AIA Foresight Report 2017 Global Perspective:

Transcript:AIA Foresight Report 2017 Global Perspective::
AIA Foresight Report 2017 Global Perspective: Challenge and Change GEOPOLITICAL SHIFTS 121 Countries changed heads of state or senior-most leaders between 2015 and 2016 Source: U.S. State Department SECURITY & MILITARY $1.76t Global national security spending (2015) Source: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute POPULATION FLOWS 244m Number of international migrants worldwide in 2015 (3.3% of global population) Source: United Nations According to the World Economic Forum, the U.S. is the third most competitive global economy behind Switzerland and Singapore. Source: World Economic Forum Despite sluggish performance in recent years, seven of the 10 most competitive global economies are located in Europe. Source: World Economic Forum Eight of the top 10 container ports, as measured by throughput of twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs), are in China Source: CIA India is the world’s fourth largest IT start-up hub with more than 3,100 tech startups in 2015 alone. Source: Forbes By 2050, the working age population (ages 15–64) in sub-Saharan Africa is projected to reach 1.25 billion, which is triple its current amount. Source: IMF The top three growth economies (projected 2014– 2018) are: Peru (5.4%) Columbia (4.7%) Chile (4.0%) Source: Brookings Institution, FocusData Global Perspective: Overview United States: Social & Demographic Change Two-parent households declined from 87% in 1960 to 69% in 2016. Roughly 17% of kids in the U.S. currently live in blended families. By 2055, the U.S. will not have a single racial or ethnic majority. 59 million immigrants have come to the country since the middle 1960s. Health of A/E/C The Big Picture: Collaboration COLLABORATIVE CONTRACTS? 5% Percentage of billings earned through providing IPD services (2015 responses)* Source: 2016 AIA Firm Survey Report NEED FOR COLLABORATION 20% Percentage of typical large project in mining, infrastructure and oil and gas construction that runs over schedule Source: McKinsey & Company NEED FOR COLLABORATION 80% Percentage of typical large project in mining, infrastructure and oil and gas construction that runs over budget Source: McKinsey & Company Consumer Trends & Preferences Key indicator for economic health Paradoxical trends: hyper-customization, instant gratification, experience-focus, sharing economy 3D printing predicted by some to play key role in customization CROWDFUNDING TOTAL BY 2025 $96b Half is expected to come from China. Source: The Guardian Market Sector: Retail Coming together of tech, traditional retail, experience, and culture Market Sector: Residential Housing the generations Millennial families Millennials are now the largest generation. 62% of millennials believe they will one day