condition

COUPLING

COUPLING

Dynamics

of

Coupled

Natural

and

Human

Systems (

C

N

H

)

BIO

GEO

SBESlide3

A Brief History of CNH

CNH was one of the five

Biocomplexity

in the Environment special competitions from FYs 2001 to 2005

BIO, GEO, and SBE conducted a free-standing CNH competition in FY 2007BIO, GEO, and SBE established CNH as NSF's first

multidirectorate standing program, with its first competition in FY 2008.

3Slide4

Program Solicitation NSF 14-601

Projects team

natural and social scientists.

Research is

quantitative and predictive.Projects integrate research and education.

Large Grants

are up to $1.8 M and

5 years.Small Grants

are up to $0.5 M and

5 years.Research Coordination Network (RCN) Grants

are up to

$0.5 M and 5 years.Dynamics of Coupled Natural and Human Systems (CNH)Slide5

Special Emphases in CNH

Focus on coupling of natural and human systems

Emphasis on complex (non-linear) interactions among systems

Strongly quantitative research, although qualitative research may also be used

Global perspective as appropriate to the projectHighly complementary education plan

Strong management planCompelling broader impacts

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Advice to CNH PIs

Take

all

words in the competition title very seriously:

Dynamics

of

Coupled

Natural

and

Human Systems

You will probably need to involve researchers from a variety of disciplines

We encourage:generalizable theoretical developmentanalysis and synthesis

We do not encourage:

descriptive projects

normative studies

prescription

Make sure your proposal includes everything

(including all the sections, and supporting documents) the solicitation says we need…

…but no more than that.

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CNH Proposal and Award Data

Year

Project

Proposals

Highly Competitive / Competitive

(fundable)Funded

Funding Rate (total received)%

Funding Rate (fundable)%

2011(L | e | R)

98 | 37 | 4

24 | 13

| 214 | 5 | 114

| 14 | 2558 | 38 | 50

2012(L | e

| R)91 | 35

| 631 | 12

| 312 | 6

| 013 | 17

| 0

39 | 50 | 02013(L

| e | R)

93 | 40 |

325 | 9 | 16| 6 |16|

15| 3324| 67 1002014

(L |S |R)124| 49| 241| 3| 212| 3| 0(projected)10| 6 |0 (projected)29|100 |0(projected)

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Common Problems in CNH Proposals

H or N system poorly developed

Not looking at full range of

relevant coupling

Team lacks an expert in …

Missing

relevant literature

in …

Project is unlikely to result in

theoretical advances

Results would not be

generalizable

No clear statement of the research question(s) / hypothesis

Project does not address research question(s)

Methodology is

not clear

/ important details are missing

Hard to see how the individual subprojects fit together

Project is tool development, not research

Project is driven by agenda, not scientific enquiry

Proposal is poorly written / is confusing / has errors / is hard to navigate

Proposal is not compliant

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Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change: A System Dynamics Analysis

PI: Sharon Harlan, Arizona State University

NSF Award 0816168, $1.4 million

Examining vulnerability of different urban neighborhoods and socio-economic groups to heat-related health hazards.

Developing future scenarios under climate change.

Devising local adaptation strategies, landscape changes.

Strong involvement of local communities in project.Slide10

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CNH: Drowning of Developed Coastal Barriers: Investigating the Threshold Rates of Sea-Level Rise of the Geologic-Human System

PI: Andrew Ashton, Woods Hole

NSF Award 0815875, $1.4 million

Slide11

CNH: Competing Demands and Future Vulneability

of Groundwater: Drinking Water Quality and Food Security in Arsenic-Impacted South and Southeast Asia

PI: Alexander Van

Geen

, Columbia UniversityNSF Award 1414131, $1.45million

This project will model how human decisions affect arsenic levels in aquifers across three river basins that have experienced different degrees of development. The study will identify effective measures to reduce the amounts of As in groundwater and rice crops, leading to safer food and water supplies.

The results are expected to establish that soil removal and lowering of As in irrigation water will increase rice yields and protect deep low-As groundwater for drinking

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12

CHN-Ex: A Model for Groundwater Allocation and Management at the Bakken Shale in Western North Dakota

PI:

Zhulu

Lin, North Dakota State University Fargo

NSF Award 1413964, $249,423

This project is a pilot study of the energy-water nexus at the Bakken Shale of western North Dakota, using mathematical modeling to gain a better understanding of the complex interactions between the region’s human and natural systems that are leading to unprecedented economic development and use of water resources. The findings from this study will be of great importance to policymakers and communities in and around the hydraulic fracturing oil regions in the country.Slide13

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Coupled Natural and Human Systems in Fire-Prone Landscapes: Interactions, Dynamics and Adaptation

PI: John Bolte, Oregon State University

NSF Award 1013296, $1.5 million

This research integrates social and ecological sciences to study a fire-prone landscape in central Oregon. The project will combine a policy-driven, multiagent model of land management decision-making, models of vegetative succession and fire ignition/spread that can represent climate change effects, and a suite of landscape evaluators of socio-economic and ecological system performance. These analyses will help identify strategies that increase adaptive capacity.Slide14

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CNH: Cooking Up Clean Air: Scaled-Up Air Quality and Health Impacts of Clean

Cookstoves

in

GhanaPI: Christine

Wiedinmyer, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

NSF Award 1211668, $1.475 million

Nearly

half the world’s population

cooks over open flames on a daily basis. This releases greenhouse gas and exposes people to toxic emissions that contribute to respiratory disease. In Ghana and other countries in the "meningitis belt," emissions from cooking have been linked to meningitis. We hypothesize that widespread use of efficient, or "clean", cookstoves

- which produce less smoke than open fires even while burning the same available materials - will reduce people's exposure to toxic emissions, improve health outcomes, and improve regional air quality. To test this hypothesis, we will introduce

cookstoves into households in northern Ghana. In addition to determining whether they do, in fact, improve air quality and health outcomes, we will explore the social and economic factors that encourage or discourage cook stove use, and consider the impacts of climate change.Slide15

Objectives:

1. Promote communication and collaboration within the CHANS

community through

virtual interaction.

2. Facilitate collaboration within the CHANS community through face-to-faceinteraction.

3.Generate and disseminate comparative and synthesis scholarship on CHANS complexity

.4. Strengthen, broaden and diversify the CHANS community.

CHANS-Net (2008)

Jianguo Liu &William McConnellMichigan State University

CNH: International Network of Research on Coupled Human and Natural Systems (CHANS-Net)

RESEARCH COORDINATION NETWORKS

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The CNH Solicitation

Due date is (usually) third Tuesday of November.

Next deadline

is

November 17, 2015.www.nsf.gov > Funding > … > ‘

Dynamics of …’

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More Information

CNH Program Page (solicitation, previous awards, dates etc.)

http://

www.nsf.gov/funding/pgm_summ.jsp?pims_id=13681

ORNSF Main Page > Funding > Cross-cutting programs > Dynamics of …

CNH Program Officers

Richard Yuretich, GEO: ryuretic@nsf.gov ; 703-292-4744Thomas Baerwald, SBE: tbaerwal@nsf.gov; 703-292-7301

Betsy van Holle, BIO: mvonholl@nsf.gov, 703-292-4974

Sign up for news on NSF.gov

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