Global Economic Prospects January 2022
Description: Global Economic Prospects January 2022 www.worldbank.orggep Global Economic Prospects January 2022 2 3 Underlying data and charts can be found at www.worldbank.orggep Global Economic Prospects January 2022 Global Growth Forecasts
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slide1. Global Economic ProspectsJanuary 2022www.worldbank.org/gep<br>
slide2. Global Economic Prospects – January 2022 2<br>
slide3. 3 Underlying data and charts can be found at
www.worldbank.org/gep Global Economic Prospects – January 2022<br>
slide4. Global Growth ForecastsSubstantial Slowdown 4 GDP growth
(Percent)<br>
slide5. Regional Growth ForecastsSlowing Growth in Several Regions 5 GDP growth, by region
(Percent)<br>
slide6. Uneven Global Recovery Weak Output and Investment; Lasting Scarring 6 Deviation of output with pre-pandemic trends by 2023
(Percent) Deviation of investment from pre-pandemic trends
(Percent)<br>
slide7. RisksMultiple; Possibility of Hard Landing 7<br>
slide8. Interconnected RisksHigher Inflation; Tightening Financial Conditions 8 Inflation surprises
(Index, >0 = upside data surprise) Financing conditions
(Index; January 1, 2021 = 100)<br>
slide9. Income InequalityIncrease Across and Within Countries 9 Change in between-country income inequality
(Point change; annualized) Change in Gini index, 2020
(Points)<br>
slide10. Commodity CyclesDependence on Commodity Exports; Sharp Rebound in 2020; Larger Booms than Slumps 10 Commodity exports in EMDEs
(Percent of exports) Energy prices and global recessions
(Percent change from previous year) Amplitude of commodity cycles
(Percent)<br>
slide11. Lessons from Past Debt RestructuringsElevated Debt in LICs; Past Restructurings Offered Substantial Debt Relief 11 Government debt in LICs
(Percent) Debt relief granted
(Percent of stock of debt) Number of debtor countries included
(Number)<br>
slide12. Policy PrioritiesMeasures to Ensure Green, Resilient, and Inclusive Growth 12<br>
slide13. Monetary and Fiscal PoliciesPolicy Tightening Underway; Space Limited 13 Policy rates in EMDEs
(Percent) Fiscal impulse in EMDEs
(Percentage points of potential GDP)<br>
slide14. Climate ChallengesHigh Emissions Underscore Need for Green Transition 14 Change in greenhouse gas emissions
(Percent) Share of renewables in global energy supply
(Percent)<br>
slide15. Global Economic ProspectsJanuary 2022 www.worldbank.org/gep 15<br>
slide16. Select Publications by EFI Prospects Group 16 Global Economic Prospects – January 2022
(January and June)
Commodity Markets Outlook – October 2021
(April and October)
Global Monthly
One-Stop Source: Global Database of Inflation – July 2021
Inflation During the Pandemic “What Happened? What is Next?” – July 2021
The Aftermath of Debt Surges – September 2021
A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic – October 2021
What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami – November 2021<br>
slide2. Global Economic Prospects – January 2022 2<br>
slide3. 3 Underlying data and charts can be found at
www.worldbank.org/gep Global Economic Prospects – January 2022<br>
slide4. Global Growth ForecastsSubstantial Slowdown 4 GDP growth
(Percent)<br>
slide5. Regional Growth ForecastsSlowing Growth in Several Regions 5 GDP growth, by region
(Percent)<br>
slide6. Uneven Global Recovery Weak Output and Investment; Lasting Scarring 6 Deviation of output with pre-pandemic trends by 2023
(Percent) Deviation of investment from pre-pandemic trends
(Percent)<br>
slide7. RisksMultiple; Possibility of Hard Landing 7<br>
slide8. Interconnected RisksHigher Inflation; Tightening Financial Conditions 8 Inflation surprises
(Index, >0 = upside data surprise) Financing conditions
(Index; January 1, 2021 = 100)<br>
slide9. Income InequalityIncrease Across and Within Countries 9 Change in between-country income inequality
(Point change; annualized) Change in Gini index, 2020
(Points)<br>
slide10. Commodity CyclesDependence on Commodity Exports; Sharp Rebound in 2020; Larger Booms than Slumps 10 Commodity exports in EMDEs
(Percent of exports) Energy prices and global recessions
(Percent change from previous year) Amplitude of commodity cycles
(Percent)<br>
slide11. Lessons from Past Debt RestructuringsElevated Debt in LICs; Past Restructurings Offered Substantial Debt Relief 11 Government debt in LICs
(Percent) Debt relief granted
(Percent of stock of debt) Number of debtor countries included
(Number)<br>
slide12. Policy PrioritiesMeasures to Ensure Green, Resilient, and Inclusive Growth 12<br>
slide13. Monetary and Fiscal PoliciesPolicy Tightening Underway; Space Limited 13 Policy rates in EMDEs
(Percent) Fiscal impulse in EMDEs
(Percentage points of potential GDP)<br>
slide14. Climate ChallengesHigh Emissions Underscore Need for Green Transition 14 Change in greenhouse gas emissions
(Percent) Share of renewables in global energy supply
(Percent)<br>
slide15. Global Economic ProspectsJanuary 2022 www.worldbank.org/gep 15<br>
slide16. Select Publications by EFI Prospects Group 16 Global Economic Prospects – January 2022
(January and June)
Commodity Markets Outlook – October 2021
(April and October)
Global Monthly
One-Stop Source: Global Database of Inflation – July 2021
Inflation During the Pandemic “What Happened? What is Next?” – July 2021
The Aftermath of Debt Surges – September 2021
A Mountain of Debt: Navigating the Legacy of the Pandemic – October 2021
What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami – November 2021<br>