PPT-Uncertainty in climate change

Author : sylvia | Published Date : 2024-07-03

Andrew Levan For fans of probability confidence intervals and margins of error climate change is a dream come true For everyone else the fact that uncertainty inherent

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Uncertainty in climate change: Transcript


Andrew Levan For fans of probability confidence intervals and margins of error climate change is a dream come true For everyone else the fact that uncertainty inherent in any complex area of science has gradually become one of climate changes defining features is a constant headache Because uncertainty real or manufactured is a wellrehearsed reason for inaction. G.S. Karlovits, J.C. Adam, Washington State University. 2010 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA. Outline. Climate change and uncertainty in the Pacific Northwest. Data, model and methods. Climate data. Manipulating symbols. Last class. Typology of signs. Sign systems. Symbols. Tremendously important distinctions for informatics and computational sciences. Computation = symbol manipulation. Symbols can be manipulated without reference to content (syntactically. Energy. Climate. . Change. . Adaptation. Bruce A. McCarl. Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University. mccarl@tamu.edu. , http//ageco.tamu.edu/faculty/mccarl. Climate. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. by Angela Campbell, Ph.D. and Andrew Cheng, Ph.D.. ICRAT. Angela Campbell, Ph.D.. June 21, 2016. The findings and conclusions in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the FAA. Marcia McNutt. Editor-in-Chief. Science . family of Journals. Challenges with scientific uncertainty ...... Public perception that if scientists express uncertainty, they “don’t know they are talking about.”. environmental research. Liew Xuan Qi (A0157765N). Cheong Hui Ping (A0127945W). Hong Chuan Yin (A0155305M). Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making. 17 January 2011. How and Why Does Climate Change?. Climate changes over a broad range of time scales. Years, decades, centuries, millennia. Many factors combine to affect climate. Variability of incoming solar radiation. Seas (CLIMSEA). Helén Andersson, Markus Meier, Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich. RCP8.5. RCP4.5. 2. o. C. Temperature. . change. in the Baltic Sea . Ice. . extent. Modell . Observations. EC-EARTH RCP4.5. Is it getting worse?. Are Humans causing it?. Is Time running out?. Is there anything that should be done?. Is the “standard model” the only option?. Climate change?. . “Whatever Nature has in store for mankind, unpleasant as it may be, men must accept, for ignorance is never better than knowledge.” Enrico Fermi 1938.. . Forest Response . to Climate Change. Climate change overview. Observations. Mechanisms. Uncertainty. Scenarios and models. Perspective. Uncertainty in predictions. Climate change . and . forests. forecast of 1 to 4 meters with 2 meters as the most likely outcome. Key decision-makers in the omes so they can determine the robustness of build the residential development, and the maximum it is se long-term weather patterns. for a particular area.. On Earth we have different climates depending on where you are. . Can you think of any  different climates?. 2. What is climate change?. Climate change. \"15 minutes ago -

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