for the Common Unit Committee and Office of Learning and Teaching Bill Tyler Charles Webb Nicola Rolls Sharon Bridgeman Malcolm Flack Explaining University Retention and Progress Rates the challenge ID: 629980
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Slide1
Flexible and Online Learning Modes and Student Progress in First Year: CDU 2012-2014
for the
Common Unit
Committee and
Office of Learning and Teaching
Bill
Tyler
Charles Webb
Nicola Rolls
Sharon Bridgeman
Malcolm FlackSlide2
Explaining University Retention and Progress Rates: the challenge
University retention and progression rates are driven by many forces:
s
tudents, pedagogies, economic and political climates
impacting at differing levels of intensity
across differing timescales
over radically different types of institutions
with complex and hidden feedback loops
So here goes….Slide3
Students
Part time status
Personal circumstances
Course experience
Integration into learning community
Literacy/educational
background
Academic literacy
Right choice of course
Initial achievement
Age
Motivation
S
tudy
mode
Complexity of variables
effecting
performanceSlide4
This presentationO
verview of project
Trends and patterns in
C
ommon
Units and then first year 2009-2013
Pedagogic impact of flexible and online learning approaches :
Survey students perceptions and use of LearnlineEffect of Learnline
& Collaborate engagement on successGoing ForwardQuestions and DiscussionSlide5
Research questionsWhat are the overall trends in enrolments, retention and success amongst first year students at CDU?
Does mode of attendance
affect progress?
What constitutes flexible and online learning at CDU?
C
an students level of engagement in
Learnline and the effect of this on success be measured – learning analytics?
Are student outcomes affected by demographics?How can these understandings inform our pedagogy?Slide6
Trends and patterns of enrolments in Academic Skills Common Units 1999-2012 in terms of annual rates of: Withdrawals before Census Date / all enrolments
Academic success (Pass or higher
/
continuing enrolments)
Overall retention and success by student backgrounds and learning situations
Section 1:
Equity, Retention and Success in the Common Units 1999-2012Slide7
Trends, Patterns and Outcomes in first year 1999-2014
Intake profile
Demographic
First in family status
Admission basis
Student Situation
Part-time statusYear of course
Field of educationMode of study
OutcomesGradesStudent satisfaction:SELTS
Customised SurveysTrends 1999-2014Slide8
Trends in the Academic Skills Common Units
1999-2012 (n=37,956)
Year Unit Taken
Student
sSlide9
Demographic Profile 1999-2012(n=37,956)
%
25
yrs
and over
Male
Year Unit TakenSlide10
Student Situation Profile 1999-2012 (n=37,956)
Year Unit Taken
%
External Mode
Internal Mode Slide11
Mode of Attendance, Retention and Success
(1999-2012)
External Mode Passes
Divergent Trends in Retention Rates
%
Year Unit TakenSlide12
Relative Risk* of Withdrawal: a Multivariate Comparison
Common Units pre- & post- 2006 (n (1999-2005)
= 13,692
; n (
2006-2012)=24,264
Relative Risk *
Average Relative Risk for the exposed group=1
Risk for external, male and Indigenous studentsSlide13
Section 2: Expanding our study to new first year units, new variables: 2009-13
New data set 2009-13 (
Sems
1 and 2)
:
Total number =
29,665 Common Units
n = 22,359; Core first year units n = 7,306Includes first year core
units across disciplines: BCO101 BCO103 BCO106 CMA100
CMA101 CML101
ECU100 ELA100 ENV102
ENV205 ETL112 LAW101
LWZ100A LWZ118 NUR104
NUR115 NUR125 SBI105 SBI171
Blue = Introduced in 2013;
Red = Not on offer 2013/ discontinued
New “non traditional” student variables:
First in family in HE TER score below 50
Part-time statusRemotenessSlide14
Trending Gaps in Pass Rates* by Student Background
% Difference
2009
2010
2011
2012 2013
TER 50+ minus TER under 50
Female minus Male
Year Unit Taken
*
Excludes Withdrawals ( n=20,526) Slide15
Predicting Withdrawal & Failure Rates Relative Risk Ratios*
Average Relative Risk Ratio for this group=1
*
Failed Excludes Withdrawals
n=8,099
n=6,799
Relative Risk Ratio
Higher W risk:
Cu’s , Ex, 25+, Male
Highest F risk:
TER<50,
Indig
.,Ex, MaleSlide16
Passes and Withdrawals: CU vs First Year Core U’s
Withdrawals : group by mode of attendance
Withdrawals group by mode of attendance
Passes group by type of unit
%
Slide17
Changes in Learning Technologies and Management Systems to enhance delivery across modes
2002
Learnline
available
N=93
2004
Wimba
arrives
n=413
2006
Learnline
V.6
n=534
2009
BB
M
anaged Hosting
2011
Collaborate
arrivesSlide18
Section 3: What Learning technologies helped students learning and why
Student Survey S.2 2013
:
How, why and what regarding
L
earnline
use?n=287 across sample units 17% of total population (1694)12 forced choice questions 2
open ended (best and worst aspects of learnline) Survey voluntary with incentive Slide19
Survey is representative of cohort
Of course, being voluntary, the survey captures those motivated to share their views!Slide20
Frequency of tools accessed
Most accessed weekly but
A
nnouncements & even Collaborate dailySlide21
Learnline
tools that helped their learning
Announcements collaborate, discussion board & rubrics – inform, connect and motivate!Slide22
Factors that motivated you to use
Learnline
Relates to assignments:
Assessable
Interactive links
Language
Accessible
Reminders!Slide23
“Student help” information that helpedSlide24
Forms of Blackboard Collaborate made available
Recorded most common - talking head least commonSlide25
Motivating factors for Collaborate use
Number
of responsesSlide26
Forms of Collaborate favouredSlide27
55%
8 %
35 %Slide28
The most effective types of learning materials/objectsSlide29
BEST ASPECTS (BA)/NEEDS IMPROVEMENT (NI) COMMENT ANALYSIS (n=1085)
Discussion board & LL usability
Assessment relevance
Staff accessibility
Learning resources
Needs improvement
Online classes
Flexibility
Best AspectsSlide30
Section 4: Learnline use and success
1 Semester of data
Across – 8 sample units including CU’s
Number =
LL data for number of “hits” per student correlated with student grade and demographic
More sophisticated analysis will be
availible as we include more units and get access to
Learning Analytics from S.2 2014 Slide31
Learnline use and grades – those who pass tend to use
Learnline
more
F P C D HD
(n=501) (n=384) (n=451) (n=411) (n=139)
HD students tend to have the greatest usageSlide32
Use of
L
earnline
by Cohort
Highly significant difference
(T-Test)
Females more than males and mature students more than young ones!
Those who withdrew hadn’t accessed – would more have stayed if they had?Slide33
Those who use collaborate more have better grades
HD
D
C
P
F
W
DNS
Grade Scale
Grade increase seems to plateau at
u
sage > 25% of sessionsSlide34
Impact of Collaborate use on grade outcomes by mode
Significant
difference
Significant
difference
Significant
difference
externals who used it had higher grades
Over internals and externals who didn’t use itSlide35
The use of Collaborate by cohort(of those using it)
S
ignificant
difference
(M-WU Test
)
Externals and over 24 used it mostSlide36
Summing UpDecadal trends in first year intake composition and student learning situation have profound effects on patterns of retention and
success.
Overall CU & first year trends for success are very positive , external withdrawals are predictably higher given wider cast of the net.
The effects
of student profile and situation
on rates of
retention and success need further investigation.
Learnline is helping students learning and students find tools that inform, connect and motivate them very useful for learning – collaborate & discussion and communication from teaching staff.
They are drawn to tools that keep them connected to each other, are offered in lots of forms (including hard copy) and are relevant to assessment and accessible.Overall qualitative student commentary on Learnline experience is positive but some possible priority areas for improvement have been identified including aspects of
platform useability, assignment relevance and staff accessibility.Initial analysis shows some association of student success with an increasing extent of overall Learnline use and use of the collaborate tool.
External students using collaborate achieve higher grades than other students and consideration might be given to promoting collaborate to ensure more students engage with this tool.Slide37
The Next PhasePost-Pilot Strategies, Priorities, Directions 2013-14
Pursuing
issues
opened up in this presentation by:
Testing
hypotheses of online effects (
eg Collaborate)
Identifying tools that “work” for at risk groupsFurther exploring use of Learnline
by demographicCapturing the view of a broader range of students Understanding motivation to engage with
Learnline and collaborateDeveloping strategies for implementing findings
Expanding and integrating new data sources :
Learning analytics with 2014 Callista-sourced dataStudent-aggregated course progression and completion
Exploring longitudinal online effects across all data sources: data mining, survival analysis, selection models, qualitative methods