PPT-The Black Swan Theory 1) The event is a surprise (to the observer)

2 The event has a major effect 3 After the first recorded instance of the event it is rationalized by hindsight as if it could have been expected that is the relevant data were available but unaccounted for in risk mitigation programs The same is true for the personal perception by individuals. A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z 57513 2003 HighScope Educational Research Foundation 21 Language and Literacy Language and Literacy Language and Literacy Circle one Item Q R S T U V W X Circle one Level 12345 Date Observer Circ QUB . School of Pharmacy. ½ Day Meeting. 26. th. Sept 2013. ATHENA-SWAN PRINCIPLES . WS1. Athena SWAN Charter . Launched in June 2005 to advance the representation of women in SET. From ‘SET’ to ‘STEMM’. For our turkey, Every day is a good day. …UNTIL the highly improbable occurs.... An outlier. ? . Yes. Extreme impact. ?. . . Yes. Retrospective hindsight. ?. . . Yes. Thanksgiving is the turkey’s Black Swan event!. A big black bug bit a big black dog on his big black nose!. Six sleek swans swam . swiftly . southwards. I wish to wash . my. . Irish wristwatch.. She said she should sit.. As one black bug, bled blue, black blood. The other black bug bled blue.. COMP 401 . Fall. . 2014. Lecture 14. 10. /. 7. /. 2014. Observer / Observable. Official Gang of Four description:. Define a one-to-many dependency between objects so that when one object changes state, all its dependents are notified and updated automatically.. A closer look at . INotifyPropertyChanged. , . INotifyPropertyChanging. and ObservableCollection. Observer design pattern. 1. The observable design pattern. Observable. An object that sends notifications to observers when something has happened to the object.. Please . Snarf. the Code for Today’s Class.. Today you will. Implement the observer pattern on some sample code. Hear about a few more general issues with the observer pattern. Take a look at . Tivoo. Given . WeatherData. object, which tracks current weather conditions (. temperature,humidity. , barometric pressure).. Our job is to . Create an application that uses . WeatherData. object to create real time display for current conditions, weather statics, and simple forecast. BLACK SWAN will coordinate local organizations’ participation from 1-15 October 2017,. with participating organizations’ operational periods not to exceed 48 hours. Local choice of. participating time period should be guided by availability and organization mission relative to the. T. his . Flock of Pink Flamingos has gathered . in your office . to roost. . In . c. ase . you did not know this, . Pink . Flamingos are very territorial, . and unless . they are placed . in . someone else's . multiple observers. independent observers. observers sample same locations simultaneously and independently. match observations when the point count is over. matched observations, together with observations unique to each observer, provide information about each observers unique detection probability. Other information:. Insert shul logo here. Time:. Date:. Address:. @ShabbatUK. @shabbat_uk. Shabbat_uk_official. www.shabbatuk.org. getinvolved@shabbatuk.org. Insert shul logo here. Event Title. Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event Text Event. 2017 SWAN Survey Results Kate Hendricks Thomas, PhD Assistant Professor of Public Health, Charleston Southern University SWAN Fellow www.drkatethomas.com Ellen Haring, PhD SWAN Director of Programs and Research Jieun. Kim*, Ph.D., Florida State University. Bridget . Algee. -Hewitt, Ph.D., Stanford . Univeristy. *Presenting Author. February 20, 2018. NIJ R&D Forensic Symposium. 1. Introduction. The three shape-based, computational methods by Slice and .